NYSE$NUE

Nucor Corp · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nucor's Q4 2020 earnings increased compared to Q3 2020, driven by higher pricing at sheet and plate mills and strong performance in the steel products segment, which benefited from the resiliency of nonresidential construction markets.

Nucor Corporation reported consolidated net earnings of $398.8 million, or $1.30 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2020, compared to $107.8 million, or $0.35 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2019. Consolidated net sales increased 3% to $5.26 billion compared with $5.13 billion in the fourth quarter of 2019.

  • Nucor reported Q4 2020 net earnings of $398.8 million, or $1.30 per diluted share.
  • Net sales for Q4 2020 increased 3% year-over-year to $5.26 billion.
  • The average sales price per ton in Q4 2020 increased 3% compared to Q4 2019.
  • Nucor anticipates earnings in the first quarter of 2021 to significantly increase from the fourth quarter of 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.26B

Previous: $5.13B+2.5%
EPS (adj)

$1.30

Previous: $0.52+150.0%
Total External Shipments

6.5M

Previous: 6.5M+0.0%
Capital Expenditures

$364M

Previous: $493M-26.1%
Free Cash Flow

$127M

Previous: $197M-35.3%
Net Income

$399M

Previous: $134M+197.1%
Operating Income

$218M

Previous: $178M+22.2%
Gross Profit

$719M

Previous: $435M+65.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$2.64B

Previous: $1.53B+72.0%
Total Assets

$20.1B

Previous: $18.3B+9.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$17.7M

Previous: $16M+10.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Nucor · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.26B

Q4 2020+2.5%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nucor · $1.76B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Steel Mills
    $883M
  • Steel Products
    $807M
  • Raw Materials
    $71.4M

Forward guidance

Nucor expects earnings in the first quarter of 2021 to significantly increase from the fourth quarter of 2020.

Tailwinds

  • Nonresidential construction and automotive markets are strong.
  • Conditions are generally improving in heavy equipment, agriculture, renewable energy and on-highway truck and trailer markets.
  • The steel mills segment is forecasting increased profitability in the first quarter of 2021.
  • Sheet, plate, bar and structural mills are expected to contribute to the increased profitability.
  • Raw materials segment’s performance in the first quarter of 2021 is expected to be significantly improved due to higher raw materials selling prices.

Headwinds

  • The profitability of the downstream steel products segment is expected to decrease in the first quarter of 2021.
  • Decrease is due to typical seasonal patterns and some margin compression.
  • Margin compression is related to the delay between rising steel input costs and increases in selling prices.
  • Unspecified risks and uncertainties.
  • Competitive pressure on sales and pricing.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.5%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

41 / 73 earnings

Positive

+11.2%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-8.7%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+0.3%+11.0%
Q4 2025+0.8%+5.1%+14.5%
Q3 2025+5.4%+4.1%+10.4%
Q2 2025-1.7%+2.5%-8.6%
Q1 2025+1.9%+5.5%-6.5%
Q4 2024+3.8%+5.3%+10.5%
Q3 2024-7.7%-10.6%-6.4%
Q2 2024-0.6%-1.0%-9.9%
Q1 2024-8.7%-8.3%-10.6%
Q4 2023+7.9%+4.7%+9.8%
Q3 2023+4.1%+4.8%+11.3%
Q2 2023+5.5%+3.1%+1.9%
Q1 2023+4.0%+0.2%-6.1%
Q4 2022+6.5%+7.9%+3.7%
Q3 2022+11.2%+12.0%+16.5%
Q2 2022+1.8%+4.7%+17.3%
Q1 2022-4.8%-7.2%-29.1%
Q4 2021+7.3%+15.5%+39.8%
Q3 2021-2.7%+6.0%+7.3%
Q2 2021+1.5%+5.9%+25.3%
Q1 2021-2.9%+0.6%+27.4%
Q4 2020-5.1%-1.7%+16.5%
Q3 2020+3.6%-0.5%+8.5%
Q2 2020+1.4%+1.0%+5.8%
Q1 2020+4.9%+1.2%+5.1%
Q4 2019-2.3%-3.4%-15.0%
Q3 2019+2.3%+3.9%+4.7%
Q2 2019+3.7%+3.4%-10.9%
Q1 2019+2.4%-1.0%-9.8%
Q4 2018+3.1%+5.1%+3.5%
Q3 2018-1.2%-0.8%+7.0%
Q2 2018+1.0%+3.4%-4.9%
Q1 2018-2.9%-4.8%+0.2%
Q4 2017-3.0%-7.0%-2.2%
Q3 2017+4.7%+4.4%-4.3%
Q2 2017-0.7%+0.4%-10.8%
Q1 2017+4.1%+5.8%-1.7%
Q4 2016-5.3%-4.6%+4.2%
Q3 2016-0.3%-2.1%+22.5%
Q2 2016-2.5%-0.7%-7.5%
Q1 2016-1.5%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2015+7.9%
Q2 2015+1.1%
Q1 2015+2.8%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014+0.6%
Q1 2014-2.7%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013+0.8%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012-1.9%
Q3 2012+0.3%
Q2 2012-1.9%
Q1 2012-6.0%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q2 2010-2.9%
Q1 2009+0.4%
Q1 2010+3.4%
Q4 2009-1.6%
Q4 2007-1.6%
Q3 2008+0.2%
Q3 2009+0.2%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q2 2009-1.0%
Q2 2008-1.0%

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