NYSE$MOG-A

Moog Inc · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moog reported record sales and increased full-year earnings per share guidance.

Moog Inc. reported a 10% increase in net sales to $850 million, with growth across all reporting segments. Diluted earnings per share were $1.32, and adjusted diluted earnings per share were $1.37. The company increased its full-year guidance for sales and adjusted earnings per share.

  • Net sales increased by 10% compared to the third quarter of the previous year, with growth in all three reporting segments. Excluding divestitures, sales increased 11%.
  • Adjusted operating margin decreased to 10.2% from 10.5% year-over-year, due to additional charges on space vehicle development programs.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share decreased by 15%, as higher interest and corporate expenses offset increased operating profit.
  • Free cash flow was a use of $19 million, primarily due to growth in net working capital balances, particularly physical inventories.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$850M

Previous: $773M+10.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.37

Previous: $1.61-14.9%
Capital Expenditures

-$125M

Previous: -$107M-17.2%
Free Cash Flow

-$82.7M

Previous: -$56.3M-46.9%
Net Income

$42.4M

Previous: $50.4M-15.9%
Operating Income

$84.5M

Previous: $79.3M+6.6%
Gross Profit

$223M

Previous: $212M+5.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$123M

Previous: $93.9M+30.5%
Total Assets

$3.88B

Previous: $3.44B+12.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.36M

Previous: $2.17M+8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Moog · Revenue · Quarterly

$850M

Q3 2023+10%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 11 quarters(82%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moog · $495M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Industrial
    $253M
  • Space & Defense
    $242M

Forward guidance

Moog is increasing its guidance for sales, adjusted operating profit, and adjusted earnings per share, while slightly modifying operating margin down. Free cash flow guidance is now a use of $60 million, reflecting the third quarter growth in physical inventories.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to be $3,250 million.
  • Operating margin is expected to be 11.0%.
  • Adjusted operating margin is expected to be 10.9%.
  • Diluted net earnings per share are expected to be $5.82.
  • Adjusted diluted net earnings per share are expected to be $5.75.

Headwinds

  • Free cash flow is now a use of $60 million, reflecting the third quarter growth in physical inventories.
  • Incurred additional charges on space vehicle development programs of 150 basis points.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share decreased 15%, as higher interest and corporate expenses were partially offset by increased operating profit.
  • Working capital pressure was primarily due to growth in physical inventories.
  • Adjusted operating margin decreased from 10.5% as compared to a year ago.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

38 / 69 earnings

Positive

+11.0%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+2.3%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2026+6.1%+11.8%+17.2%
Q4 2025+11.0%+14.7%+24.7%
Q3 2025+3.5%+1.5%+7.3%
Q2 2025-0.2%-1.0%+6.7%
Q1 2025-15.6%-11.6%-18.0%
Q4 2024+3.9%+20.1%+17.3%
Q3 2024-10.9%-9.0%+4.0%
Q2 2024+3.4%+2.1%+10.7%
Q1 2024+2.4%-0.3%+8.0%
Q4 2023+11.0%+7.4%+18.5%
Q3 2023-4.8%-1.7%+2.9%
Q2 2023-0.6%+0.6%+7.1%
Q1 2023+3.3%+4.7%+8.0%
Q4 2022+5.6%+3.7%+7.1%
Q3 2022-0.3%-0.3%-8.3%
Q2 2022-6.8%-5.3%-4.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.7%+11.2%
Q4 2021+5.7%+5.0%-10.0%
Q3 2021-6.6%-10.2%-4.2%
Q2 2021+1.3%+1.5%+5.6%
Q1 2021+3.7%+6.6%+7.2%
Q4 2020+9.5%+12.2%+26.5%
Q3 2020+0.2%+1.6%+10.0%
Q2 2020-4.2%+4.7%-1.5%
Q1 2020-3.7%-0.7%-6.5%
Q4 2019+4.4%+3.6%+2.6%
Q3 2019-12.6%-14.2%-15.1%
Q2 2019-2.3%-4.3%-11.8%
Q1 2019+5.3%+8.3%+20.2%
Q4 2018+9.5%+11.7%+16.8%
Q3 2018-11.0%-8.2%-1.5%
Q2 2018+0.9%+0.9%+2.3%
Q1 2018+0.9%-0.1%-5.6%
Q4 2017-3.9%-4.9%-4.9%
Q3 2017+0.6%-0.6%-0.1%
Q2 2017+0.1%-0.4%+2.2%
Q1 2017+3.7%+3.1%+3.4%
Q4 2016+0.4%+12.0%+20.7%
Q3 2016+4.5%+5.4%+9.5%
Q2 2016+8.7%
Q1 2016-22.0%
Q4 2015+1.2%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014+2.7%
Q3 2014-6.2%
Q2 2014+3.0%
Q1 2014-10.3%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013-2.6%
Q2 2012+0.4%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q2 2011+5.5%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q3 2011-2.5%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q1 2011-0.6%
Q4 2010+6.6%
Q4 2008+6.6%
Q3 2009-8.4%
Q4 2009-8.4%
Q3 2010-8.4%
Q2 2010-8.4%

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