NYSE$GHM

Graham Corp · Q3 2022 earnings

Q3 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Graham Corporation's Q3 2022 results were impacted by cost overruns in the Batavia facility, despite revenue increase and defense diversification strategy.

Graham Corporation reported a 6% increase in revenue to $28.8 million for Q3 2022, driven by the Barber-Nichols acquisition and defense sector growth. However, the company experienced a net loss of $3.7 million, or $0.35 per share, due to labor and material cost overruns on Navy projects at its Batavia facility. The company suspended its dividend and is working to amend its credit facility.

  • Revenue increased by 6% to $28.8 million, with year-to-date revenue up by 16%.
  • A diluted loss per share of $0.35 was reported, primarily due to Navy project cost overruns.
  • Defense revenue accounted for 58% of total revenue, totaling $16.6 million.
  • Record backlog of $272.6 million, with 77% from the defense industry, and orders of $68 million were recorded.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$28.8M

Previous: $27.2M+6.0%
EPS (adj)

-$0.27

Previous: $0.11-345.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$1.91M

Previous: -$1.46M-30.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.5M

Previous: -$792K-1978.4%
Net Income

-$3.73M

Previous: $1.06M-451.9%
Operating Income

-$4.58M

Previous: $760K-702.9%
Gross Profit

$561K

Previous: $6.23M-91.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$14M

Previous: $63.8M-78.1%
Total Assets

$196M

Previous: $145M+35.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$269K

Previous: $327K-17.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Graham · Revenue · Quarterly

$28.8M

Q3 2022+6%vs Q3 2021
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Graham Corporation anticipates fiscal year 2022 revenue to be between $120 million and $125 million, which implies revenue of $37 million to $42 million in the fourth quarter. Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be a loss of approximately $5 million, which implies breakeven adjusted EBITDA in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2022.

Tailwinds

  • Revenue expected to be between $37 million and $42 million in Q4
  • Barber-Nichols anticipated to contribute $45 million to $48 million in revenue
  • Aftermarket business demand has accelerated
  • Short-term challenges are being addressed head-on
  • Positive momentum with diversification strategy

Headwinds

  • Adjusted EBITDA is expected to be a loss of approximately $5 million
  • Gross margin for fiscal 2022 is expected to be approximately 8% to 10%
  • SG&A expenses are expected to be approximately 16% to 17% of sales
  • High volume of defense work has exceeded the labor capacity of Batavia facility
  • Financial covenants under term loan and revolving credit facility were breached

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2022

Historical avgQ3 2022

+0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+2.5%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

35 / 65 earnings

Positive

+22.9%

Q2 2025

Best reaction

-25.5%

Q3 2022

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026-10.3%-2.7%
Q3 2026+12.9%+19.7%+10.7%
Q2 2026+0.5%-2.0%-6.8%
Q1 2026-18.3%-15.9%-14.4%
Q4 2025+6.3%+10.1%+25.7%
Q3 2025-17.4%-20.4%-31.9%
Q2 2025+22.9%+24.6%+29.6%
Q4 2024+12.6%+17.7%+7.7%
Q3 2024+11.7%+15.9%+20.8%
Q2 2024-4.4%+1.4%+6.2%
Q1 2024+15.7%+20.3%+17.3%
Q1 2025+15.7%+20.3%+17.3%
Q4 2023+11.1%+11.1%+11.3%
Q3 2023+11.6%+16.4%+32.7%
Q2 2023+18.1%+16.6%+13.5%
Q1 2023+12.3%+17.7%+44.7%
Q4 2022+16.4%+20.6%-9.0%
Q3 2022-25.5%-23.0%-34.1%
Q2 2022-3.2%-1.5%-1.8%
Q1 2022-4.8%-9.7%-9.3%
Q4 2021+2.3%-0.1%-6.7%
Q3 2021-5.3%-2.7%-1.5%
Q2 2021-0.3%+1.5%+21.6%
Q1 2021+6.1%+5.8%+8.6%
Q4 2020-10.1%-10.1%-13.7%
Q3 2020-7.8%-10.8%-17.2%
Q2 2020+10.4%-2.0%-7.0%
Q1 2020+1.2%+1.8%-11.7%
Q4 2019+0.0%+1.4%-0.9%
Q3 2019-1.5%-1.1%-0.8%
Q2 2019+1.0%+1.2%-10.4%
Q1 2019+3.5%+10.0%+9.4%
Q4 2018+1.2%-1.3%-1.5%
Q3 2018+5.9%+0.5%-6.9%
Q2 2018-10.4%-11.1%-10.0%
Q1 2018-3.1%-3.0%-0.9%
Q4 2017-0.7%-3.5%-6.1%
Q3 2017+3.4%-0.3%+3.5%
Q2 2017-0.1%-3.6%+24.4%
Q1 2017-4.3%-4.2%+3.0%
Q4 2016-4.8%-1.1%+1.2%
Q3 2016+0.2%
Q2 2016-3.4%
Q1 2016+8.8%
Q4 2015-5.9%
Q3 2015-8.9%
Q2 2015+0.1%
Q1 2015-3.4%
Q4 2014+6.5%
Q3 2014-4.6%
Q2 2014-2.8%
Q1 2014+5.2%
Q4 2013+13.6%
Q3 2013+1.8%
Q2 2013+0.9%
Q1 2013+1.2%
Q4 2010-0.6%
Q4 2012-6.5%
Q3 2011+0.5%
Q3 2012+0.5%
Q2 2012+6.3%
Q4 2011-17.6%
Q2 2011-17.6%
Q1 2011-17.6%
Q1 2012-17.6%

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