NYSE$NNN

National Retail Properties Inc · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

NNN REIT reported stable revenue growth and strong portfolio management in Q4 2024.

NNN REIT, Inc. achieved a slight increase in revenue and net income for Q4 2024, driven by stable rental income and strategic property acquisitions. The company maintained high occupancy levels and continued its streak of annual dividend increases. However, earnings per share saw a slight decline due to operational costs.

  • Revenue grew by 1.04% YoY to $218,482,000.
  • Net income increased by 1.25% YoY to $97,894,000.
  • Adjusted EPS declined to $0.82 from $0.85 YoY.
  • Maintained a high occupancy rate of 98.5%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$218M

Previous: $216M+1.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.82

Previous: $0.85-3.5%
AFFO

$154M

No prior period
Core FFO

$153M

No prior period
EBITDAre

$200M

No prior period
Fixed Charges

$47.9M

No prior period
AFFO Payout Ratio

70.3%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

Previous: $0.00
Net Income

$97.7M

Previous: $96.7M+1.1%
Operating Income

$144M

Previous: $140M+2.9%

Revenue & EPS history

NNN · Revenue · Quarterly

$218M

Q4 2024+1%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NNN · $205M total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Rental income - operating leases
    $200M+6.1%
  • Tenant reimbursements
    $4.09M+5.5%
  • Percentage rent
    $336K+43.0%
  • Interest & other income
    $276K-25.2%
  • Direct financing lease income
    $140K-5.4%

Forward guidance

NNN REIT expects stable growth in 2025, supported by a strong balance sheet and continued property investments.

Tailwinds

  • Core FFO per share guidance: $3.33 - $3.38.
  • AFFO per share guidance: $3.39 - $3.44.
  • Targeting $500M - $600M in property acquisitions.
  • Maintained full availability of $1.2B credit line.
  • Dividend streak extended to 35 years.

Headwinds

  • Guided net earnings per share expected to be lower at $1.97 - $2.02.
  • Dispositions expected to range between $80M - $120M, reducing asset base.
  • Continued tenant issues, with eviction proceedings for 64 properties.
  • General and administrative expenses projected to rise to $47M - $48M.
  • Macroeconomic uncertainties, including interest rate fluctuations.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+6.9%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-5.6%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+2.0%+2.3%
Q4 2025-0.5%+2.4%+3.9%
Q3 2025-2.6%-0.5%-0.6%
Q1 2025+0.3%+2.2%+1.6%
Q4 2024+5.7%+6.3%+9.9%
Q3 2024-5.6%-6.9%-4.3%
Q2 2024+3.7%+4.1%+4.7%
Q1 2024+2.6%+3.9%+3.1%
Q4 2023-0.7%-0.7%+6.4%
Q3 2023+6.9%+6.6%+13.8%
Q2 2023-5.4%-4.6%-7.6%
Q1 2023+0.4%+2.7%-1.7%
Q4 2022-0.3%-0.6%-8.7%
Q3 2022+0.9%+1.9%+9.3%
Q2 2022-0.7%-0.4%-4.7%
Q1 2022+5.3%+1.2%+2.8%
Q4 2021-1.4%-1.3%+0.7%
Q3 2021+1.6%+2.4%-2.7%
Q2 2021-1.9%-0.6%-2.2%
Q1 2021+0.0%+3.3%+1.8%
Q4 2020+0.5%-0.8%+5.1%
Q3 2020+5.1%+3.9%+19.0%
Q2 2020+1.4%+2.6%+2.3%
Q1 2020-3.4%+4.5%+16.5%
Q4 2019-2.4%-0.3%-23.5%
Q3 2019-1.1%-4.5%-4.4%
Q2 2019+1.8%+2.5%+7.5%
Q1 2019+0.7%+2.2%+1.7%
Q4 2018-3.3%-2.1%-0.5%
Q3 2018+0.3%+3.0%+7.1%
Q2 2018+0.9%+2.4%+3.3%
Q1 2018+1.2%+4.8%+8.9%
Q4 2017-1.1%+2.2%+2.0%
Q3 2017+1.4%+3.4%+3.8%
Q2 2017+1.5%+1.3%+4.6%
Q1 2017-1.0%-4.5%-8.1%
Q4 2016-0.5%+0.4%-2.2%
Q3 2016+0.1%+2.0%-3.3%
Q2 2016-2.1%-4.1%-6.6%
Q1 2016+3.5%
Q4 2015+1.2%
Q3 2015-0.5%
Q2 2015+0.8%
Q1 2015-5.0%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+1.6%
Q4 2013+1.6%
Q3 2013-2.4%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q2 2009-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q3 2011-2.6%
Q2 2011-2.4%
Q1 2010-1.1%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q4 2008+2.0%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009-0.9%
Q3 2010-0.9%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q2 2010-0.8%

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