NYSE$MOG-A

Moog Inc · Q1 2023 earnings

Q1 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Moog's first quarter of 2023 showed sales growth and improving margins, with an increase in adjusted diluted earnings per share and reiterated full-year adjusted 2023 earnings guidance.

Moog Inc. reported a 5% increase in net sales to $760 million in Q1 2023, with diluted earnings per share of $1.44 and adjusted diluted earnings per share of $1.25. The company saw stronger operating margins driven by higher sales volumes in Industrial Systems and improved sales mix in Aircraft Controls and Industrial Systems.

  • Net sales increased by 5% to $760 million, reflecting higher sales across all three segments.
  • Adjusted operating margin increased to 10.4%, driven by higher sales volumes in Industrial Systems and improved sales mix in Aircraft Controls and Industrial Systems.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share increased by 14%, driven by stronger operating margin, partially offset by higher interest expense.
  • Consolidated twelve-month backlog increased by 8% year-over-year to $2.3 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$760M

Previous: $724M+5.0%
EPS (adj)

$1.25

Previous: $1.11+12.6%
12-Month Backlog

$2.3B

Previous: $2.2B+4.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$30.1M

Previous: -$37.1M+18.7%
Free Cash Flow

$15.9M

Previous: $9.21M+72.6%
Net Income

$46M

Previous: $46.3M-0.5%
Operating Income

$86.8M

Previous: $80.4M+7.9%
Gross Profit

$204M

Previous: $193M+5.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$143M

Previous: $105M+36.0%
Total Assets

$3.66B

Previous: $3.38B+8.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.97M

Previous: $2.66M+11.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Moog · Revenue · Quarterly

$760M

Q1 2023+5%vs Q1 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 11 quarters(82%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Moog · $450M total across 2 segments · Q1 2023

  • Industrial
    $232M+9.0%
  • Space & Defense
    $218M+4.8%

Forward guidance

Moog Inc. reiterates its fiscal year 2023 guidance for sales, adjusted operating margin, and adjusted earnings per share. The company lowered its fiscal year 2023 free cash flow guidance due to an assumption change related to the previously anticipated repeal of the R&D expense amortization law.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are expected to be $3,175 million.
  • Operating margin is expected to be 11.2%.
  • Adjusted operating margin is expected to be 11.0%.
  • Diluted earnings per share are expected to be $5.89.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share are expected to be $5.70.

Headwinds

  • Free cash flow guidance lowered to $100 million due to an assumption change related to the previously anticipated repeal of the R&D expense amortization law.
  • Earnings per share figures are forecasted to be within range of +/- $0.20.
  • The markets are cyclical and sensitive to domestic and foreign economic conditions and events, which may cause operating results to fluctuate.
  • Dependence on government contracts that may not be fully funded or may be terminated, and the failure to receive funding or the termination of one or more of these contracts could reduce sales and increase costs.
  • A reduced supply, as well as inflated prices, across various raw materials and third-party provided components and sub-assemblies within the supply chain could have a material impact on the ability to manufacture and ship products, in addition to adversely impacting operating profit and balance sheet.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2023

Historical avgQ1 2023

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.7%

Avg return

30 days after

55%

38 / 69 earnings

Positive

+11.0%

Q4 2025

Best reaction

-22.0%

Q1 2016

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2026+2.3%-1.3%+4.2%
Q1 2026+6.1%+11.8%+17.2%
Q4 2025+11.0%+14.7%+24.7%
Q3 2025+3.5%+1.5%+7.3%
Q2 2025-0.2%-1.0%+6.7%
Q1 2025-15.6%-11.6%-18.0%
Q4 2024+3.9%+20.1%+17.3%
Q3 2024-10.9%-9.0%+4.0%
Q2 2024+3.4%+2.1%+10.7%
Q1 2024+2.4%-0.3%+8.0%
Q4 2023+11.0%+7.4%+18.5%
Q3 2023-4.8%-1.7%+2.9%
Q2 2023-0.6%+0.6%+7.1%
Q1 2023+3.3%+4.7%+8.0%
Q4 2022+5.6%+3.7%+7.1%
Q3 2022-0.3%-0.3%-8.3%
Q2 2022-6.8%-5.3%-4.2%
Q1 2022+4.5%+5.7%+11.2%
Q4 2021+5.7%+5.0%-10.0%
Q3 2021-6.6%-10.2%-4.2%
Q2 2021+1.3%+1.5%+5.6%
Q1 2021+3.7%+6.6%+7.2%
Q4 2020+9.5%+12.2%+26.5%
Q3 2020+0.2%+1.6%+10.0%
Q2 2020-4.2%+4.7%-1.5%
Q1 2020-3.7%-0.7%-6.5%
Q4 2019+4.4%+3.6%+2.6%
Q3 2019-12.6%-14.2%-15.1%
Q2 2019-2.3%-4.3%-11.8%
Q1 2019+5.3%+8.3%+20.2%
Q4 2018+9.5%+11.7%+16.8%
Q3 2018-11.0%-8.2%-1.5%
Q2 2018+0.9%+0.9%+2.3%
Q1 2018+0.9%-0.1%-5.6%
Q4 2017-3.9%-4.9%-4.9%
Q3 2017+0.6%-0.6%-0.1%
Q2 2017+0.1%-0.4%+2.2%
Q1 2017+3.7%+3.1%+3.4%
Q4 2016+0.4%+12.0%+20.7%
Q3 2016+4.5%+5.4%+9.5%
Q2 2016+8.7%
Q1 2016-22.0%
Q4 2015+1.2%
Q3 2015-0.2%
Q2 2015-4.3%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014+2.7%
Q3 2014-6.2%
Q2 2014+3.0%
Q1 2014-10.3%
Q4 2013+0.6%
Q3 2013-0.8%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013-2.6%
Q2 2012+0.4%
Q4 2012+0.7%
Q3 2012+3.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q2 2011+5.5%
Q4 2011+5.5%
Q3 2011-2.5%
Q1 2010-0.6%
Q1 2011-0.6%
Q4 2010+6.6%
Q4 2008+6.6%
Q3 2009-8.4%
Q4 2009-8.4%
Q3 2010-8.4%
Q2 2010-8.4%

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