NYSE$HUBS

HubSpot · Q3 2020 earnings

Q3 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

HubSpot's Q3 2020 results were reported, showing revenue growth and increased customer base.

HubSpot reported a 32% increase in total revenue to $228.4 million compared to Q3 2019 and grew total customers by 39% to 95,634. Non-GAAP operating income was $16.5 million, compared to $10.5 million in Q3 2019.

  • Total revenue increased by 32% compared to Q3 2019, reaching $228.4 million.
  • Subscription revenue grew by 32% compared to Q3 2019, amounting to $221.1 million.
  • Total customers grew to 95,634, a 39% increase compared to September 30, 2019.
  • GAAP net loss was ($22.5) million, or ($0.49) per basic and diluted share.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$228M

Previous: $174M+31.5%
EPS (adj)

$0.28

Previous: $0.32-12.5%
Total Customers

95.6K

Previous: 68.7K+39.2%
Average Subscription Revenue Per Customer

$9.67K

Previous: $9.97K-3.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$27.8M

Previous: -$21.2M-30.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$50.3M

Previous: -$36.2M-38.9%
Net Income

-$22.5M

Previous: -$15M-50.1%
Operating Income

-$15.5M

Previous: -$14.1M-9.9%
Gross Profit

$186M

Previous: $140M+32.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$125M

Previous: $226M-44.7%
Total Assets

$1.88B

Previous: $1.48B+26.8%

Revenue & EPS history

HubSpot · Revenue · Quarterly

$228M

Q3 2020+31.5%vs Q3 2019
Beat estimate in 16 of 16 quarters(100%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

HubSpot · $228M total across 2 segments · Q3 2020

  • Subscription
    $221M+32.3%
  • Professional Services and Other
    $7.33M+12.0%

Forward guidance

HubSpot provided guidance for Q4 2020 and full year 2020, factoring in the uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic.

Tailwinds

  • Total revenue is expected to be in the range of $235.0 million to $237.0 million for Q4 2020.
  • Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be in the range of $13.0 million to $15.0 million for Q4 2020.
  • Non-GAAP net income per common share is expected to be in the range of $0.21 to $0.23 for Q4 2020.
  • Total revenue is expected to be in the range of $866.0 million to $868.0 million for the full year 2020.
  • Non-GAAP operating income is expected to be in the range of $63.5 million to $65.5 million for the full year 2020.

Headwinds

  • Our fourth quarter 2020 guidance and updated full year 2020 guidance factor in the heightened uncertainty caused by the COVID-19 pandemic based on the information available to us as of November 5, 2020
  • These statements are forward-looking, and actual results may differ materially
  • Risks associated with the impact of COVID-19 on our business
  • Broader economy, and our ability to forecast our future financial performance as a result of COVID-19
  • Our history of losses

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2020

Historical avgQ3 2020

+2.7%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.9%

Avg return

5 days after

+3.9%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

28 / 46 earnings

Positive

+20.0%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-19.4%

Q1 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-19.4%-26.6%-12.9%
Q4 2025+9.4%+18.1%+26.3%
Q3 2025-15.0%-15.0%-18.3%
Q1 2025-8.7%+1.5%-7.7%
Q4 2024+4.4%+2.3%-22.4%
Q3 2024+11.5%+17.7%+28.3%
Q2 2024+5.8%+4.3%+10.3%
Q1 2024-4.6%-2.9%-3.1%
Q4 2023+0.8%+1.6%-0.5%
Q3 2023-5.2%-1.4%+14.6%
Q2 2023-15.0%-14.3%-4.3%
Q1 2023+8.3%+7.3%+26.4%
Q4 2022+10.1%+5.0%+8.2%
Q3 2022-4.0%-10.3%+4.7%
Q2 2022+6.5%+4.1%-9.9%
Q1 2022-9.1%-17.1%-9.7%
Q4 2021+4.2%+6.3%-20.6%
Q3 2021+4.0%+3.6%-5.4%
Q2 2021+13.0%+12.6%+20.6%
Q1 2021-1.5%-2.5%-1.7%
Q4 2020+18.6%+24.6%+13.8%
Q3 2020+16.6%+4.4%+18.8%
Q2 2020+12.7%+12.6%+21.1%
Q1 2020+10.0%+7.1%+23.5%
Q4 2019+8.5%+8.7%-26.1%
Q3 2019-6.0%-8.4%-0.5%
Q2 2019+13.6%+16.5%+19.2%
Q1 2019-3.4%-2.4%-9.2%
Q4 2018+2.5%-0.9%+0.4%
Q3 2018+2.2%-4.3%-4.9%
Q2 2018-1.0%+1.1%+15.8%
Q1 2018-0.5%-4.0%+11.1%
Q4 2017+6.7%+9.4%+20.4%
Q3 2017-0.3%-3.6%-6.2%
Q2 2017-2.1%-3.9%-0.7%
Q1 2017+7.1%+5.3%+10.1%
Q4 2016+2.4%+4.5%+13.9%
Q3 2016-3.2%+5.5%+0.4%
Q2 2016+6.5%+8.5%+7.1%
Q1 2016-4.6%
Q4 2015+20.0%
Q3 2015+2.9%
Q2 2015-4.9%
Q1 2015+16.1%
Q4 2014+6.6%
Q3 2014+0.9%
Q1 2014
Q4 2013
Q3 2013
Q2 2013
Q1 2013

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