NYSE$KNX

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. · Q4 2024 earnings

Q4 2024 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Knight-Swift reported mixed results for Q4 2024, with strong truckload performance offsetting LTL expansion costs.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. reported Q4 2024 net income of $69.5 million, or $0.43 per diluted share. Adjusted EPS was $0.36. Consolidated total revenue was $1.9 billion, a 3.5% decrease from Q4 2023. The truckload segment saw an improved Adjusted Operating Ratio, while the LTL segment experienced revenue growth but decreased Adjusted Operating Income due to expansion costs.

  • Consolidated total revenue decreased by 3.5% year-over-year to $1.9 billion.
  • GAAP earnings per diluted share were $0.43, compared to $(0.07) in the prior year.
  • The LTL segment experienced a 20.2% year-over-year increase in revenues, excluding fuel surcharge.
  • Adjusted Operating Ratio for the truckload segment improved 170 basis points year-over-year to 92.2%.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.86B

Previous: $1.93B-3.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.09+300.0%
Miles per Tractor

20.7K

Previous: 20.2K+2.4%
LTL Shipments per Day

21.9K

Previous: 19.3K+13.3%
LTL Weight per Shipment

1.0K

Previous: 1.0K-2.8%
LTL Revenue per Shipment

$178.23

Previous: $167.22+6.6%
LTL Revenue per CWT

$17.75

Previous: $19.29-8.0%
Logistics Revenue per Load

$2.07K

Previous: $1.85K+12.3%
Intermodal Load Count

38.6K

Previous: 35.0K+10.2%
Capital Expenditures

$26.9M

No prior period
Net Income

$69.5M

Previous: -$10.7M+752.2%
Operating Income

$78M

Previous: $18.3M+326.4%
Gross Profit

$270M

Previous: $152M+77.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Knight-Swift · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.86B

Q4 2024-3.5%vs Q4 2023
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Knight-Swift · $1.68B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Truckload
    $1.18B+1.7%
  • LTL
    $240M-13.9%
  • Logistics
    $159M-24.7%
  • Intermodal
    $101M-22.6%

Forward guidance

The company expects Adjusted EPS to range from $0.29 to $0.33 for Q1 2025 and $0.46 to $0.50 for Q2 2025, anticipating a gradual recovery in market conditions.

Tailwinds

  • Truckload segment revenue seasonally down low-to-mid single-digit percent sequentially in the first quarter and up mid-single-digit percent sequentially into the second quarter.
  • LTL Segment revenue, excluding fuel surcharge, growth between 20% - 25% year-over-year in first and second quarters.
  • Adjusted Operating Ratio modestly improves sequentially in the LTL first quarter and moves into high 80’s in the second quarter.
  • Logistics Segment revenue up high single-digit percent year-over-year in both first and second quarters, with Adjusted Operating Ratio remaining stable with fourth quarter levels.
  • Intermodal Segment load count up low-to-mid-teens percent year-over-year in both first and second quarters

Headwinds

  • Truckload segment operating margins declining modestly sequentially in the first quarter.
  • Tractor count down low single-digit percent sequentially in the first quarter.
  • Approximately break-even operating margins in Intermodal first quarter.
  • Net interest expense down modestly sequentially in the first quarter and stable sequentially into the second quarter.
  • The factors described under "Forward-Looking Statements," among others, could cause actual results to materially vary from this guidance.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2024

Historical avgQ4 2024

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

30 / 66 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q4 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.8%-0.5%+7.3%
Q4 2025+2.7%-5.2%+6.5%
Q3 2025-7.2%-7.7%-6.8%
Q2 2025-1.3%-2.3%-3.2%
Q1 2025+1.9%-1.0%+8.2%
Q4 2024+4.7%+6.4%-5.2%
Q3 2024-1.6%+1.9%+9.1%
Q2 2024+5.3%+5.7%+9.6%
Q1 2024-4.2%-4.8%-3.1%
Q4 2023+1.5%+1.1%+2.1%
Q3 2023+8.3%+6.2%+8.8%
Q2 2023-0.1%+2.5%+0.0%
Q1 2023-0.5%-3.2%-3.9%
Q4 2022+3.0%+3.0%+0.3%
Q3 2022-6.9%-3.0%+9.6%
Q2 2022+3.0%+0.6%+9.7%
Q1 2022+3.6%+5.2%-2.1%
Q4 2021-1.5%+2.2%-1.9%
Q3 2021+11.8%+9.3%+12.3%
Q2 2021+0.2%+1.5%+3.8%
Q1 2021-5.0%-6.2%-1.9%
Q4 2020-8.2%-10.1%-2.9%
Q3 2020+0.6%-0.5%+6.2%
Q2 2020+1.0%-1.4%+3.7%
Q1 2020+0.4%+6.2%+13.4%
Q4 2019+5.2%+3.2%-11.7%
Q3 2019+0.1%+0.6%-2.8%
Q2 2019-3.2%-1.9%-14.8%
Q1 2019-0.8%-2.5%-14.3%
Q4 2018+10.9%+6.2%+14.9%
Q3 2018+10.6%+3.9%+8.1%
Q2 2018-7.4%-7.5%-5.8%
Q1 2018-6.4%-7.1%-3.7%
Q4 2017+6.6%+3.0%+4.0%
Q3 2017-6.4%-6.9%+3.5%
Q2 2017-4.9%-3.8%+1.3%
Q1 2017+0.1%-1.7%-4.6%
Q4 2016-1.5%+0.6%-3.9%
Q3 2016+3.3%+4.3%+25.4%
Q2 2016+2.8%+1.2%-2.5%
Q1 2016+0.1%
Q4 2015-5.9%
Q3 2015-6.4%
Q2 2015-7.2%
Q1 2015-2.9%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014+1.6%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+3.2%
Q3 2013+1.1%
Q2 2013+1.1%
Q1 2013+1.8%
Q4 2012-2.6%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-0.6%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q2 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q4 2010-0.5%
Q1 2010+1.8%

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