NYSE$INGR

Ingredion Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ingredion's net sales grew by 13% and specialty ingredients delivered strong double-digit growth.

Ingredion Incorporated reported a 13% increase in net sales for the fourth quarter of 2022, driven by strong performance in both core and specialty ingredients. The company effectively managed demand for texturizing, sugar reduction, and higher-value industrial applications through customer and product mix management and pricing. Full-year 2022 reported and adjusted EPS were $7.34 and $7.45, respectively.

  • Fourth quarter 2022 reported and adjusted EPS were $1.71 and $1.65, respectively, compared to fourth quarter 2021 reported and adjusted EPS of $0.99 and $1.09.
  • Specialty ingredients delivered strong double-digit growth, with net sales higher across all four regions versus last year.
  • Completed one-third of planned $160 million multi-year global capacity expansion for specialty starches.
  • The Company expects full-year 2023 reported and adjusted EPS to be in the range of $7.70 - $8.40.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.99B

Previous: $1.76B+13.2%
EPS (adj)

$1.65

Previous: $1.09+51.4%
Capital Expenditures

$97M

Previous: $97M+0.0%
Free Cash Flow

-$25M

Previous: $36M-169.4%
Net Income

$115M

Previous: $67M+71.6%
Operating Income

$157M

Previous: $86M+82.6%
Gross Profit

$351M

Previous: $290M+21.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$236M

Previous: $328M-28.0%
Total Assets

$7.56B

Previous: $7B+8.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Ingredion · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.99B

Q4 2022+13.2%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 3 of 15 quarters(20%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ingredion · $289M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • F&II LATAM
    $289M

Forward guidance

The Company expects its outlook for full-year 2023 reported and adjusted EPS to be in the range of $7.70 to $8.40. The Company expects full-year 2023 net sales to be up mid-double digits and adjusted operating income to be up high single-digits to low double digits.

Tailwinds

  • North America operating income is expected to be up low double-digits, driven by favorable price mix partially offset by higher input costs.
  • South America operating income is expected to be up low single-digits, with favorable price mix mostly offsetting higher input costs.
  • Asia-Pacific operating income is expected to be up mid double-digits, driven by favorable price mix and PureCircle growth, partially offset by higher input costs.
  • EMEA operating income is expected to be up mid-single-digits as we navigate foreign exchange impacts.
  • Corporate costs are expected to be up low single-digits.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

41 / 68 earnings

Positive

+12.6%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-11.4%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+0.7%-6.8%
Q4 2025+2.9%+2.4%-3.8%
Q3 2025-5.7%-4.9%-5.2%
Q1 2025+3.5%+2.6%+2.3%
Q4 2024-5.6%-5.1%-2.7%
Q3 2024+12.3%+13.1%+10.3%
Q2 2024+5.3%+8.5%+12.4%
Q1 2024+2.9%+4.1%-0.5%
Q4 2023+0.1%-2.2%+5.2%
Q3 2023+4.6%+7.1%+11.0%
Q2 2023-7.8%-9.9%-9.2%
Q1 2023+2.7%+2.6%+1.7%
Q4 2022-2.8%-1.6%-4.8%
Q3 2022+6.3%+6.1%+14.6%
Q2 2022+2.5%+3.0%-6.3%
Q1 2022-1.3%-3.3%+4.1%
Q4 2021-11.4%-10.3%-11.4%
Q3 2021+0.3%+2.7%-1.6%
Q2 2021-4.5%-3.4%-1.1%
Q1 2021-2.8%+0.5%+2.2%
Q4 2020+11.7%+14.1%+22.0%
Q3 2020+1.7%-2.3%+10.5%
Q2 2020-10.3%-9.0%-8.7%
Q1 2020+1.6%+6.7%+11.2%
Q4 2019+7.4%+6.9%-23.6%
Q3 2019+3.8%+5.7%+5.1%
Q2 2019+1.6%-0.5%-0.0%
Q1 2019-5.9%-7.3%-17.4%
Q4 2018-4.6%-5.6%-6.0%
Q3 2018+2.3%+4.3%+3.2%
Q2 2018+2.5%+6.1%+5.0%
Q1 2018-4.4%-6.3%-6.3%
Q4 2017-5.8%-9.3%-8.7%
Q3 2017+3.1%+3.4%+11.5%
Q2 2017-0.3%-1.1%+0.4%
Q1 2017-2.0%-2.8%-6.7%
Q4 2016-7.5%-6.0%-3.8%
Q3 2016-1.6%-0.2%-9.7%
Q2 2016+1.2%+1.6%+3.2%
Q1 2016+7.4%
Q4 2015+12.6%
Q3 2015+1.2%
Q2 2015+6.7%
Q1 2015+4.7%
Q4 2014-4.5%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+3.1%
Q4 2013+5.1%
Q3 2013-5.9%
Q2 2013+9.9%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q3 2012+10.7%
Q2 2012+1.9%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q1 2012-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q3 2011-0.5%
Q2 2011-6.8%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q3 2010+4.3%
Q3 2009+4.3%
Q2 2009+1.6%
Q4 2009+1.6%
Q2 2010+1.6%

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