NYSE$GIS

General Mills Inc · Q2 2023 earnings

Q2 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong top and bottom-line growth, driven by the Accelerate strategy and increased full-year outlook.

General Mills reported a 4% increase in net sales to $5.2 billion and a 4% increase in diluted EPS to $1.01 for the second quarter of fiscal 2023. Organic net sales increased by 11%. The company has raised its full-year outlook for organic net sales, adjusted operating profit, and adjusted diluted EPS growth.

  • Net sales increased 4 percent to $5.2 billion; organic net sales were up 11 percent.
  • Operating profit of $800 million essentially matched year-ago levels.
  • Diluted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.01 increased 4 percent from the prior year; adjusted diluted EPS of $1.10 was up 12 percent in constant currency.
  • Company raises full-year fiscal 2023 outlook

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$5.22B

Previous: $5.02B+3.9%
EPS (adj)

$1.10

Previous: $0.99+11.1%
Organic Net Sales Growth

11.0%

Previous: 5.0%+120.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$227M

Previous: -$224M-1.1%
Free Cash Flow

$379M

Previous: $373M+1.7%
Net Income

$606M

Previous: $597M+1.5%
Operating Income

$800M

Previous: $800M-0.0%
Gross Profit

$1.71B

Previous: $1.63B+4.5%
Cash & Equivalents

$644M

Previous: $1.02B-36.9%
Total Assets

$31.3B

Previous: $32.5B-3.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$24.1M

Previous: $21.1M+14.2%

Revenue & EPS history

General Mills · Revenue · Quarterly

$5.22B

Q2 2023+3.9%vs Q2 2022
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

General Mills · $4.63B total across 3 segments · Q2 2023

  • N.A. Retail
    $3.37B+13.4%
  • International
    $672M
  • N.A. Foodservice
    $583M

Forward guidance

General Mills expects economic health of consumers, the inflationary cost environment, and the frequency and severity of disruptions in the supply chain to impact fiscal 2023 performance. The company now expects to generate stronger organic net sales growth through better volume performance and improved price/mix. Volume elasticities in the second half of fiscal 2023 are expected to remain below historical levels.

Tailwinds

  • Organic net sales are now expected to increase 8 to 9 percent, compared to the previous expectation of 6 to 7 percent growth.
  • Adjusted operating profit is now expected to increase 3 to 5 percent in constant currency, compared to the previous range of between flat and up 3 percent in constant currency. Both the current and previous ranges include a 3-point net headwind from divestitures and acquisitions and an estimated 1-point headwind from the ice cream recall.
  • Adjusted diluted EPS is now expected to increase 4 to 6 percent in constant currency, compared to the previous range of up 2 to 5 percent in constant currency. The updated outlook reflects stronger adjusted operating profit growth and higher net interest expense due to increasing rates. Both the current and previous ranges include a 3-point net headwind from divestitures and acquisitions and an estimated 1-point headwind from the ice cream recall.
  • Free cash flow conversion is still expected to be at least 90 percent of adjusted after-tax earnings.
  • The net impact of divestitures, acquisitions, and foreign currency exchange is now expected to reduce full-year reported net sales growth by approximately 4.5 percent, and foreign currency exchange is still expected to reduce adjusted operating profit and adjusted diluted EPS growth by approximately 1 percent.

Headwinds

  • Economic health of consumers
  • Inflationary cost environment
  • Frequency and severity of disruptions in the supply chain
  • The net impact of divestitures, acquisitions, and foreign currency exchange is now expected to reduce full-year reported net sales growth by approximately 4.5 percent
  • Foreign currency exchange is still expected to reduce adjusted operating profit and adjusted diluted EPS growth by approximately 1 percent.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2023

Historical avgQ2 2023

-0.2%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.7%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.6%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

30 / 72 earnings

Positive

+8.5%

Q4 2016

Best reaction

-11.0%

Q3 2018

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026
Q3 2026+0.0%-3.6%-8.4%
Q2 2026+2.9%+0.8%-5.3%
Q1 2026-0.9%+1.0%-2.4%
Q4 2025-1.2%-1.7%-3.9%
Q3 2025-2.1%-3.8%-4.8%
Q2 2025-2.9%-3.6%-9.6%
Q1 2025+0.5%-0.4%-6.1%
Q4 2024-5.3%-5.9%-1.4%
Q3 2024+0.2%+0.7%+2.6%
Q2 2024-3.7%-3.3%-5.3%
Q1 2024-0.6%-1.7%-4.0%
Q4 2023-5.7%-4.7%-6.7%
Q3 2023+6.2%+6.1%+9.5%
Q2 2023-2.0%-2.0%-11.1%
Q1 2023+7.1%+4.3%+2.2%
Q4 2022+7.4%+7.9%+6.4%
Q3 2022+5.9%+6.7%+15.7%
Q2 2022-3.1%-2.7%+1.0%
Q1 2022+3.9%+2.8%+8.1%
Q4 2021+0.3%+0.3%-1.9%
Q3 2021-2.7%+2.1%+0.1%
Q2 2021+0.8%-0.5%-4.5%
Q1 2021+1.2%+3.3%+6.5%
Q4 2020-0.3%+0.9%+2.6%
Q3 2020-10.0%-20.8%+1.7%
Q2 2020+2.0%+1.1%+3.2%
Q1 2020-1.2%-2.1%-4.5%
Q4 2019-2.8%-0.7%-0.1%
Q3 2019+5.9%+8.1%+9.5%
Q2 2019+6.5%+2.4%+18.4%
Q1 2019-7.3%-6.9%-8.6%
Q4 2018-3.0%-5.7%-2.3%
Q3 2018-11.0%-9.3%-13.1%
Q2 2018+3.3%+4.3%+2.6%
Q1 2018-6.7%-5.6%-6.1%
Q4 2017-1.0%-0.6%-0.3%
Q3 2017-2.2%-1.8%-3.9%
Q2 2017-1.1%-1.4%-2.2%
Q1 2017+0.6%-1.2%-6.2%
Q4 2016+8.5%+9.4%+9.3%
Q3 2016+0.9%
Q2 2016-3.8%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+2.4%
Q3 2015+0.9%
Q2 2015+4.7%
Q1 2015-3.7%
Q4 2014-3.1%
Q3 2014+0.7%
Q2 2014-0.4%
Q1 2014-1.9%
Q4 2013+0.0%
Q3 2013+3.1%
Q2 2013-0.5%
Q1 2013+2.9%
Q4 2012-0.9%
Q3 2012-0.4%
Q2 2012+1.4%
Q1 2012+5.4%
Q4 2011-0.4%
Q3 2011-1.0%
Q2 2011-0.8%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2008-1.4%
Q4 2010-1.4%
Q3 2009-3.3%
Q3 2010-3.3%
Q2 2010+0.8%
Q1 2010-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.8%
Q1 2009-0.8%
Q2 2009-0.8%

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