NYSE$GTE

Gran Tierra Energy Inc · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Announced fourth quarter and year-end results, highlighting increased reserves, free cash flow generation, and shareholder returns.

Gran Tierra Energy Inc. reported a net income of $27 million for Q4 2019. The company's capital expenditures were $68.735 million. Average daily production was 32,924 boepd. The company is reducing its 2020 capital program to a new range of $175 to $195 million as a prudent response to the drop in world oil prices and widening differentials during 2020 to date.

  • Increased 1P reserves to 79 MMBOE, representing 200% 1P reserves replacement.
  • Maintained 2P reserves at 142 MMBOE.
  • Generated 2019 net income of $39 million and funds flow from operations of $272 million.
  • Returned $38 million to shareholders during 2019 through share repurchases.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$128M

Previous: $137M-6.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.70

Previous: -$0.30+333.3%
Average Daily Production

32.9K

Previous: 38.2K-13.7%
Capital Expenditures

$68.7M

No prior period
Royalties % of WI

16.0%

Previous: 18.0%-11.1%
Net Income

$27M

Previous: -$10.8M+349.1%
Operating Income

$74.6M

No prior period
Gross Profit

$67.3M

Previous: $76.5M-12.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$8.82M

Previous: $51M-82.7%
Total Assets

$2.04B

Previous: $1.68B+22.0%
Stock-Based Comp

$338K

Previous: -$12.2M+102.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Gran Tierra · Revenue · Quarterly

$128M

Q4 2019-6.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Gran Tierra is reducing its 2020 capital program to a new range of $175 to $195 million as a prudent response to the drop in world oil prices and widening differentials during 2020 to date. The company plans to prioritize debt reduction with its free cash flow.

Tailwinds

  • Prioritizing free cash flow generation and returns over development and production growth.
  • Focusing on debt reduction with free cash flow.
  • Deploying an integrated plan for free cash flow growth from key producing areas.
  • Pursuing a disciplined approach to leveraging the exploration portfolio.
  • Commencing the five-well Putumayo development drilling program in March 2020.

Headwinds

  • Decreased Brent oil price and widening of crude oil price differentials in Colombia due to coronavirus.
  • Reduction of 2020 capital budget by $25 million.
  • Potential for further deferrals of capital if economic headwinds persist.
  • Blockades in the southern Putumayo region causing shut-ins of approximately 4,000 boepd.
  • Deferral of drilling of two development wells in Cohembi until blockades are resolved.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-19.0%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.2%+5.5%
Q4 2025+4.7%+19.3%+29.6%
Q3 2025+2.6%+25.7%+35.9%
Q1 2025+0.7%-4.6%+10.4%
Q4 2024-12.5%-18.9%-10.8%
Q3 2024+3.9%+3.6%+7.0%
Q2 2024-2.2%-12.9%-16.0%
Q1 2024+0.7%+2.8%+7.6%
Q4 2023+4.7%+3.6%+26.2%
Q3 2023+7.2%+14.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023-7.1%-3.8%-9.4%
Q1 2023-17.4%-22.1%-34.0%
Q4 2022+4.8%+3.6%-10.8%
Q3 2022-6.7%-2.2%-14.8%
Q2 2022-0.8%+6.7%+10.1%
Q1 2022+5.0%+1.9%+14.5%
Q4 2021+4.8%+9.5%+30.2%
Q3 2021+0.1%-5.4%-28.3%
Q2 2021-7.3%-6.7%-6.7%
Q1 2021+11.0%+8.5%+6.5%
Q4 2020-0.2%-24.2%-28.3%
Q3 2020+11.8%+5.3%+52.6%
Q2 2020-2.0%-6.3%-15.6%
Q1 2020-7.3%-20.0%+66.7%
Q4 2019-19.0%-19.3%-70.5%
Q3 2019-9.9%-13.2%-19.0%
Q2 2019+2.1%-3.4%-8.3%
Q1 2019-3.9%-6.1%-14.9%
Q4 2018-0.9%+4.8%-0.4%
Q3 2018-3.3%-7.2%-12.5%
Q2 2018+0.6%+2.7%+3.3%
Q1 2018+2.4%+0.3%-1.2%
Q4 2017-7.1%-5.9%+3.7%
Q3 2017-1.8%+0.4%+2.7%
Q2 2017-3.4%-3.8%-12.8%
Q1 2017-8.0%+0.0%-7.6%
Q4 2016-4.1%-0.7%-1.5%
Q3 2016+11.2%+8.6%+10.9%
Q2 2016+5.5%+6.3%+9.2%
Q1 2016-0.7%
Q4 2015+11.3%
Q3 2015+5.8%
Q2 2015+2.7%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014+8.5%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014+2.8%
Q4 2013-6.8%
Q3 2013-5.9%
Q2 2013+2.7%
Q1 2013+1.3%
Q4 2012-2.0%
Q3 2012+8.8%
Q2 2012+7.8%
Q1 2012-3.0%
Q4 2008+0.0%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+0.6%
Q2 2011+4.7%
Q4 2010+4.7%
Q1 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+4.9%
Q3 2010-3.2%
Q3 2009-3.2%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q2 2009-0.5%

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