NYSE$GTE

Gran Tierra Energy Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Gran Tierra experienced a net loss but maintained cost discipline and progressed operational activities.

Gran Tierra Energy Inc. announced its Q4 and year-end results for 2020, highlighting operational resilience amidst the COVID-19 pandemic and oil price crash. The company achieved significant cost reductions and reserves replacement.

  • Realized 100% 1P and 133% PDP Reserves Replacement.
  • Achieved 2020 Production of 22,624 bopd.
  • Reduced Annual Operating and G&A Costs by $92 Million.
  • Restarted development drilling at Acordionero.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$64.8M

Previous: $128M-49.4%
EPS (adj)

-$1.30

Previous: $0.70-285.7%
Free Cash Flow

$8.96M

No prior period
Net Income

-$47.9M

Previous: $27M-277.3%
Operating Income

$35.6M

Previous: $74.6M-52.3%
Gross Profit

$31.7M

Previous: $67.3M-53.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$14.1M

Previous: $8.82M+60.1%
Total Assets

$1.2B

Previous: $2.04B-41.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$1.92M

Previous: $338K+468.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Gran Tierra · Revenue · Quarterly

$64.8M

Q4 2020-49.4%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 5 of 15 quarters(33%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Gran Tierra provided its forecasted ranges for the 2021 budget, including production, operating netback, EBITDA, cash flow, and capital expenditures, based on various Brent oil price scenarios.

Tailwinds

  • Annual Average Brent Oil Price ($/bbl): Low Case: $44.00, Base Case: $49.00, High Case: $56.00
  • Total Company Production (bopd): Low Case: 27,500-29,500, Base Case: 28,000-30,000, High Case: 28,000-30,000
  • Operating Netback5 ($ million): Low Case: 180-200, Base Case: 220-240, High Case: 270-290
  • EBITDA5 ($ million): Low Case: 165-185, Base Case: 200-220, High Case: 240-260
  • Cash Flow6 ($ million): Low Case: 115-135, Base Case: 150-170, High Case: 190-210

Headwinds

  • Total Capital ($ million): Low Case: 120-140, Base Case: 130-150, High Case: 130-150
  • Bank Credit Facility Balance @ December 31, 2021 ($ million): Low Case: 155-175, Base Case: 125-145, High Case: 75-95
  • 2021 Year-End Net Debt8 to Annualized Fourth Quarter 2021 EBITDA5: Low Case: 3.6-3.8, Base Case: 2.7-2.9, High Case: 2.0-2.2
  • Number of Development Wells (gross): Low Case: 12-16, Base Case: 14-18, High Case: 14-18
  • Downside price protection due to oil hedges.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020

Historical avgQ4 2020

-0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-1.4%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.2%

Avg return

30 days after

49%

33 / 68 earnings

Positive

+11.8%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-19.0%

Q4 2019

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.2%+5.5%
Q4 2025+4.7%+19.3%+29.6%
Q3 2025+2.6%+25.7%+35.9%
Q1 2025+0.7%-4.6%+10.4%
Q4 2024-12.5%-18.9%-10.8%
Q3 2024+3.9%+3.6%+7.0%
Q2 2024-2.2%-12.9%-16.0%
Q1 2024+0.7%+2.8%+7.6%
Q4 2023+4.7%+3.6%+26.2%
Q3 2023+7.2%+14.3%+4.4%
Q2 2023-7.1%-3.8%-9.4%
Q1 2023-17.4%-22.1%-34.0%
Q4 2022+4.8%+3.6%-10.8%
Q3 2022-6.7%-2.2%-14.8%
Q2 2022-0.8%+6.7%+10.1%
Q1 2022+5.0%+1.9%+14.5%
Q4 2021+4.8%+9.5%+30.2%
Q3 2021+0.1%-5.4%-28.3%
Q2 2021-7.3%-6.7%-6.7%
Q1 2021+11.0%+8.5%+6.5%
Q4 2020-0.2%-24.2%-28.3%
Q3 2020+11.8%+5.3%+52.6%
Q2 2020-2.0%-6.3%-15.6%
Q1 2020-7.3%-20.0%+66.7%
Q4 2019-19.0%-19.3%-70.5%
Q3 2019-9.9%-13.2%-19.0%
Q2 2019+2.1%-3.4%-8.3%
Q1 2019-3.9%-6.1%-14.9%
Q4 2018-0.9%+4.8%-0.4%
Q3 2018-3.3%-7.2%-12.5%
Q2 2018+0.6%+2.7%+3.3%
Q1 2018+2.4%+0.3%-1.2%
Q4 2017-7.1%-5.9%+3.7%
Q3 2017-1.8%+0.4%+2.7%
Q2 2017-3.4%-3.8%-12.8%
Q1 2017-8.0%+0.0%-7.6%
Q4 2016-4.1%-0.7%-1.5%
Q3 2016+11.2%+8.6%+10.9%
Q2 2016+5.5%+6.3%+9.2%
Q1 2016-0.7%
Q4 2015+11.3%
Q3 2015+5.8%
Q2 2015+2.7%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014+0.0%
Q3 2014+8.5%
Q2 2014-2.7%
Q1 2014+2.8%
Q4 2013-6.8%
Q3 2013-5.9%
Q2 2013+2.7%
Q1 2013+1.3%
Q4 2012-2.0%
Q3 2012+8.8%
Q2 2012+7.8%
Q1 2012-3.0%
Q4 2008+0.0%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011+0.6%
Q2 2011+4.7%
Q4 2010+4.7%
Q1 2011+4.9%
Q1 2010+4.9%
Q3 2010-3.2%
Q3 2009-3.2%
Q2 2010-0.5%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q2 2009-0.5%

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