NYSE$NEM

Newmont Mining Corp · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Newmont's Q4 2019 earnings were announced, highlighted by GAAP net income of $537 million and adjusted net income of $410 million.

Newmont Corporation reported a strong fourth quarter in 2019, marked by a 45% increase in revenue to $2,967 million and GAAP net income of $537 million. The results reflect increased production from acquired Goldcorp assets and higher realized gold prices.

  • Delivered GAAP net income from continuing operations attributable to Newmont stockholders of $537 million or $0.66 per diluted share.
  • Generated $1.3 billion in adjusted EBITDA, an increase of 70 percent from the prior year quarter.
  • Reported consolidated cash flow from continuing operations of $1.2 billion and free cash flow of $778 million, an increase of 63 percent and 64 percent over the prior year quarter, respectively.
  • Produced 1.83 million ounces of gold, an increase of 27 percent over the prior year quarter

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.97B

Previous: $2.05B+44.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.50

Previous: $0.40+25.0%
Attributable Gold Production (Koz)

1.8M

Previous: 1.4M+26.7%
Consolidated Gold Ounces Sold (Thousands)

1.7M

Previous: 1.5M+16.1%
Average Realized Gold Price ($/oz)

$1.48K

Previous: $1.23K+19.9%
Free Cash Flow

$778M

No prior period
Net Income

$533M

No prior period
Operating Income

$620M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$895M

No prior period
Cash & Equivalents

$2.24B

No prior period
Total Assets

$40B

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Newmont · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.97B

Q4 2019+44.9%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Newmont anticipates stable gold production for 2020, with an outlook of 6.4 million ounces and expects to realize $1.4 billion in cash proceeds in Q1 2020 through divestitures.

Tailwinds

  • Stable production outlook of 6.4 million ounces in 2020.
  • Improving costs base through 2024.
  • On track to realize $500 million per year of improvements in 2021.
  • Expect to realize $1.4 billion in cash proceeds in Q1 2020 through divestitures.
  • Plan to increase annual dividend by 79 percent to $1.00 per share.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-1.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.7%

Avg return

30 days after

38%

28 / 73 earnings

Positive

+10.7%

Q1 2024

Best reaction

-16.1%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%-3.1%-3.0%
Q4 2025-3.3%-0.4%-23.6%
Q3 2025-6.3%-10.4%-6.1%
Q2 2025+1.2%+0.8%+15.7%
Q1 2025+4.9%-0.4%+0.9%
Q4 2024-5.7%-9.4%-1.5%
Q3 2024-16.1%-17.6%-26.1%
Q2 2024-2.9%+0.4%+10.6%
Q1 2024+10.7%+5.3%+8.8%
Q4 2023-6.4%-10.7%+1.0%
Q3 2023+6.0%+1.9%+2.3%
Q2 2023-4.4%-3.5%-15.4%
Q1 2023+0.5%+1.9%-13.7%
Q4 2022-1.6%-1.4%+9.8%
Q3 2022-6.6%-3.1%+14.8%
Q2 2022-10.2%-11.9%-12.8%
Q1 2022-5.8%-6.4%-12.8%
Q4 2021-0.5%+1.1%+15.7%
Q3 2021-6.2%-4.9%-2.8%
Q2 2021-0.4%+1.6%-6.6%
Q1 2021-2.8%-0.3%+14.5%
Q4 2020-0.6%-0.3%+8.7%
Q3 2020+7.1%+13.7%-0.3%
Q2 2020+1.9%+3.5%-1.7%
Q1 2020-0.5%+2.9%-10.9%
Q4 2019+7.1%+6.4%-12.2%
Q3 2019-3.2%-5.9%+2.9%
Q2 2019-5.1%-4.0%+0.0%
Q1 2019-2.3%-3.5%-0.9%
Q4 2018+3.1%-1.2%-2.5%
Q3 2018-5.5%-2.4%+2.2%
Q2 2018-1.5%-2.1%-14.5%
Q1 2018+0.3%-3.2%-2.7%
Q4 2017+1.4%+0.7%+1.6%
Q3 2017-2.6%-1.6%-0.2%
Q2 2017+9.0%+9.3%+8.6%
Q1 2017-3.6%-0.9%-1.4%
Q4 2016-2.7%-2.5%-9.2%
Q3 2016-4.9%+1.2%-12.8%
Q2 2016-2.1%-3.0%+6.7%
Q1 2016+4.1%
Q4 2015+1.1%
Q3 2015+6.0%
Q2 2015-6.1%
Q1 2015+9.7%
Q4 2014+3.4%
Q3 2014-9.9%
Q2 2014-0.2%
Q1 2014+2.0%
Q4 2013-1.6%
Q3 2013-7.3%
Q2 2013+0.6%
Q1 2013-3.2%
Q4 2012+0.6%
Q3 2012-10.7%
Q2 2012-2.8%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2011-3.6%
Q3 2011+4.1%
Q4 2010+4.1%
Q2 2011-4.2%
Q1 2011+0.5%
Q3 2010-3.5%
Q2 2010-0.1%
Q1 2010+4.3%
Q4 2009+6.0%
Q3 2009+4.7%
Q3 2008+4.7%
Q2 2009-0.5%
Q1 2008-4.9%
Q1 2009-4.9%
Q4 2008-4.9%
Q2 2008-4.9%

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