NYSE$KNX

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Knight-Swift reported a net loss attributable to Knight-Swift of $10.7 million and Adjusted Net Income Attributable to Knight-Swift of $14.5 million for Q4 2023. The results included a $71.7 million operating loss in the third-party insurance business, which was initiated for exit during the quarter. U.S. Xpress achieved positive Adjusted Operating Income for the quarter.

Knight-Swift Transportation Holdings Inc. reported fourth quarter 2023 results, which included a net loss of $10.7 million and adjusted net income of $14.5 million. Consolidated total revenue was $1.9 billion, a 10.8% increase from the fourth quarter of 2022. The results were impacted by a $71.7 million operating loss in the third-party insurance business, which the company decided to exit. U.S. Xpress achieved positive Adjusted Operating Income for the quarter.

  • Consolidated total revenue increased by 10.8% year-over-year to $1.9 billion.
  • Net loss attributable to Knight-Swift was $10.7 million, with an Adjusted Net Income of $14.5 million.
  • The company experienced a $71.7 million operating loss in its third-party insurance business and decided to exit this market.
  • U.S. Xpress achieved positive Adjusted Operating Income for the quarter, though its inclusion negatively impacted the Truckload segment's Adjusted Operating Ratio by 250 basis points.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.93B

Previous: $1.74B+10.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.09

Previous: $1.00-91.0%
Miles per Tractor

20.2K

Previous: 18.7K+8.4%
LTL Shipments per Day

19.3K

Previous: 17.3K+11.9%
LTL Weight per Shipment

1.0K

Previous: 1.1K-1.9%
LTL Revenue per Shipment

$167.22

Previous: $194.93-14.2%
LTL Revenue per CWT

$19.29

Previous: $18.51+4.2%
Logistics Revenue per Load

$1.85K

Previous: $1.99K-7.4%
Intermodal Load Count

35.0K

Previous: 33.6K+4.2%
Net Income

-$10.7M

Previous: $149M-107.2%
Operating Income

$18.3M

Previous: $203M-91.0%
Gross Profit

$152M

Previous: $402M-62.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Knight-Swift · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.93B

Q4 2023+10.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Knight-Swift · $1.68B total across 4 segments · Q3 2023

  • Truckload
    $1.18B+1.7%
  • LTL
    $240M-13.9%
  • Logistics
    $159M-24.7%
  • Intermodal
    $101M-22.6%

Forward guidance

Knight-Swift expects Adjusted EPS to range from $0.37 to $0.41 for the first quarter of 2024 and from $0.53 to $0.57 for the second quarter of 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Truckload margin down slightly sequentially and improves in the second quarter.
  • Truckload miles per tractor increase mid-single digit percent year-over-year in the first half.
  • LTL shipment count improves mid-to-high single digit percent year-over-year and revenue per hundredweight, excluding fuel surcharge, improves mid-to-high single digit percent year-over-year.
  • Intermodal volumes flat year-over-year in the first quarter before building high-single digit percent in the second quarter.
  • Net interest expense stable sequentially with fourth quarter levels through the first half.

Headwinds

  • Given the unusual degree of uncertainty as to the direction and magnitude of outcomes from bid season.
  • The timing and degree of an inflection in market conditions.
  • The difficulty assessing prevailing levels of demand as a result of weather disruptions in January.
  • Logistics volume declines high-single digit percent sequentially in the first quarter before partially recovering in the second quarter.
  • Truckload tractor count down modestly sequentially through the first half.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.8%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

30 / 66 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q3 2021

Best reaction

-9.4%

Q4 2014

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+2.8%-0.5%+7.3%
Q4 2025+2.7%-5.2%+6.5%
Q3 2025-7.2%-7.7%-6.8%
Q2 2025-1.3%-2.3%-3.2%
Q1 2025+1.9%-1.0%+8.2%
Q4 2024+4.7%+6.4%-5.2%
Q3 2024-1.6%+1.9%+9.1%
Q2 2024+5.3%+5.7%+9.6%
Q1 2024-4.2%-4.8%-3.1%
Q4 2023+1.5%+1.1%+2.1%
Q3 2023+8.3%+6.2%+8.8%
Q2 2023-0.1%+2.5%+0.0%
Q1 2023-0.5%-3.2%-3.9%
Q4 2022+3.0%+3.0%+0.3%
Q3 2022-6.9%-3.0%+9.6%
Q2 2022+3.0%+0.6%+9.7%
Q1 2022+3.6%+5.2%-2.1%
Q4 2021-1.5%+2.2%-1.9%
Q3 2021+11.8%+9.3%+12.3%
Q2 2021+0.2%+1.5%+3.8%
Q1 2021-5.0%-6.2%-1.9%
Q4 2020-8.2%-10.1%-2.9%
Q3 2020+0.6%-0.5%+6.2%
Q2 2020+1.0%-1.4%+3.7%
Q1 2020+0.4%+6.2%+13.4%
Q4 2019+5.2%+3.2%-11.7%
Q3 2019+0.1%+0.6%-2.8%
Q2 2019-3.2%-1.9%-14.8%
Q1 2019-0.8%-2.5%-14.3%
Q4 2018+10.9%+6.2%+14.9%
Q3 2018+10.6%+3.9%+8.1%
Q2 2018-7.4%-7.5%-5.8%
Q1 2018-6.4%-7.1%-3.7%
Q4 2017+6.6%+3.0%+4.0%
Q3 2017-6.4%-6.9%+3.5%
Q2 2017-4.9%-3.8%+1.3%
Q1 2017+0.1%-1.7%-4.6%
Q4 2016-1.5%+0.6%-3.9%
Q3 2016+3.3%+4.3%+25.4%
Q2 2016+2.8%+1.2%-2.5%
Q1 2016+0.1%
Q4 2015-5.9%
Q3 2015-6.4%
Q2 2015-7.2%
Q1 2015-2.9%
Q4 2014-9.4%
Q3 2014-2.0%
Q2 2014+1.6%
Q1 2014-2.0%
Q4 2013+3.2%
Q3 2013+1.1%
Q2 2013+1.1%
Q1 2013+1.8%
Q4 2012-2.6%
Q3 2012-0.7%
Q2 2012-1.7%
Q1 2011-2.2%
Q1 2012-0.6%
Q4 2011-1.4%
Q4 2009-1.4%
Q2 2011-1.4%
Q3 2011-4.5%
Q3 2010-4.5%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q4 2010-0.5%
Q1 2010+1.8%

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