NYSE$MOG-A

Moog Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moog reported first quarter results with sales up 11% and diluted earnings per share up 18% year over year.

Moog Inc. reported strong first quarter results with sales of $755 million, an 11% increase year-over-year. Diluted earnings per share rose by 18% to $1.44. The company updated its fiscal year 2020 projections to reflect a recent acquisition and financing activities, forecasting sales of $3.0 billion and diluted earnings per share of $5.50, plus or minus $0.20.

  • Sales increased by 11% to $755 million compared to the previous year.
  • Operating margins improved to 12.0% from 11.7% year over year.
  • Diluted earnings per share rose to $1.44, an 18% increase from the prior year.
  • Cash flow from operating activities was $42 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$755M

Previous: $680M+11.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.44

Previous: $1.25+15.2%
12-Month Backlog

$1.7B

Previous: $1.47B+16.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$27.3M

Previous: -$24.4M-12.0%
Free Cash Flow

$22.7M

Previous: $19.7M+15.3%
Net Income

$50M

Previous: $44.1M+13.5%
Operating Income

$90.7M

Previous: $79.4M+14.2%
Gross Profit

$211M

Previous: $200M+5.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$124M

Previous: $111M+12.2%
Total Assets

$3.35B

Previous: $2.97B+12.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.38M

Previous: $2.01M+18.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Moog · Revenue · Quarterly

$755M

Q1 2020+11.1%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 13 of 14 quarters(93%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moog · $415M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Industrial
    $229M+4.1%
  • Space & Defense
    $186M+19.3%

Forward guidance

Moog updated its fiscal 2020 projections, increasing sales outlook by $35 million to account for the GAT acquisition but decreasing EPS guidance by $0.05 due to the debt offering and share buyback activity.

Tailwinds

  • Forecast sales of $3.0 billion.
  • Forecast full year operating margins of 11.3%.
  • Forecast effective tax rate of 25.3%.
  • Forecast diluted earnings per share of $5.50, plus or minus $0.20.
  • Forecast cash flow from operations of $272 million.

Headwinds

  • The markets served are cyclical and sensitive to economic conditions.
  • Operates in highly competitive markets.
  • Dependence on government contracts that may be terminated or not fully funded.
  • Fixed-price contracts could lead to losses from cost overruns.
  • Potential issues with products and manufacturing processes.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

38 / 69 earnings

Positive

+11.0%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+2.3%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2026+6.1%+11.8%+17.2%
Q4 2025+11.0%+14.7%+24.7%
Q3 2025+3.5%+1.5%+7.3%
Q2 2025-0.2%-1.0%+6.7%
Q1 2025-15.6%-11.6%-18.0%
Q4 2024+3.9%+20.1%+17.3%
Q3 2024-10.9%-9.0%+4.0%
Q2 2024+3.4%+2.1%+10.7%
Q1 2024+2.4%-0.3%+8.0%
Q4 2023+11.0%+7.4%+18.5%
Q3 2023-4.8%-1.7%+2.9%
Q2 2023-0.6%+0.6%+7.1%
Q1 2023+3.3%+4.7%+8.0%
Q4 2022+5.6%+3.7%+7.1%
Q3 2022-0.3%-0.3%-8.3%
Q2 2022-6.8%-5.3%-4.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.7%+11.2%
Q4 2021+5.7%+5.0%-10.0%
Q3 2021-6.6%-10.2%-4.2%
Q2 2021+1.3%+1.5%+5.6%
Q1 2021+3.7%+6.6%+7.2%
Q4 2020+9.5%+12.2%+26.5%
Q3 2020+0.2%+1.6%+10.0%
Q2 2020-4.2%+4.7%-1.5%
Q1 2020-3.7%-0.7%-6.5%
Q4 2019+4.4%+3.6%+2.6%
Q3 2019-12.6%-14.2%-15.1%
Q2 2019-2.3%-4.3%-11.8%
Q1 2019+5.3%+8.3%+20.2%
Q4 2018+9.5%+11.7%+16.8%
Q3 2018-11.0%-8.2%-1.5%
Q2 2018+0.9%+0.9%+2.3%
Q1 2018+0.9%-0.1%-5.6%
Q4 2017-3.9%-4.9%-4.9%
Q3 2017+0.6%-0.6%-0.1%
Q2 2017+0.1%-0.4%+2.2%
Q1 2017+3.7%+3.1%+3.4%
Q4 2016+0.4%+12.0%+20.7%
Q3 2016+4.5%+5.4%+9.5%
Q2 2016+8.7%
Q1 2016-22.0%
Q4 2015+1.2%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014+2.7%
Q3 2014-6.2%
Q2 2014+3.0%
Q1 2014-10.3%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013-2.6%
Q2 2012+0.4%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q2 2011+5.5%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q3 2011-2.5%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q1 2011-0.6%
Q4 2010+6.6%
Q4 2008+6.6%
Q3 2009-8.4%
Q4 2009-8.4%
Q3 2010-8.4%
Q2 2010-8.4%

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