NYSE$MOD

Modine Manufacturing Company · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Modine's Q4 2022 earnings were driven by higher revenues in key end markets and early benefits from 80/20 actions.

Modine Manufacturing Company reported a 12% increase in net sales for the fourth quarter, reaching $574.4 million. Operating income improved significantly to $20.6 million, and adjusted earnings per share rose to $0.57. The company saw strong growth in its Building HVAC and Commercial and Industrial Solutions segments.

  • Net sales increased by 12% to $574.4 million compared to the prior year.
  • Operating income improved by $34.9 million from the prior year operating loss, reaching $20.6 million.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 34% to $56.7 million from the prior year.
  • Earnings per share was $0.16 compared to a loss per share of $0.29 in the prior year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$574M

Previous: $515M+11.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.57

Previous: $0.51+11.8%
Gross Margin

16.6%

No prior period
Adjusted EBITDA

$56.7M

Previous: $42.2M+34.4%
Capital Expenditures

$9.6M

Previous: $9M+6.7%
Free Cash Flow

-$5.5M

Previous: -$5.7M+3.5%
Net Income

$8.5M

Previous: -$14.6M+158.2%
Operating Income

$20.6M

Previous: -$14.3M+244.1%
Gross Profit

$95.2M

Previous: $83.8M+13.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$45.2M

Previous: $37.8M+19.6%
Total Assets

$1.43B

Previous: $1.28B+11.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$1M

Previous: $2.1M-52.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Modine · Revenue · Quarterly

$574M

Q4 2022+11.6%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Modine · $960M total across 2 segments · Q4 2026

  • Climate Solutions
    $666M
  • Performance Technologies
    $294M

Forward guidance

Modine expects key markets to remain strong, but continues to monitor uncertainty from inflationary risks, lockdowns in China, and the war in Ukraine. The company is focused on growth in target verticals, reducing complexity, and improving margins.

Tailwinds

  • Expect key markets to remain strong.
  • Aggressively addressing inflationary risks.
  • Working to strengthen customer and supplier relationships.
  • Executing on cost reduction initiatives.
  • Focusing on growth in target verticals.

Headwinds

  • Monitoring uncertainty created by inflationary risks.
  • Monitoring lockdowns in China.
  • Monitoring the war in the Ukraine.
  • Addressing ongoing volatility created by supply chain challenges.
  • Remaining diligent in addressing inflationary pressures.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+4.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+6.5%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

40 / 64 earnings

Positive

+41.1%

Q2 2021

Best reaction

-39.9%

Q2 2020

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026
Q3 2026+2.9%+10.1%-6.1%
Q2 2026-4.3%-5.6%+0.1%
Q1 2026+18.7%+23.7%+19.8%
Q4 2025-11.4%-14.9%-8.4%
Q3 2025+7.3%+0.3%-18.0%
Q2 2025-7.8%-14.8%+1.8%
Q1 2025+15.0%-3.4%+13.3%
Q4 2024-5.5%+1.3%-8.3%
Q3 2024+4.7%+6.9%+35.9%
Q2 2024+2.2%+3.1%+31.1%
Q1 2024+13.6%+16.1%+28.6%
Q4 2023+18.3%+32.9%+53.0%
Q3 2023-5.1%-1.0%+11.1%
Q2 2023+3.7%+14.0%+16.7%
Q1 2023+9.8%+18.3%+11.8%
Q4 2022+26.6%+31.4%+29.6%
Q3 2022+14.2%+8.2%-0.3%
Q2 2022-0.7%-0.2%-4.8%
Q1 2022-17.2%-15.5%-26.9%
Q4 2021+0.9%+8.4%+1.0%
Q3 2021+2.7%+7.4%+11.5%
Q2 2021+41.1%+51.8%+77.7%
Q1 2021+19.6%+20.7%+18.7%
Q4 2020-1.7%+0.6%-9.0%
Q3 2020+23.8%+9.8%-14.0%
Q2 2020-39.9%-34.5%-39.3%
Q1 2020-26.4%-21.4%-26.9%
Q4 2019+3.5%+8.0%+5.0%
Q3 2019+9.0%+6.7%+7.4%
Q2 2019+11.2%+17.5%+12.9%
Q1 2019+0.3%+1.4%-3.4%
Q4 2018+4.9%-2.2%+3.3%
Q3 2018+0.4%+4.7%-4.1%
Q2 2018+10.4%+13.8%+10.9%
Q1 2018+3.1%+5.8%-0.6%
Q4 2017+20.9%+19.7%+27.6%
Q3 2017-10.0%-13.0%-14.5%
Q2 2017-12.3%-15.1%+21.0%
Q1 2017-0.7%+2.7%+14.6%
Q4 2016-2.6%-6.8%-18.5%
Q3 2016+16.3%
Q2 2016+1.7%
Q1 2016-2.2%
Q4 2015-6.5%
Q3 2015-0.4%
Q2 2015+3.1%
Q1 2015-2.6%
Q4 2014-3.4%
Q3 2014+11.1%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014+25.6%
Q4 2013+8.5%
Q3 2013+2.0%
Q2 2013+0.1%
Q1 2013+0.3%
Q4 2010+6.4%
Q4 2012-11.6%
Q3 2012+1.1%
Q3 2011+1.1%
Q2 2012+5.1%
Q4 2011-5.7%
Q1 2011-5.7%
Q1 2012-5.7%
Q2 2011-5.7%

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