NYSE$NEM
Newmont Mining Corp · Q4 2022 earnings
Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
Newmont met its full-year production guidance and generated significant free cash flow, while also declaring a Q4 dividend of $0.40 per share.
Newmont Corporation announced its Q4 and full-year 2022 results, achieving its full-year production guidance and generating $4.6 billion in adjusted EBITDA and $1.1 billion in free cash flow. The company also declared a fourth-quarter dividend of $0.40 per share.
- Achieved original production guidance range set in December 2021; produced 1.63 million attributable gold ounces and 296 thousand attributable gold equivalent ounces (GEO) of co-products.
- Reported fourth quarter gold Costs Applicable to Sales (CAS)* of $940 per ounce and All-In Sustaining Costs (AISC)* of $1,215.
- Generated $1.0 billion of cash from continuing operations and $364 million of Free Cash Flow in the fourth quarter.
- Reported Adjusted Net Income (ANI)* of $0.44 per share and Adjusted EBITDA* of $1.2 billion for the fourth quarter.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
Newmont · Revenue · Quarterly
$3.2B
Forward guidance
Newmont anticipates steadily increasing production and improving costs from its global portfolio. They are committed to disciplined capital allocation and providing superior returns to shareholders through their dividend framework.
Tailwinds
- 2023 production guidance is between 5.7 and 6.3 million gold ounces.
- Production is expected to steadily improve to between 6.1 and 6.7 million ounces in the longer-term.
- Gold CAS guidance is $870 to $970 per ounce and Gold AISC guidance is $1,150 to $1,250 per ounce for 2023.
- Costs are expected to improve throughout the five-year period, driven by declining inflationary pressure assumptions, increasing production levels and cost reduction initiatives.
- Sustaining capital guidance is $1.0 to $1.2 billion for 2023, consistent with longer-term averages
Headwinds
- 2023 production is expected to be stable compared to 2022, partially offset by decreases at Peñasquito due to planned mine sequencing.
- 2023 production is expected to be stable compared to 2022, partially offset by the updated mine plan for a leach-only operation at CC&V.
- 2023 production is expected to be stable compared to 2022, partially offset by the previously signaled delay of commercial production at Ahafo North and Tanami Expansion 2 to 2025.
- 2023 CAS is expected to have approximately 3% in cost escalation assumed as cost pressures are expected to persist from 2022.
- The Yanacocha Sulfides project is being critically assessed, up to and including transitioning Yanacocha operations into full closure, which may have an impact on expected capital spend included in outlook for 2023 and 2024.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022
-1.1%
Avg return
Earnings day
-1.6%
Avg return
5 days after
-1.7%
Avg return
30 days after
38%
28 / 73 earnings
Positive
+10.7%
Q1 2024
Best reaction
-16.1%
Q3 2024
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | -1.7% | -3.1% | -3.0% | |
| Q4 2025 | -3.3% | -0.4% | -23.6% | |
| Q3 2025 | -6.3% | -10.4% | -6.1% | |
| Q2 2025 | +1.2% | +0.8% | +15.7% | |
| Q1 2025 | +4.9% | -0.4% | +0.9% | |
| Q4 2024 | -5.7% | -9.4% | -1.5% | |
| Q3 2024 | -16.1% | -17.6% | -26.1% | |
| Q2 2024 | -2.9% | +0.4% | +10.6% | |
| Q1 2024 | +10.7% | +5.3% | +8.8% | |
| Q4 2023 | -6.4% | -10.7% | +1.0% | |
| Q3 2023 | +6.0% | +1.9% | +2.3% | |
| Q2 2023 | -4.4% | -3.5% | -15.4% | |
| Q1 2023 | +0.5% | +1.9% | -13.7% | |
| Q4 2022 | -1.6% | -1.4% | +9.8% | |
| Q3 2022 | -6.6% | -3.1% | +14.8% | |
| Q2 2022 | -10.2% | -11.9% | -12.8% | |
| Q1 2022 | -5.8% | -6.4% | -12.8% | |
| Q4 2021 | -0.5% | +1.1% | +15.7% | |
| Q3 2021 | -6.2% | -4.9% | -2.8% | |
| Q2 2021 | -0.4% | +1.6% | -6.6% | |
| Q1 2021 | -2.8% | -0.3% | +14.5% | |
| Q4 2020 | -0.6% | -0.3% | +8.7% | |
| Q3 2020 | +7.1% | +13.7% | -0.3% | |
| Q2 2020 | +1.9% | +3.5% | -1.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -0.5% | +2.9% | -10.9% | |
| Q4 2019 | +7.1% | +6.4% | -12.2% | |
| Q3 2019 | -3.2% | -5.9% | +2.9% | |
| Q2 2019 | -5.1% | -4.0% | +0.0% | |
| Q1 2019 | -2.3% | -3.5% | -0.9% | |
| Q4 2018 | +3.1% | -1.2% | -2.5% | |
| Q3 2018 | -5.5% | -2.4% | +2.2% | |
| Q2 2018 | -1.5% | -2.1% | -14.5% | |
| Q1 2018 | +0.3% | -3.2% | -2.7% | |
| Q4 2017 | +1.4% | +0.7% | +1.6% | |
| Q3 2017 | -2.6% | -1.6% | -0.2% | |
| Q2 2017 | +9.0% | +9.3% | +8.6% | |
| Q1 2017 | -3.6% | -0.9% | -1.4% | |
| Q4 2016 | -2.7% | -2.5% | -9.2% | |
| Q3 2016 | -4.9% | +1.2% | -12.8% | |
| Q2 2016 | -2.1% | -3.0% | +6.7% | |
| Q1 2016 | +4.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | +6.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | -6.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +9.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +3.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -9.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | -0.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +2.0% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | -1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | -7.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -3.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | -10.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | -2.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | -3.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | +4.1% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +4.1% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | -4.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +0.5% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -3.5% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -0.1% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +4.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +6.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2009 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q3 2008 | +4.7% | — | — | |
| Q2 2009 | -0.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2008 | -4.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2009 | -4.9% | — | — | |
| Q4 2008 | -4.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2008 | -4.9% | — | — |
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