NYSE$INGR

Ingredion Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Ingredion's financial performance declined due to the impact of COVID-19, but showed sequential improvement towards the end of the quarter.

Ingredion Incorporated reported a decline in financial performance for Q2 2020, primarily due to the impact of COVID-19 on away-from-home consumption. However, the company saw sequential improvement in June and July and is focused on optimizing for the new reality, including raising its Cost Smart savings target and completing the acquisition of PureCircle.

  • Adapted to meet changing customer needs due to COVID-19 related fluctuations in consumer demand.
  • Experienced a significant decline in away-from-home consumption impacting global demand for ingredients.
  • Raised Cost Smart savings target from $150 million to $170 million by 2021.
  • Completed the acquisition of PureCircle and commenced an $85 million expansion investment in China.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.35B

Previous: $1.43B-5.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.12

Previous: $1.66-32.5%
Dividends Paid

$45M

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

$66M

Previous: $105M-37.1%
Net Income

$66M

Previous: $105M-37.1%
Operating Income

$113M

Previous: $168M-32.7%
Gross Profit

$271M

Previous: $329M-17.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$1.05B

Previous: $297M+252.5%
Total Assets

$6.61B

Previous: $6B+10.2%

Revenue & EPS history

Ingredion · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.35B

Q2 2020-5.9%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 11 of 16 quarters(69%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Ingredion · $289M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • F&II LATAM
    $289M

Forward guidance

Due to the continued uncertainty of COVID-19 impacts, the Company cannot reasonably estimate full-year results at this time and guidance remains withdrawn. The Company anticipates continued adverse impacts from COVID-19 on net sales across our operating segments during the second half, with recovery in sales generally correlated with easing of restrictions and increased consumer mobility.

Tailwinds

  • Recovery in sales generally correlated with easing of restrictions and increased consumer mobility.
  • Demand for food consumed in home to remain elevated, increasing volumes for ingredients that are part of the recipes for these meals.
  • Expect a reported tax rate of 29 percent to 32.7 percent
  • Expect an adjusted effective tax rate range of approximately 26 percent to 27 percent, excluding PureCircle.
  • Capital expenditures for the full year are anticipated to be between $290 million to $310 million, of which more than $100 million is being invested to drive growth.

Headwinds

  • Continued uncertainty of COVID-19 impacts, the Company cannot reasonably estimate full-year results at this time and guidance remains withdrawn.
  • Anticipates continued adverse impacts from COVID-19 on net sales across our operating segments during the second half
  • With prevailing pandemic case rates across many countries, we expect away-from-home consumption to continue to be suppressed, reducing volumes for ingredients that are formulated for food and beverages consumed away-from-home.
  • Full year reported tax rate of 29 to 32.7 percent
  • Full year capital expenditures between $290 million to $310 million

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

41 / 68 earnings

Positive

+12.6%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-11.4%

Q4 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.7%+0.7%-6.8%
Q4 2025+2.9%+2.4%-3.8%
Q3 2025-5.7%-4.9%-5.2%
Q1 2025+3.5%+2.6%+2.3%
Q4 2024-5.6%-5.1%-2.7%
Q3 2024+12.3%+13.1%+10.3%
Q2 2024+5.3%+8.5%+12.4%
Q1 2024+2.9%+4.1%-0.5%
Q4 2023+0.1%-2.2%+5.2%
Q3 2023+4.6%+7.1%+11.0%
Q2 2023-7.8%-9.9%-9.2%
Q1 2023+2.7%+2.6%+1.7%
Q4 2022-2.8%-1.6%-4.8%
Q3 2022+6.3%+6.1%+14.6%
Q2 2022+2.5%+3.0%-6.3%
Q1 2022-1.3%-3.3%+4.1%
Q4 2021-11.4%-10.3%-11.4%
Q3 2021+0.3%+2.7%-1.6%
Q2 2021-4.5%-3.4%-1.1%
Q1 2021-2.8%+0.5%+2.2%
Q4 2020+11.7%+14.1%+22.0%
Q3 2020+1.7%-2.3%+10.5%
Q2 2020-10.3%-9.0%-8.7%
Q1 2020+1.6%+6.7%+11.2%
Q4 2019+7.4%+6.9%-23.6%
Q3 2019+3.8%+5.7%+5.1%
Q2 2019+1.6%-0.5%-0.0%
Q1 2019-5.9%-7.3%-17.4%
Q4 2018-4.6%-5.6%-6.0%
Q3 2018+2.3%+4.3%+3.2%
Q2 2018+2.5%+6.1%+5.0%
Q1 2018-4.4%-6.3%-6.3%
Q4 2017-5.8%-9.3%-8.7%
Q3 2017+3.1%+3.4%+11.5%
Q2 2017-0.3%-1.1%+0.4%
Q1 2017-2.0%-2.8%-6.7%
Q4 2016-7.5%-6.0%-3.8%
Q3 2016-1.6%-0.2%-9.7%
Q2 2016+1.2%+1.6%+3.2%
Q1 2016+7.4%
Q4 2015+12.6%
Q3 2015+1.2%
Q2 2015+6.7%
Q1 2015+4.7%
Q4 2014-4.5%
Q3 2014+1.7%
Q2 2014-3.3%
Q1 2014+3.1%
Q4 2013+5.1%
Q3 2013-5.9%
Q2 2013+9.9%
Q1 2013-1.3%
Q4 2012-0.7%
Q3 2012+10.7%
Q2 2012+1.9%
Q4 2011+0.4%
Q1 2012-1.3%
Q4 2008-1.3%
Q3 2011-0.5%
Q2 2011-6.8%
Q4 2010+2.8%
Q1 2010+2.8%
Q1 2011+2.8%
Q3 2010+4.3%
Q3 2009+4.3%
Q2 2009+1.6%
Q4 2009+1.6%
Q2 2010+1.6%

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