NYSE$MTG

MGIC Investment Corporation · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

MGIC Investment Corporation's financial results for Q3 2023 were reported, showing a net income of $182.8 million and adjusted net operating income of $183.0 million.

MGIC Investment Corporation reported a net income of $182.8 million, or $0.64 per diluted share, for the third quarter of 2023. The adjusted net operating income was $183.0 million, or $0.64 per diluted share. The company's performance benefited from favorable credit trends and prudent risk management strategies.

  • Net income for the quarter was $182.8 million, or $0.64 per diluted share.
  • Adjusted net operating income was $183.0 million, or $0.64 per diluted share.
  • New insurance written was $14.6 billion.
  • Insurance in force was $294.3 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$297M

Previous: $293M+1.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.64

Previous: $0.86-25.6%
New Insurance Written (NIW)

$14.6B

Previous: $19.6B-25.5%
Insurance In Force (IIF)

$294B

Previous: $294B+0.2%
Primary Delinquency Inventory

24.7K

Previous: 25.9K-4.5%
Loss Ratio

0.0%

Previous: -41.7%+100.0%
Underwriting Expense Ratio

22.2%

Previous: 24.6%-9.8%
Net Premium Yield (bps)

32.9

Previous: 34.7-5.2%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.46M

Previous: -$2.4M+39.4%
Free Cash Flow

$181M

Previous: $247M-26.6%
Net Income

$183M

Previous: $250M-26.8%
Operating Income

$244M

Previous: $118M+107.0%
Gross Profit

$294M

Previous: $176M+66.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$267M

Previous: $242M+10.1%
Total Assets

$6.33B

Previous: $6.15B+2.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.58M

Previous: $3.33M+67.3%

Revenue & EPS history

MGIC · Revenue · Quarterly

$297M

Q3 2023+1.3%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 1 of 15 quarters(7%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

MGIC provided the following activities for Q4 2023

Tailwinds

  • Repurchased an additional 2.2 million shares of common stock at an average cost of $16.87 per share through October 27, 2023.
  • Declared a dividend of $0.115 per common share to shareholders payable on November 28, 2023.
  • MGIC paid a $300 million dividend to our holding company.
  • Purchased $384.9 million of outstanding notes were purchased via tender offers.
  • Executed a $330 million excess of loss reinsurance agreement.

Headwinds

  • MGIC will incur approximately $8 million of additional ceded premium in the fourth quarter associated with the cost of the tender premiums and associated expense
  • We have elected to terminate our 2020 quota share reinsurance transaction effective December 31, 2023 and expect to incur termination fees of approximately $5 million.
  • Home Re 2019-1 Ltd., Home Re 2021-1 Ltd., and Home Re 2021-2 Ltd conducted tender offers for certain tranches of the mortgage insurance-linked notes that supported the reinsurance agreement with MGIC.
  • The reinsurance coverage corresponding to the tendered notes was terminated.
  • We agreed to terms on a 30% quota share transaction with a group of unaffiliated reinsurers covering most of our new insurance written in 2024.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

37 / 68 earnings

Positive

+35.4%

Q4 2012

Best reaction

-65.7%

Q2 2012

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-9.0%-9.9%-13.5%
Q4 2025-5.2%-0.9%-2.8%
Q3 2025+0.8%+2.5%+8.2%
Q1 2025+1.6%+4.4%+6.2%
Q4 2024+1.8%+0.5%-6.0%
Q3 2024+1.2%+3.8%+8.8%
Q2 2024-1.0%-5.5%+2.7%
Q1 2024+1.1%+3.3%+3.6%
Q4 2023-1.2%-4.8%-2.0%
Q3 2023+1.4%+6.3%+5.4%
Q2 2023+5.3%+7.9%+6.0%
Q1 2023-1.4%+1.3%+6.8%
Q4 2022+1.2%-2.4%-1.5%
Q3 2022-1.8%-1.2%-2.5%
Q2 2022+3.5%+3.5%-0.3%
Q1 2022-0.5%-3.8%+1.8%
Q4 2021-0.7%+1.3%-4.7%
Q3 2021-6.8%-4.3%-14.0%
Q2 2021+1.8%+3.8%+10.6%
Q1 2021-8.1%-8.0%-4.5%
Q4 2020+1.7%-3.7%+1.3%
Q3 2020-4.0%+3.7%+16.7%
Q2 2020+1.7%+3.4%+12.1%
Q1 2020+5.9%+0.0%+45.5%
Q4 2019+3.0%+1.1%-9.4%
Q3 2019+2.8%+3.0%+2.5%
Q2 2019+3.2%-3.0%-5.1%
Q1 2019+3.6%+5.3%-0.9%
Q4 2018+2.0%+1.0%+13.6%
Q3 2018-0.9%-2.8%-4.8%
Q2 2018+9.7%+10.7%+11.1%
Q1 2018-3.9%-4.2%-0.7%
Q4 2017+3.2%+4.0%-5.3%
Q3 2017+5.4%+4.5%+9.8%
Q2 2017+0.6%-1.4%-4.4%
Q1 2017-1.6%-0.5%-3.0%
Q4 2016+2.1%+1.0%+4.4%
Q3 2016+6.7%+7.3%+13.7%
Q2 2016+7.2%+8.5%+23.4%
Q1 2016-4.5%
Q4 2015-13.7%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2015-2.4%
Q1 2015+2.1%
Q4 2014+0.6%
Q3 2014+6.0%
Q2 2014-7.2%
Q1 2014+6.4%
Q4 2013-7.6%
Q3 2013+12.9%
Q2 2013+12.3%
Q1 2013-6.6%
Q4 2012+35.4%
Q3 2012-3.0%
Q2 2012-65.7%
Q1 2012+2.6%
Q4 2011-2.0%
Q3 2011-11.0%
Q2 2011+9.0%
Q1 2010+1.6%
Q1 2011+1.4%
Q4 2008-3.4%
Q4 2010-3.4%
Q3 2010-2.4%
Q3 2009-2.4%
Q4 2009-1.6%
Q2 2010-1.6%
Q2 2009-1.6%

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