NYSE$NINEQ

Nine Energy Service Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nine Energy reported strong Q4 2022 results driven by price increases and increased volumes within completion tools.

Nine Energy Service reported Q4 2022 revenues of $166.7 million, net income of $8.0 million, or $0.24 per diluted share, and adjusted EBITDA of $30.0 million. The company's results fell within the provided revenue guidance range.

  • Revenue for Q4 2022 was $166.7 million.
  • Net income for Q4 2022 was $8.0 million, or $0.24 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted EBITDA for Q4 2022 was $30.0 million.
  • The company grew its U.S. market share of percentage of stages completed from approximately 18% in 2021 to approximately 20% in 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$167M

Previous: $105M+58.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.29

Previous: -$0.52+155.8%
Adjusted EBITDA

$30M

Previous: $4.6M+552.2%
Depreciation & Amortization

$10.1M

Previous: $10.7M-5.3%
Capital Expenditures

$19.2M

Previous: $10.6M+81.4%
Free Cash Flow

-$10.7M

Previous: -$24.3M+55.8%
Net Income

$8M

Previous: -$15.7M+150.8%
Operating Income

$16.3M

Previous: -$8.14M+300.3%
Gross Profit

$30.5M

Previous: $4.71M+547.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$17.4M

Previous: $21.5M-19.1%
Total Assets

$427M

Previous: $382M+11.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$497K

Previous: $1.22M-59.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Nine Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$167M

Q4 2022+58.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Q1 activity levels thus far are down compared to Q4, with the U.S. rig count declining by 30 rigs since the end of 2022. Additionally, Nine lost between 1-5 days of operations, depending on the service line, to inclement weather requiring us to carry the cost of labor with no matching revenues. As a result of this, we expect Q1 revenue to be slightly down sequentially to Q4.

Tailwinds

  • Total U.S. E&P capex is anticipated to increase by double digits over 2022.
  • Operators will need to drill more wells to keep production flat.
  • Oilfield service equipment and labor availability remain constrained.
  • The sector is adopting capital discipline.
  • Nine is well positioned to take advantage of this sustained cycle with both geographic and service line diversity.

Headwinds

  • Q1 activity levels are down compared to Q4.
  • The U.S. rig count has declined by 30 rigs since the end of 2022.
  • Nine lost between 1-5 days of operations due to inclement weather.
  • The company had to carry the cost of labor with no matching revenues.
  • Q1 revenue is expected to be slightly down sequentially to Q4.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 8 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-3.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-4.1%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

13 / 36 earnings

Positive

+31.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-49.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q3 2025-22.1%-13.2%-34.2%
Q2 2025-3.8%-16.5%-9.2%
Q1 2025+14.8%+16.0%-17.2%
Q4 2024+6.9%+16.0%-6.6%
Q3 2024+6.2%+32.2%+67.7%
Q2 2024-6.9%-12.1%-27.4%
Q1 2024-9.5%-11.9%-29.2%
Q4 2023+6.7%+1.0%+23.2%
Q3 2023-30.0%
Q2 2023-4.6%
Q1 2023-19.5%
Q4 2022-28.6%
Q3 2022+19.7%
Q2 2022-5.5%
Q1 2022-4.6%
Q4 2021+24.0%
Q3 2021+10.2%
Q2 2021-10.4%
Q1 2021-3.3%
Q4 2020-7.8%
Q3 2020+0.0%
Q2 2020-15.0%
Q1 2020+31.8%
Q4 2019-49.1%
Q3 2019+4.6%
Q2 2019-9.4%
Q1 2019+8.3%
Q4 2016-14.1%
Q4 2018-16.3%
Q3 2017-11.0%
Q3 2018-14.4%
Q2 2017-4.0%
Q2 2018-4.0%
Q1 2018+15.0%
Q1 2017+15.0%
Q4 2017+5.0%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016

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