NYSE$KAI

Kadant Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kadant's Q4 2022 performance was reported, demonstrating revenue growth and increased profitability, although bookings decreased.

Kadant reported a 6% increase in revenue to $232 million for Q4 2022. Net income increased by 8% to $26 million, and GAAP diluted EPS also increased by 8% to $2.23. Adjusted EBITDA increased by 10% to $50 million. However, bookings decreased by 7% to $215 million.

  • Revenue increased by 6% to a record $232 million.
  • Net income increased by 8% to $26 million.
  • GAAP diluted EPS increased by 8% to $2.23.
  • Adjusted EBITDA increased by 10% to $50 million, representing 21.3% of revenue.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$232M

Previous: $219M+6.2%
EPS (adj)

$2.33

Previous: $2.31+0.9%
Gross Margin

43.1%

Previous: 42.4%+1.7%
Adjusted EBITDA

$49.5M

Previous: $44.8M+10.5%
Capital Expenditures

$12M

Previous: $7.6M+58.1%
Free Cash Flow

$23.2M

Previous: $85.3M-72.9%
Net Income

$26M

Previous: $16.2M+60.4%
Operating Income

$39M

Previous: $22M+77.0%
Gross Profit

$100M

Previous: $74.2M+34.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$79.7M

Previous: $65.7M+21.4%
Total Assets

$1.15B

Previous: $928M+24.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$2M

Previous: $6.78M-70.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Kadant · Revenue · Quarterly

$232M

Q4 2022+6.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

For 2023, Kadant expects revenue of $900 to $925 million, GAAP diluted EPS of $8.72 to $8.97, and adjusted diluted EPS of $8.80 to $9.05. For the first quarter of 2023, the company expects GAAP diluted EPS of $2.08 to $2.20 on revenue of $217 to $223 million.

Tailwinds

  • Strong backlog at the end of 2022 positions the company well for a solid start to 2023.
  • Ongoing project activity is healthy.
  • Revenue of $900 to $925 million is expected for 2023.
  • GAAP diluted EPS of $8.72 to $8.97 is expected for 2023.
  • GAAP diluted EPS of $2.08 to $2.20 is expected for the first quarter of 2023.

Headwinds

  • Uncertainty in the latter half of 2023 as central banks work to ease inflationary pressures.
  • Moving costs related to the relocation of one of our Chinese facilities, adjusted diluted EPS of $8.80 to $9.05.
  • Revenue of $217 to $223 million is expected for the first quarter of 2023.
  • Macroeconomic headwinds.
  • Lingering supply chain constraints.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

35 / 63 earnings

Positive

+13.1%

Q2 2017

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+15.6%+1.2%
Q4 2025+2.7%+4.8%-7.5%
Q3 2025+0.8%-7.3%-6.8%
Q1 2025-6.5%-7.1%-0.5%
Q4 2024-0.7%+11.6%-1.2%
Q3 2024+4.2%+6.6%+25.2%
Q2 2024-0.6%-12.4%-9.4%
Q1 2024-8.9%-5.1%-4.2%
Q4 2023+12.0%+11.5%+4.5%
Q3 2023+6.8%+10.9%+18.3%
Q2 2023-6.7%-4.8%-1.4%
Q1 2023+3.4%+4.7%+2.9%
Q4 2022+4.7%+8.1%-2.5%
Q3 2022-5.2%-1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2022-3.0%-5.0%-12.8%
Q1 2022+5.9%-1.2%+1.5%
Q4 2021-4.6%-6.3%-3.6%
Q3 2021+2.6%+5.2%+6.7%
Q2 2021+9.2%+12.8%+20.3%
Q1 2021-0.7%+3.7%-5.4%
Q3 2020-4.5%-1.9%+12.1%
Q2 2020-6.1%-7.3%-1.2%
Q1 2020+0.4%-2.3%+15.7%
Q4 2019-14.4%-10.4%-33.7%
Q3 2019+1.4%+5.3%+11.6%
Q2 2019+8.3%-1.9%-5.0%
Q1 2019-0.9%-7.0%-16.1%
Q4 2018+2.6%+1.6%+1.8%
Q3 2018+5.9%+4.7%-1.8%
Q2 2018-0.2%-5.4%+4.8%
Q1 2018+0.7%-0.6%+4.5%
Q4 2017-0.4%-0.6%+4.8%
Q3 2017+10.2%+3.2%-0.0%
Q2 2017+13.1%+11.1%+11.3%
Q1 2017+13.0%+18.8%+26.2%
Q4 2016+0.0%-0.3%-6.7%
Q3 2016+3.1%+1.6%+22.0%
Q2 2016+3.9%-1.0%+1.7%
Q1 2016+3.0%
Q4 2015-2.9%
Q3 2015-3.3%
Q2 2015+5.0%
Q1 2015-6.9%
Q4 2014+1.0%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014-2.3%
Q4 2013+4.4%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013+6.4%
Q4 2012-9.0%
Q3 2012+10.3%
Q2 2012-8.2%
Q1 2012+1.6%
Q4 2011-0.8%
Q4 2010-0.8%
Q3 2011-4.8%
Q2 2011+11.6%
Q1 2011+11.6%
Q3 2010+0.6%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2010+5.2%

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