NYSE$IQV

IQVIA Holdings Inc. · Q1 2020 earnings

Q1 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

IQVIA reported first-quarter 2020 results, issued second-quarter 2020 guidance, and updated full-year 2020 guidance.

IQVIA's first-quarter revenue reached $2,754 million, with adjusted diluted earnings per share at $1.50. The R&D Solutions quarterly net book-to-bill ratio was 1.42x including pass throughs, and the contracted backlog grew 14% year-over-year to $19.6 billion.

  • First quarter revenue was $2,754 million and Adjusted EBITDA was $562 million.
  • GAAP Diluted Earnings per Share was $0.42, while Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share reached $1.50.
  • R&D Solutions quarterly net book-to-bill ratio was 1.42x including pass throughs and 1.35x excluding pass throughs.
  • Contracted backlog including pass throughs grew 14 percent year-over-year to $19.6 billion.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.75B

Previous: $2.68B+2.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.50

Previous: $1.53-2.0%
R&D Solutions contracted backlog

$19.6B

Previous: $17.2B+14.0%
Free Cash Flow

$82M

Previous: $58M+41.4%
Net Income

$82M

Previous: $58M+41.4%
Operating Income

$193M

Previous: $210M-8.1%
Gross Profit

-$1.82B

Previous: $936M-294.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$927M

Previous: $936M-1.0%
Total Assets

$23.1B

Previous: $23.1B-0.1%

Revenue & EPS history

IQVIA · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.75B

Q1 2020+2.6%vs Q1 2019
Beat estimate in 15 of 16 quarters(94%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

IQVIA · $2.75B total across 3 segments · Q1 2020

  • Research & Development Solutions
    $1.44B
  • Technology & Analytics Solutions
    $1.12B
  • Contract Sales & Medical Solutions
    $196M

Forward guidance

IQVIA expects full-year 2020 revenue to be between $10,600 million and $10,925 million, Adjusted EBITDA to be between $2,200 million and $2,300 million, and Adjusted Diluted Earnings per Share to be between $5.75 and $6.10. For the second quarter of 2020, revenue is expected to be between $2,365 million and $2,440 million, Adjusted EBITDA between $445 million and $470 million, and Adjusted Diluted Earnings Per Share between $1.00 and $1.09.

Tailwinds

  • New cases of the virus continue to increase globally through the second quarter, then level off and begin to decline by the end of the quarter.
  • Business activity begins to recover during the third quarter, as access to clinical research sites resumes gradually during the quarter, with a return to 100 percent functionality at the beginning of the fourth quarter.
  • Commercial activity gradually resumes throughout the third quarter and returns to normal by the beginning of the fourth quarter.
  • The number of inaccessible sites will average 70 percent through the second quarter.
  • An average of 35 percent of sites will be inaccessible in the third quarter, with all sites open and accessible by the beginning of the fourth quarter.

Headwinds

  • The future course of the COVID-19 virus is inherently uncertain.
  • Approximately 80 percent of the company’s clinical research sites are inaccessible due to limitations on the ability to travel to and access sites.
  • The company currently estimates that approximately half of the impact from general business disruption caused by the COVID-19 virus will occur in the second quarter, over a third in the third quarter and the balance in the fourth quarter.
  • An approximate $75 million unfavorable impact to revenue due to foreign currency movements since the company last provided guidance.
  • Second quarter expected to be the fiscal quarter most impacted by the COVID-19 crisis.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2020

Historical avgQ1 2020

+1.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.9%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

37 / 57 earnings

Positive

+12.5%

Q2 2018

Best reaction

-10.7%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+7.7%+10.9%+13.9%
Q4 2025-10.7%-9.9%-13.8%
Q3 2025+0.3%-0.4%+6.6%
Q2 2025-0.4%+1.1%-1.6%
Q1 2025-4.0%-2.2%-3.2%
Q4 2024+2.2%-2.2%-6.7%
Q3 2024-3.2%-1.5%-7.0%
Q2 2024+6.3%+6.7%+10.0%
Q1 2024-4.1%-1.6%-5.9%
Q4 2023+12.2%+10.8%+17.4%
Q3 2023+5.3%+9.7%+20.0%
Q2 2023-2.1%-3.1%-0.5%
Q1 2023-0.9%-2.3%+5.0%
Q4 2022+0.8%-1.4%-14.4%
Q3 2022+1.4%+6.1%+11.3%
Q2 2022+0.5%-0.4%+8.3%
Q1 2022+6.1%+5.0%+6.7%
Q4 2021-3.2%-4.8%-6.9%
Q3 2021+2.1%+1.8%+6.6%
Q2 2021-0.8%+0.2%+4.5%
Q1 2021+6.1%+7.0%+9.1%
Q4 2020+4.9%+4.8%+1.6%
Q3 2020+3.2%+2.1%+3.4%
Q2 2020+2.9%+3.4%+0.4%
Q1 2020+8.5%+3.5%+10.9%
Q4 2019+2.5%+1.6%-26.6%
Q3 2019-3.8%-2.4%-2.7%
Q2 2019+2.1%+1.6%-2.3%
Q1 2019-2.0%-0.1%-2.2%
Q4 2018+7.6%+7.3%+7.4%
Q3 2018-3.5%-5.3%-8.4%
Q2 2018+12.5%+8.2%+11.7%
Q1 2018-0.7%+0.2%+2.6%
Q4 2017+1.5%+1.7%+5.6%
Q3 2017+6.1%+6.5%+2.7%
Q2 2017-1.3%-1.0%+4.4%
Q1 2017-3.7%-2.0%+3.0%
Q4 2016-2.7%-4.1%+0.5%
Q3 2016+0.8%+4.1%+3.3%
Q2 2016+3.3%+4.2%+0.3%
Q1 2016-5.9%
Q4 2015+3.6%
Q3 2015-6.2%
Q2 2015+2.6%
Q1 2015-4.9%
Q4 2014+4.3%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q2 2014-3.1%
Q1 2014+0.4%
Q4 2011+7.5%
Q4 2013+7.5%
Q3 2012+0.1%
Q3 2013+0.1%
Q2 2012+0.8%
Q2 2013+0.8%
Q1 2012+5.0%
Q4 2012+5.0%
Q1 2013

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