NYSE$KAI

Kadant Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Kadant reported a solid finish to a record-setting year with revenue up 3% and strong growth in the material handling segment.

Kadant Inc. reported its financial results for the fourth quarter and fiscal year ended December 30, 2023. Revenue increased 3% to $239 million. Net income increased 5% to $27 million. GAAP EPS increased 4% to $2.33. Adjusted EPS increased 3% to $2.41.

  • Revenue increased 3% to $239 million.
  • Operating cash flow increased 68% to $59 million.
  • Free cash flow increased 114% to $49 million.
  • Net income increased 5% to $27 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$239M

Previous: $232M+2.8%
EPS (adj)

$2.41

Previous: $2.33+3.4%
Bookings

$218M

No prior period
Gross Margin

42.7%

Previous: 43.1%-0.9%
Adjusted EBITDA

$48M

Previous: $49.5M-3.0%
Capital Expenditures

$9.76M

Previous: $12M-18.8%
Net Income

$27M

Previous: $26M+3.8%
Operating Income

$39M

Previous: $39M+0.1%
Gross Profit

$102M

Previous: $100M+2.1%
R&D Expense

$3.46M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$2.52M

Previous: $2M+26.1%

Revenue & EPS history

Kadant · Revenue · Quarterly

$239M

Q4 2023+2.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 12 of 15 quarters(80%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects to achieve record revenue, cash flow, and adjusted EBITDA in 2024. For 2024, the company expects revenue of $1.040 billion to $1.065 billion, GAAP EPS of $9.55 to $9.85, and adjusted EPS of $9.75 to $10.05. For the first quarter of 2024, the company expects revenue of $238 to $246 million, GAAP EPS of $1.76 to $1.86 and adjusted EPS of $1.90 to $2.00.

Tailwinds

  • Expects to achieve record revenue in 2024.
  • Expects to achieve record cash flow in 2024.
  • Expects to achieve record adjusted EBITDA in 2024.
  • Healthy demand in key end markets.
  • First quarter will be weaker than the remaining quarters of 2024 due to the timing of capital projects.

Headwinds

  • Facing economic uncertainties around the world.
  • Earnings performance will be affected by increased borrowing costs.
  • Earnings performance will be affected by non-cash intangible amortization expense associated with our recently announced acquisitions.
  • First quarter will be weaker than the remaining quarters of 2024 due to the timing of capital projects.
  • 2024 adjusted EPS guidance excludes $0.20 of amortization expense associated with acquired inventory and backlog.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+1.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

56%

35 / 63 earnings

Positive

+13.1%

Q2 2017

Best reaction

-14.4%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%+15.6%+1.2%
Q4 2025+2.7%+4.8%-7.5%
Q3 2025+0.8%-7.3%-6.8%
Q1 2025-6.5%-7.1%-0.5%
Q4 2024-0.7%+11.6%-1.2%
Q3 2024+4.2%+6.6%+25.2%
Q2 2024-0.6%-12.4%-9.4%
Q1 2024-8.9%-5.1%-4.2%
Q4 2023+12.0%+11.5%+4.5%
Q3 2023+6.8%+10.9%+18.3%
Q2 2023-6.7%-4.8%-1.4%
Q1 2023+3.4%+4.7%+2.9%
Q4 2022+4.7%+8.1%-2.5%
Q3 2022-5.2%-1.9%+8.9%
Q2 2022-3.0%-5.0%-12.8%
Q1 2022+5.9%-1.2%+1.5%
Q4 2021-4.6%-6.3%-3.6%
Q3 2021+2.6%+5.2%+6.7%
Q2 2021+9.2%+12.8%+20.3%
Q1 2021-0.7%+3.7%-5.4%
Q3 2020-4.5%-1.9%+12.1%
Q2 2020-6.1%-7.3%-1.2%
Q1 2020+0.4%-2.3%+15.7%
Q4 2019-14.4%-10.4%-33.7%
Q3 2019+1.4%+5.3%+11.6%
Q2 2019+8.3%-1.9%-5.0%
Q1 2019-0.9%-7.0%-16.1%
Q4 2018+2.6%+1.6%+1.8%
Q3 2018+5.9%+4.7%-1.8%
Q2 2018-0.2%-5.4%+4.8%
Q1 2018+0.7%-0.6%+4.5%
Q4 2017-0.4%-0.6%+4.8%
Q3 2017+10.2%+3.2%-0.0%
Q2 2017+13.1%+11.1%+11.3%
Q1 2017+13.0%+18.8%+26.2%
Q4 2016+0.0%-0.3%-6.7%
Q3 2016+3.1%+1.6%+22.0%
Q2 2016+3.9%-1.0%+1.7%
Q1 2016+3.0%
Q4 2015-2.9%
Q3 2015-3.3%
Q2 2015+5.0%
Q1 2015-6.9%
Q4 2014+1.0%
Q3 2014+7.1%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014-2.3%
Q4 2013+4.4%
Q3 2013+3.4%
Q2 2013-3.1%
Q1 2013+6.4%
Q4 2012-9.0%
Q3 2012+10.3%
Q2 2012-8.2%
Q1 2012+1.6%
Q4 2011-0.8%
Q4 2010-0.8%
Q3 2011-4.8%
Q2 2011+11.6%
Q1 2011+11.6%
Q3 2010+0.6%
Q2 2010-0.7%
Q1 2010+5.2%

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