NYSE$NUE

Nucor Corp · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nucor's earnings decreased in Q4 2022 compared to the previous quarter and Q4 2021, but the company reported record annual earnings for 2022.

Nucor Corporation reported consolidated net earnings of $1.26 billion, or $4.89 per diluted share, for the fourth quarter of 2022. While this was a decrease compared to the previous quarter and the fourth quarter of 2021, the company achieved record consolidated net earnings of $7.61 billion, or $28.79 per diluted share, for the full year 2022.

  • Nucor reported Q4 2022 earnings per diluted share of $4.89.
  • Full year 2022 earnings per diluted share were $28.79, a new record.
  • The company returned $3.3 billion of capital to stockholders through dividends and share repurchases.
  • Nucor announced an increased dividend for the 50th consecutive year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.72B

Previous: $10.4B-15.8%
EPS (adj)

$4.89

Previous: $7.97-38.6%
Total External Shipments

5.7M

Previous: 6.4M-10.6%
Capital Expenditures

$518M

Previous: $415M+24.8%
Free Cash Flow

$2.02B

Previous: $2.2B-8.2%
Net Income

$1.26B

Previous: $2.34B-46.3%
Operating Income

$1.53B

Previous: $3.01B-49.0%
Gross Profit

$2.1B

Previous: $3.52B-40.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$4.28B

Previous: $2.36B+81.0%
Total Assets

$32.5B

Previous: $25.8B+25.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$37M

Previous: $38.1M-3.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Nucor · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.72B

Q4 2022-15.8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Nucor · $1.76B total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • Steel Mills
    $883M
  • Steel Products
    $807M
  • Raw Materials
    $71.4M

Forward guidance

The profitability of the steel mills segment is expected to increase in the first quarter of 2023 as compared to the fourth quarter of 2022 due to higher margins and volumes, with the largest improvement expected to occur at our sheet mills. Overall, we expect first quarter 2023 steel products segment earnings to be higher than the first quarter of 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Profitability of steel mills segment is expected to increase due to higher margins and volumes.
  • Largest improvement expected at sheet mills.
  • Continued strong profitability is expected in the steel products segment.
  • First quarter 2023 steel products segment earnings are expected to be higher than the first quarter of 2022.
  • Increased profitability is expected in the raw materials segment due to higher volumes at DRI facilities and scrap recycling/brokerage operations.

Headwinds

  • Seasonally slower construction activity is expected to decrease steel products segment earnings.
  • Some reductions in realized pricing are expected to decrease steel products segment earnings.
  • Consolidated net earnings are expected to decrease due to intercompany eliminations.
  • The absence of state tax benefits recorded in Q4 2022 is expected to decrease consolidated net earnings.
  • Uncertainty about the near-term U.S. economic outlook

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.5%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

41 / 73 earnings

Positive

+11.2%

Q3 2022

Best reaction

-8.7%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+0.3%+11.0%
Q4 2025+0.8%+5.1%+14.5%
Q3 2025+5.4%+4.1%+10.4%
Q2 2025-1.7%+2.5%-8.6%
Q1 2025+1.9%+5.5%-6.5%
Q4 2024+3.8%+5.3%+10.5%
Q3 2024-7.7%-10.6%-6.4%
Q2 2024-0.6%-1.0%-9.9%
Q1 2024-8.7%-8.3%-10.6%
Q4 2023+7.9%+4.7%+9.8%
Q3 2023+4.1%+4.8%+11.3%
Q2 2023+5.5%+3.1%+1.9%
Q1 2023+4.0%+0.2%-6.1%
Q4 2022+6.5%+7.9%+3.7%
Q3 2022+11.2%+12.0%+16.5%
Q2 2022+1.8%+4.7%+17.3%
Q1 2022-4.8%-7.2%-29.1%
Q4 2021+7.3%+15.5%+39.8%
Q3 2021-2.7%+6.0%+7.3%
Q2 2021+1.5%+5.9%+25.3%
Q1 2021-2.9%+0.6%+27.4%
Q4 2020-5.1%-1.7%+16.5%
Q3 2020+3.6%-0.5%+8.5%
Q2 2020+1.4%+1.0%+5.8%
Q1 2020+4.9%+1.2%+5.1%
Q4 2019-2.3%-3.4%-15.0%
Q3 2019+2.3%+3.9%+4.7%
Q2 2019+3.7%+3.4%-10.9%
Q1 2019+2.4%-1.0%-9.8%
Q4 2018+3.1%+5.1%+3.5%
Q3 2018-1.2%-0.8%+7.0%
Q2 2018+1.0%+3.4%-4.9%
Q1 2018-2.9%-4.8%+0.2%
Q4 2017-3.0%-7.0%-2.2%
Q3 2017+4.7%+4.4%-4.3%
Q2 2017-0.7%+0.4%-10.8%
Q1 2017+4.1%+5.8%-1.7%
Q4 2016-5.3%-4.6%+4.2%
Q3 2016-0.3%-2.1%+22.5%
Q2 2016-2.5%-0.7%-7.5%
Q1 2016-1.5%
Q4 2015+9.4%
Q3 2015+7.9%
Q2 2015+1.1%
Q1 2015+2.8%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+2.1%
Q2 2014+0.6%
Q1 2014-2.7%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013+2.5%
Q2 2013+0.8%
Q1 2013-0.4%
Q4 2012-1.9%
Q3 2012+0.3%
Q2 2012-1.9%
Q1 2012-6.0%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011-3.0%
Q2 2011+0.2%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q4 2010-0.7%
Q3 2010+1.8%
Q2 2010-2.9%
Q1 2009+0.4%
Q1 2010+3.4%
Q4 2009-1.6%
Q4 2007-1.6%
Q3 2008+0.2%
Q3 2009+0.2%
Q4 2008-1.0%
Q2 2009-1.0%
Q2 2008-1.0%

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