NYSE$LII

Lennox International Inc · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Lennox International reported first quarter results, impacted by adverse weather and the COVID-19 pandemic, and updated financial outlook for the year based on current market assumptions.

Lennox International's first-quarter GAAP revenue was $724 million, down 8%. GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.32, compared to $1.73 in the prior-year quarter. Adjusted EPS from continuing operations was $0.56 compared to $1.68 in the prior-year quarter.

  • First-quarter revenue on a GAAP basis was down 8%; excluding the impact from prior-year divestitures, adjusted revenue was down 4%.
  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.32 compared to $1.73 in the prior-year quarter, which included $0.87 of insurance benefit related to the tornado.
  • Adjusted EPS from continuing operations was $0.56 compared to $1.68 in the prior-year quarter, which included $0.75 of insurance benefit related to the tornado.
  • The company repurchased $100 million of stock in the first quarter.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$724M

Previous: $790M-8.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.56

Previous: $1.68-66.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$24.7M

Previous: -$37.2M+33.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$11.8M

Previous: $32.1M-136.8%
Net Income

$12.9M

Previous: $69.3M-81.4%
Operating Income

$36.4M

Previous: $94.7M-61.6%
Gross Profit

$166M

Previous: $202M-17.8%
Cash & Equivalents

$39.1M

Previous: $31.7M+23.3%
Total Assets

$2.13B

Previous: $2.11B+1.1%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.7M

Previous: $5.2M-28.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Lennox · Revenue · Quarterly

$724M

Q1 2020-8.4%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Lennox · $621M total across 2 segments · Q1 2020

  • Home Comfort Solutions
    $442M-5.0%
  • Building Climate Solutions
    $178M+2.9%

Forward guidance

For 2020, the company currently assumes a negative 20% impact from COVID-19 on the North America unitary HVAC and refrigeration market. 2020 adjusted revenue is expected to be down 11-17% from the prior year versus previous guidance for 4-8% growth. The company is currently estimating 2020 GAAP EPS from continuing operations of $7.07-$8.07 and adjusted EPS from continuing operations of $7.50-$8.50.

Tailwinds

  • Lennox has a focused and seasoned team with experience managing through economic downturns.
  • The company has already taken cost reduction actions to realize $115 million in SG&A savings for the balance of the year.
  • Cash generation this year is expected to remain strong as working capital requirements shrink.
  • The company is taking action to reduce capital expenditures.
  • The company expects to strengthen its position in the market as it emerges in the recovery.

Headwinds

  • Significant challenges lie ahead in uncertain market conditions.
  • The company expects a negative 20% impact from the pandemic.
  • Company revenue is expected to be down 11-17%.
  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations is expected to be $7.07-$8.07.
  • Adjusted EPS from continuing operations is expected to be in the range of $7.50-$8.50 for 2020.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

-0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.3%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+13.4%

Q3 2014

Best reaction

-12.9%

Q2 2011

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%+3.9%+1.2%
Q4 2025-4.0%-0.7%+14.3%
Q3 2025-9.8%-8.5%-15.3%
Q1 2025-9.0%-5.0%+1.5%
Q4 2024-8.8%-12.0%-9.3%
Q3 2024+4.4%+3.1%+10.7%
Q2 2024-4.1%+0.1%+2.6%
Q1 2024-0.2%+0.1%+5.6%
Q4 2023-5.2%-5.6%+5.6%
Q3 2023+5.7%+9.2%+22.7%
Q2 2023+8.1%+11.6%+7.4%
Q1 2023+9.7%+9.5%+9.1%
Q4 2022+9.4%+12.1%+4.2%
Q3 2022+1.4%+0.2%+14.2%
Q2 2022+5.5%+5.4%+6.9%
Q1 2022-9.2%-13.6%-16.8%
Q4 2021-4.0%-5.9%-3.5%
Q3 2021-3.0%-4.1%+2.1%
Q2 2021+3.6%+2.8%+3.4%
Q1 2021+1.4%+0.3%+3.6%
Q4 2020-4.3%-3.1%-1.7%
Q3 2020-1.5%-0.0%+2.8%
Q2 2020+2.5%+7.2%+12.9%
Q1 2020-5.9%-4.0%+4.4%
Q4 2019+3.8%+0.7%+9.4%
Q3 2019-2.3%-4.0%+0.8%
Q2 2019-5.2%-5.7%-6.3%
Q1 2019-2.2%+0.3%+2.6%
Q4 2018+1.1%+0.3%+5.0%
Q3 2018+2.2%+3.1%+10.7%
Q2 2018-3.2%-2.4%+3.0%
Q1 2018-4.0%+0.6%+4.4%
Q4 2017+2.5%+1.1%+5.1%
Q3 2017+9.0%+7.2%+8.8%
Q2 2017-5.7%-6.2%-10.4%
Q1 2017-2.1%-4.1%+1.8%
Q4 2016+3.8%+3.7%+5.8%
Q3 2016-3.7%-4.8%-4.4%
Q2 2016+2.0%+2.4%+5.6%
Q1 2016-1.2%
Q4 2015-0.3%
Q3 2015+5.4%
Q2 2015+7.5%
Q1 2015-5.2%
Q4 2014+2.8%
Q3 2014+13.4%
Q2 2014+2.3%
Q1 2014-4.2%
Q4 2013+1.4%
Q3 2013+2.9%
Q2 2013+4.7%
Q1 2013+0.0%
Q4 2012+1.3%
Q3 2012+2.4%
Q2 2012-9.3%
Q1 2012+10.5%
Q4 2011+2.7%
Q4 2008+2.7%
Q3 2011+9.6%
Q2 2011-12.9%
Q1 2010-7.7%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q4 2010-2.3%
Q3 2009-5.5%
Q3 2010-5.5%
Q4 2009-6.3%
Q2 2010-6.3%
Q2 2009-6.3%

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