NYSE$KO

Coca-Cola · Q3 2023 earnings

Q3 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Coca-Cola reported solid results and raised full-year guidance due to year-to-date performance.

Coca-Cola reported an 8% increase in net revenues, reaching $12.0 billion, and an 11% growth in organic revenues. EPS grew by 9% to $0.71, and comparable EPS grew by 7% to $0.74. The company is raising its full-year topline and bottom-line guidance.

  • Net revenues grew 8% to $12.0 billion, with organic revenues growing 11%.
  • EPS grew 9% to $0.71, and comparable EPS grew 7% to $0.74.
  • Operating margin was 27.4%, while comparable operating margin was 29.7%.
  • The company gained value share in total nonalcoholic ready-to-drink (NARTD) beverages.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$12B

Previous: $11.1B+8.0%
EPS (adj)

$0.74

Previous: $0.69+7.2%
Organic revenue growth

11.0%

Previous: 16.0%-31.3%
Unit case volume growth

2.0%

Previous: 4.0%-50.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$1B

Previous: -$776M-29.0%
Free Cash Flow

$2.09B

Previous: $2.05B+1.8%
Net Income

$3.09B

Previous: $2.83B+9.3%
Operating Income

$3.27B

Previous: $3.09B+5.9%
Gross Profit

$7.3B

Previous: $6.5B+12.3%
Cash & Equivalents

$11.9B

Previous: $10.1B+17.3%
Total Assets

$97.6B

Previous: $92.5B+5.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$57M

Previous: $84M-32.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Coca-Cola · Revenue · Quarterly

$12B

Q3 2023+8%vs Q3 2022
Beat estimate in 11 of 15 quarters(73%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects to deliver organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth of 10% to 11%. Comparable EPS (non-GAAP) percentage growth is expected to include an approximate 6% currency headwind. The company expects to generate free cash flow (non-GAAP) of approximately $9.5 billion.

Tailwinds

  • The company expects to deliver organic revenue (non-GAAP) growth of 10% to 11%.
  • The company expects commodity price inflation to be a mid single-digit percentage headwind on comparable cost of goods sold (non-GAAP).
  • The company's underlying effective tax rate (non-GAAP) is estimated to be 19.0%.
  • The company expects to generate free cash flow (non-GAAP) of approximately $9.5 billion.
  • The company continues to expect to repurchase shares to offset dilution resulting from employee stock-based compensation plans and may also use a portion of the proceeds we expect to receive from nonoperating activities to repurchase additional shares.

Headwinds

  • For comparable net revenues (non-GAAP), the company expects an approximate 4% currency headwind.
  • The company expects an approximate 1% headwind from acquisitions, divestitures and structural changes.
  • Comparable EPS (non-GAAP) percentage growth is expected to include an approximate 6% currency headwind.
  • Comparable EPS (non-GAAP) percentage growth is expected to include a slight headwind from acquisitions, divestitures and structural changes.
  • Comparable net revenues (non-GAAP) are expected to include an approximate 4% currency headwind based on the current rates and including the impact of hedged positions, in addition to an approximate 1% headwind from acquisitions, divestitures and structural changes.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2023

Historical avgQ3 2023

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.5%

Avg return

30 days after

59%

43 / 73 earnings

Positive

+6.1%

Q1 2013

Best reaction

-9.1%

Q4 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+6.0%+4.2%+6.6%
Q4 2025-1.5%+0.9%-0.5%
Q3 2025+3.7%+1.9%+4.0%
Q2 2025+0.6%-0.6%-3.6%
Q1 2025+0.8%-0.2%-0.4%
Q4 2024+4.7%+6.7%+7.9%
Q3 2024-3.1%-4.0%-8.0%
Q2 2024+1.6%+3.5%+7.0%
Q1 2024-0.2%+0.2%-0.1%
Q4 2023-0.7%-0.5%+1.3%
Q3 2023+3.8%+2.1%+8.0%
Q2 2023+0.3%-0.5%-3.0%
Q1 2023-0.3%+0.2%-4.9%
Q4 2022-1.7%-0.8%-0.5%
Q3 2022+3.2%+5.5%+8.8%
Q2 2022+1.3%+3.2%+4.0%
Q1 2022-0.3%-1.0%-1.8%
Q4 2021-1.2%-0.2%-5.1%
Q3 2021+2.9%+3.1%-1.4%
Q2 2021+1.1%+2.2%+1.5%
Q1 2021+0.9%+1.5%+0.9%
Q4 2020+1.2%+2.0%+1.3%
Q3 2020+1.1%-0.2%+5.4%
Q2 2020+5.1%+5.1%+2.7%
Q1 2020-1.8%-2.4%-2.9%
Q4 2019+2.4%+3.2%-6.2%
Q3 2019+0.8%+1.6%-2.1%
Q2 2019+5.0%+5.8%+6.4%
Q1 2019+1.2%+1.8%+5.2%
Q4 2018-9.1%-10.0%-9.0%
Q3 2018+3.1%+3.3%+5.4%
Q2 2018+2.2%+2.1%+0.8%
Q1 2018-3.5%-1.5%-3.8%
Q4 2017-1.8%-3.2%-2.9%
Q3 2017+0.1%-0.7%-0.6%
Q2 2017+1.9%+1.3%+0.7%
Q1 2017-0.1%-0.3%+4.9%
Q4 2016-3.4%-3.5%+0.6%
Q3 2016-1.0%-0.3%-2.4%
Q2 2016-2.7%-3.2%-3.5%
Q1 2016-6.3%
Q4 2015-0.2%
Q3 2015+2.2%
Q2 2015-0.8%
Q1 2015+0.4%
Q4 2014+2.8%
Q3 2014-6.2%
Q2 2014-3.7%
Q1 2014+4.8%
Q4 2013-4.7%
Q3 2013+0.2%
Q2 2013-0.4%
Q1 2013+6.1%
Q4 2012-3.6%
Q3 2012-1.0%
Q2 2012+1.3%
Q1 2012+0.8%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2011+2.1%
Q2 2011-1.4%
Q1 2011+2.0%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q2 2010+2.3%
Q1 2009+0.2%
Q1 2010-0.8%
Q4 2007+0.3%
Q4 2009+0.3%
Q3 2008-0.3%
Q3 2009-0.3%
Q4 2008+1.1%
Q2 2008+1.1%
Q2 2009+1.1%

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