NYSE$NINEQ

Nine Energy Service Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Nine Energy reported mixed results in Q4 2019, with revenue exceeding guidance but adjusted EBITDA falling within the expected range.

Nine Energy Service reported Q4 2019 revenue of $163.4 million, outperforming its initial guidance. However, the company experienced a net loss of $(220.5) million, which includes significant impairment charges. Adjusted EBITDA for the quarter was $11.6 million, aligning with the company's guidance.

  • Q4 revenue outperformed management's original guidance, while adjusted EBITDA fell within the guidance range.
  • Net loss included impairments of $106.3 million for the Coiled Tubing service line and $95.0 million for the Completion Tools service line.
  • The company's cash balance remained strong at $93.0 million, despite interest, capex, and retention bonus payments.
  • Market share remained stable across most service lines, but pricing concessions impacted margins.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$163M

Previous: $229M-28.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.57

Previous: $0.49-216.3%
Adjusted EBITDA

$11.6M

No prior period
Depreciation & Amortization

$15.4M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$65M

Previous: $46.6M+39.3%
Free Cash Flow

-$50.5M

Previous: -$7.83M-544.9%
Net Income

-$221M

Previous: -$77.3M-185.2%
Operating Income

-$213M

Previous: -$60.8M-250.9%
Gross Profit

$8.01M

Previous: $39.7M-79.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$93M

Previous: $63.6M+46.2%
Total Assets

$851M

Previous: $1.14B-25.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.5M

Previous: $3.5M+0.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Nine Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$163M

Q4 2019-28.8%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 10 of 12 quarters(83%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Q1 2020 is off to a slower start versus this time in 2019, and the company anticipates Q1 2020 being relatively flat to Q4 2019.

Tailwinds

  • Effectively commercialized our low-temperature dissolvable plug for Q1 2020
  • Timeline for our new high-temp dissolvable and composite plug remain on schedule.
  • Successfully completed the sale of our Production Solutions segment
  • Closed wireline operations in Canada, which will be accretive to ROIC, adjusted EBITDA margins and cash generation.
  • Nine’s percentage of U.S. stages completed increasing over 100 basis points in 2019.

Headwinds

  • Q1 2020 is off to a slower start versus this time in 2019
  • Anticipate Q1 2020 being relatively flat to Q4 2019
  • Drilling and completion activity declined in Q4 due to holidays, weather and budget exhaustion.
  • Coiled Tubing has been the hardest hit service line from a pricing and activity perspective
  • An over-supply of large diameter units coming into the market, coupled with a decrease in activity across regions.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 8 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

-3.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

-4.1%

Avg return

30 days after

36%

13 / 36 earnings

Positive

+31.8%

Q1 2020

Best reaction

-49.1%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026
Q3 2025-22.1%-13.2%-34.2%
Q2 2025-3.8%-16.5%-9.2%
Q1 2025+14.8%+16.0%-17.2%
Q4 2024+6.9%+16.0%-6.6%
Q3 2024+6.2%+32.2%+67.7%
Q2 2024-6.9%-12.1%-27.4%
Q1 2024-9.5%-11.9%-29.2%
Q4 2023+6.7%+1.0%+23.2%
Q3 2023-30.0%
Q2 2023-4.6%
Q1 2023-19.5%
Q4 2022-28.6%
Q3 2022+19.7%
Q2 2022-5.5%
Q1 2022-4.6%
Q4 2021+24.0%
Q3 2021+10.2%
Q2 2021-10.4%
Q1 2021-3.3%
Q4 2020-7.8%
Q3 2020+0.0%
Q2 2020-15.0%
Q1 2020+31.8%
Q4 2019-49.1%
Q3 2019+4.6%
Q2 2019-9.4%
Q1 2019+8.3%
Q4 2016-14.1%
Q4 2018-16.3%
Q3 2017-11.0%
Q3 2018-14.4%
Q2 2017-4.0%
Q2 2018-4.0%
Q1 2018+15.0%
Q1 2017+15.0%
Q4 2017+5.0%
Q3 2016
Q2 2016
Q1 2016

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