NYSE$MOD

Modine Manufacturing Company · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Modine reported strong fourth quarter results, driving record full year sales and earnings.

Modine reported an 8% increase in net sales to $618.1 million and a significant rise in operating income to $48.5 million, up 135% year-over-year. Earnings per share reached $1.69, a substantial increase from $0.16 in the prior year, with adjusted EPS at $0.67, marking an 18% increase.

  • Net sales increased by 8% compared to the prior year.
  • Operating income increased by $27.9 million, or 135%, from the prior year.
  • Earnings per share was $1.69 compared to $0.16 in the prior year.
  • Adjusted earnings per share of $0.67 increased $0.10, or 18%, from the prior year

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$618M

Previous: $574M+7.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.67

Previous: $0.57+17.5%
Gross Margin

18.2%

Previous: 16.6%+9.6%
Adjusted EBITDA

$65.5M

Previous: $56.7M+15.5%
Capital Expenditures

$15.5M

Previous: $9.6M+61.5%
Free Cash Flow

$24.1M

Previous: -$5.5M+538.2%
Net Income

$90.3M

Previous: $8.5M+962.4%
Operating Income

$48.5M

Previous: $20.6M+135.4%
Gross Profit

$112M

Previous: $95.2M+17.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$67.1M

Previous: $45.2M+48.5%
Total Assets

$1.57B

Previous: $1.43B+9.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.6M

Previous: $1M+60.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Modine · Revenue · Quarterly

$618M

Q4 2023+7.6%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Modine · $627M total across 2 segments · Q4 2023

  • Performance Technologies
    $364M
  • Climate Solutions
    $263M

Forward guidance

Modine anticipates another record year in fiscal 2024, projecting continued margin expansion across both segments, with net sales expected to increase by 4% to 10% and adjusted EBITDA to range from $240 million to $260 million.

Tailwinds

  • Net Sales up 4% to 10%
  • Adjusted EBITDA of $240 to $260 million, up 13% to 23%
  • Anticipated continued margin expansion across both segments
  • Climate Solutions adjusted EBITDA margin is within the 13-15 percent range targeted for fiscal 2024, a full year ahead of schedule
  • Significant margin improvements in Performance Technologies

Headwinds

  • Potential adverse developments or disruptions in the global economy and financial markets, including impacts related to inflation and rising energy costs
  • Supply chain challenges or supplier constraints
  • Tariffs, sanctions and other trade issues or cross-border trade restrictions
  • Foreign currency exchange rate fluctuations
  • Impact of COVID-19 on the national and global economy, our business, suppliers, customers, and employees

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.5%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

40 / 64 earnings

Positive

+41.1%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-39.9%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026
Q3 2026+2.9%+10.1%-6.1%
Q2 2026-4.3%-5.6%+0.1%
Q1 2026+18.7%+23.7%+19.8%
Q4 2025-11.4%-14.9%-8.4%
Q3 2025+7.3%+0.3%-18.0%
Q2 2025-7.8%-14.8%+1.8%
Q1 2025+15.0%-3.4%+13.3%
Q4 2024-5.5%+1.3%-8.3%
Q3 2024+4.7%+6.9%+35.9%
Q2 2024+2.2%+3.1%+31.1%
Q1 2024+13.6%+16.1%+28.6%
Q4 2023+18.3%+32.9%+53.0%
Q3 2023-5.1%-1.0%+11.1%
Q2 2023+3.7%+14.0%+16.7%
Q1 2023+9.8%+18.3%+11.8%
Q4 2022+26.6%+31.4%+29.6%
Q3 2022+14.2%+8.2%-0.3%
Q2 2022-0.7%-0.2%-4.8%
Q1 2022-17.2%-15.5%-26.9%
Q4 2021+0.9%+8.4%+1.0%
Q3 2021+2.7%+7.4%+11.5%
Q2 2021+41.1%+51.8%+77.7%
Q1 2021+19.6%+20.7%+18.7%
Q4 2020-1.7%+0.6%-9.0%
Q3 2020+23.8%+9.8%-14.0%
Q2 2020-39.9%-34.5%-39.3%
Q1 2020-26.4%-21.4%-26.9%
Q4 2019+3.5%+8.0%+5.0%
Q3 2019+9.0%+6.7%+7.4%
Q2 2019+11.2%+17.5%+12.9%
Q1 2019+0.3%+1.4%-3.4%
Q4 2018+4.9%-2.2%+3.3%
Q3 2018+0.4%+4.7%-4.1%
Q2 2018+10.4%+13.8%+10.9%
Q1 2018+3.1%+5.8%-0.6%
Q4 2017+20.9%+19.7%+27.6%
Q3 2017-10.0%-13.0%-14.5%
Q2 2017-12.3%-15.1%+21.0%
Q1 2017-0.7%+2.7%+14.6%
Q4 2016-2.6%-6.8%-18.5%
Q3 2016+16.3%
Q2 2016+1.7%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-6.5%
Q3 2015-0.4%
Q2 2015+3.1%
Q1 2015-2.6%
Q4 2014-3.4%
Q3 2014+11.1%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014+25.6%
Q4 2013+8.5%
Q3 2013+2.0%
Q2 2013+0.1%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2010+6.4%
Q4 2012-11.6%
Q3 2012+1.1%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2012+5.1%
Q4 2011-5.7%
Q1 2011-5.7%
Q1 2012-5.7%
Q2 2011-5.7%

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