NYSE$HLI

Houlihan Lokey Inc. · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Houlihan Lokey's Q4 2020 financial results were released, featuring a revenue increase of 4% compared to Q4 2019.

Houlihan Lokey reported a 4% increase in revenues for the fourth quarter of fiscal year 2020, reaching $303 million compared to $291 million in the same period of the previous year. Diluted EPS stood at $0.90, while adjusted diluted EPS reached $0.96. The company's performance was impacted by the onset of the COVID-19 crisis towards the end of the quarter.

  • Revenues for Q4 2020 increased by 4% to $303 million compared to $291 million in Q4 2019.
  • Diluted EPS for Q4 2020 was $0.90, compared to $0.69 for Q4 2019.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS for Q4 2020 was $0.96, compared to $0.86 for Q4 2019.
  • The company announced a dividend of $0.31 per share for the first quarter of fiscal year 2021.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$303M

Previous: $291M+3.9%
EPS (adj)

$0.96

Previous: $0.86+11.6%
CF Closed Transactions

84

Previous: 64+31.3%
CF Managing Directors

123

Previous: 108+13.9%
FR Closed Transactions

29

Previous: 27+7.4%
FR Managing Directors

45

Previous: 44+2.3%
FVA Fee Events

624

Previous: 605+3.1%
FVA Managing Directors

30

Previous: 33-9.1%
Capital Expenditures

$3.75M

Previous: $2.19M+71.3%
Free Cash Flow

$173M

Previous: $130M+33.2%
Net Income

$59M

Previous: $45.3M+30.1%
Operating Income

$68.7M

Previous: $62.5M+9.9%
Gross Profit

$116M

Previous: $101M+14.9%
Cash & Equivalents

$380M

Previous: $286M+33.1%
Total Assets

$1.68B

Previous: $1.43B+17.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Houlihan Lokey · Revenue · Quarterly

$303M

Q4 2020+3.9%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 14 of 16 quarters(88%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Houlihan Lokey · $303M total across 3 segments · Q4 2020

  • Corporate Finance
    $156M+8.1%
  • Financial Restructuring
    $103M+3.5%
  • Financial & Valuation Advisory
    $43.5M-8.0%

Forward guidance

The COVID-19 pandemic is expected to have an adverse effect on the business, revenues, and operating results in the short term, while CF revenues will be adversely impacted for an indeterminable period. However, there has been an increase in demand for services in the FR business.

Tailwinds

  • Increase in demand for services in Financial Restructuring (FR) business due to the COVID-19 pandemic.
  • Company built to perform during all cycles.
  • Company confident that business will emerge from this crisis stronger than ever.
  • The Board of Directors of the Company declared a regular quarterly cash dividend of $0.31 per share of Class A and Class B common stock.
  • As of March 31, 2020, no principal was outstanding under the 2019 Line of Credit.

Headwinds

  • The COVID-19 pandemic has had a substantial negative effect on the global markets.
  • The scale, scope and duration of the impact of the COVID-19 pandemic on our business, revenues and operating results is unpredictable and depends on many factors outside of our control.
  • Revenues during the fourth quarter ended March 31, 2020 were negatively impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and we expect it to continue to have an adverse effect on our business, revenues and operating results in the short term.
  • CF revenues will be adversely impacted for an indeterminable period of time by the economic effects of COVID-19.
  • The COVID-19 pandemic has created uncertainty, volatility and dislocation among a wide variety of sectors.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

+1.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

63%

30 / 48 earnings

Positive

+12.2%

Q2 2022

Best reaction

-10.7%

Q2 2026

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+4.3%+1.5%-5.6%
Q3 2026-6.6%-0.7%-3.0%
Q2 2026-10.7%-10.0%-12.0%
Q4 2025+6.8%+8.7%+7.9%
Q3 2025-2.3%-1.9%-5.8%
Q2 2025+3.6%+2.2%+13.4%
Q1 2025+1.7%-1.5%+4.5%
Q4 2024+0.3%+1.3%-2.7%
Q3 2024+5.9%+3.7%+6.2%
Q2 2024+1.5%+3.7%+9.4%
Q1 2024-8.3%-7.2%-5.5%
Q4 2023+6.1%+1.6%+7.1%
Q3 2023-0.2%+3.2%-2.9%
Q2 2023+9.3%+10.8%+21.5%
Q1 2023+2.5%+1.7%-3.0%
Q4 2022+2.9%+6.3%-2.5%
Q3 2022+7.4%+3.2%-7.8%
Q2 2022+12.2%+17.8%+11.9%
Q1 2022-5.1%-3.5%+1.0%
Q4 2021+5.3%+10.7%+18.1%
Q3 2021-3.7%-1.2%-5.6%
Q2 2021-0.4%-1.6%+3.3%
Q1 2021-1.6%-2.2%+6.1%
Q4 2020-2.1%-0.4%-8.4%
Q3 2020+7.4%+8.6%+2.0%
Q2 2020-0.4%+1.0%+2.0%
Q1 2020+6.2%+4.1%-3.4%
Q4 2019+1.9%-1.9%-4.2%
Q3 2019+1.9%+1.0%+5.0%
Q2 2019+0.5%+5.4%+4.6%
Q1 2019-6.6%-6.5%-10.0%
Q4 2018+5.3%+4.1%+7.6%
Q3 2018-2.8%-7.8%-9.5%
Q2 2018+4.5%+0.5%+6.0%
Q1 2018+5.1%+1.1%-2.0%
Q4 2017+6.3%+1.9%-1.0%
Q3 2017+5.1%+4.7%+3.5%
Q2 2017-2.8%-3.7%+19.5%
Q1 2016-0.5%+0.7%-4.4%
Q1 2017+2.3%+7.9%+4.9%
Q4 2014-2.4%-5.9%-2.3%
Q4 2016+0.1%
Q3 2015-1.1%
Q3 2016+0.4%
Q1 2015+0.5%
Q2 2015+0.5%
Q4 2015+0.5%
Q2 2016-0.8%

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