NYSE$NNN

National Retail Properties Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

NNN REIT, Inc. announced its Q3 2023 operating results and increased 2023 guidance.

NNN REIT reported revenues of $205.13 million and net earnings available to common stockholders of $106.79 million for the third quarter of 2023. The company maintained high occupancy levels at 99.2% and invested $212.5 million in property acquisitions. Core FFO guidance for 2023 was increased to a range of $3.19 to $3.23 per share.

  • FFO and Core FFO per common share increased 2.5% over the prior period.
  • AFFO per common share increased 1.2% over the prior period.
  • Maintained high occupancy levels at 99.2%, with a weighted average remaining lease term of 10.1 years.
  • Invested $212.5 million in property investments, acquiring 46 properties with an aggregate gross leasable area of approximately 449,000 square feet.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$205M

Previous: $193M+6.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.81

Previous: $0.79+2.5%
Properties Owned

3.5K

No prior period
Total GLA

35.8M

Previous: 35.0M+2.2%
Capital Expenditures

$0.00

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$107M

Previous: $88.4M+20.8%
Net Income

$107M

Previous: $88.4M+20.8%
Operating Income

$148M

Previous: $125M+17.8%
Gross Profit

$205M

Previous: $193M+6.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$77.1M

Previous: $3.28M+2253.9%
Total Assets

$8.56B

Previous: $7.95B+7.7%

Revenue & EPS history

NNN · Revenue · Quarterly

$205M

Q3 2023+6%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

NNN · $205M total across 5 segments · Q3 2023

  • Rental income - operating leases
    $200M+6.1%
  • Tenant reimbursements
    $4.09M+5.5%
  • Percentage rent
    $336K+43.0%
  • Interest & other income
    $276K-25.2%
  • Direct financing lease income
    $140K-5.4%

Forward guidance

Core FFO guidance for 2023 was increased from a range of $3.17 to $3.22 per share to a range of $3.19 to $3.23 per share. The 2023 AFFO is estimated to be $3.22 to $3.26 per share.

Tailwinds

  • Net earnings per common share excluding any gains on disposition of real estate, impairment charges, and executive retirement costs $1.88 - $1.92 per share
  • Real estate depreciation and amortization per share $1.31 per share
  • Core FFO per share $3.19 - $3.23 per share
  • AFFO per share $3.22 - $3.26 per share
  • General and administrative expenses $43 - $45 Million

Headwinds

  • Real estate expenses, net of tenant reimbursements $8 - $10 Million
  • Acquisition volume $700 - $800 Million
  • Disposition volume $100 - $120 Million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.6%

Avg return

30 days after

51%

35 / 68 earnings

Positive

+6.9%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-5.6%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.6%+2.0%+2.3%
Q4 2025-0.5%+2.4%+3.9%
Q3 2025-2.6%-0.5%-0.6%
Q1 2025+0.3%+2.2%+1.6%
Q4 2024+5.7%+6.3%+9.9%
Q3 2024-5.6%-6.9%-4.3%
Q2 2024+3.7%+4.1%+4.7%
Q1 2024+2.6%+3.9%+3.1%
Q4 2023-0.7%-0.7%+6.4%
Q3 2023+6.9%+6.6%+13.8%
Q2 2023-5.4%-4.6%-7.6%
Q1 2023+0.4%+2.7%-1.7%
Q4 2022-0.3%-0.6%-8.7%
Q3 2022+0.9%+1.9%+9.3%
Q2 2022-0.7%-0.4%-4.7%
Q1 2022+5.3%+1.2%+2.8%
Q4 2021-1.4%-1.3%+0.7%
Q3 2021+1.6%+2.4%-2.7%
Q2 2021-1.9%-0.6%-2.2%
Q1 2021+0.0%+3.3%+1.8%
Q4 2020+0.5%-0.8%+5.1%
Q3 2020+5.1%+3.9%+19.0%
Q2 2020+1.4%+2.6%+2.3%
Q1 2020-3.4%+4.5%+16.5%
Q4 2019-2.4%-0.3%-23.5%
Q3 2019-1.1%-4.5%-4.4%
Q2 2019+1.8%+2.5%+7.5%
Q1 2019+0.7%+2.2%+1.7%
Q4 2018-3.3%-2.1%-0.5%
Q3 2018+0.3%+3.0%+7.1%
Q2 2018+0.9%+2.4%+3.3%
Q1 2018+1.2%+4.8%+8.9%
Q4 2017-1.1%+2.2%+2.0%
Q3 2017+1.4%+3.4%+3.8%
Q2 2017+1.5%+1.3%+4.6%
Q1 2017-1.0%-4.5%-8.1%
Q4 2016-0.5%+0.4%-2.2%
Q3 2016+0.1%+2.0%-3.3%
Q2 2016-2.1%-4.1%-6.6%
Q1 2016+3.5%
Q4 2015+1.2%
Q3 2015-0.5%
Q2 2015+0.8%
Q1 2015-5.0%
Q4 2014+1.1%
Q3 2014-0.1%
Q2 2014+0.3%
Q1 2014+1.6%
Q4 2013+1.6%
Q3 2013-2.4%
Q2 2013-1.2%
Q1 2013+2.5%
Q4 2012+1.4%
Q3 2012-1.3%
Q2 2012+0.3%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q2 2009-0.2%
Q4 2011-0.2%
Q3 2011-2.6%
Q2 2011-2.4%
Q1 2010-1.1%
Q1 2011+0.7%
Q4 2008+2.0%
Q4 2010+2.0%
Q3 2009-0.9%
Q3 2010-0.9%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q2 2010-0.8%

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