NYSE$GES

Guess? Inc · Q4 2020 earnings

Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported strong Q4 performance with revenues increasing and EPS exceeding guidance.

Guess?, Inc. reported a strong fourth quarter with revenues increasing by 1% to $842 million and GAAP EPS of $1.18. The company's performance was driven by growth in Europe and the licensing business, which offset softness in the Americas Retail and Asian businesses. However, due to the coronavirus crisis, the company is not issuing guidance for the first quarter or fiscal year 2021.

  • Q4 Fiscal 2020 Revenues Increased 1% to $842 Million; Increased 2% in Constant Currency
  • Q4 Fiscal 2020 GAAP EPS of $1.18, Compared to $0.28 in Q4 Fiscal 2019
  • Q4 Fiscal 2020 Adjusted EPS of $1.22, Compared to $0.70 in Q4 Fiscal 2019
  • Company estimates that the share buybacks offset by the convert transaction had a net positive impact of $0.19, or 67.9%, on GAAP diluted earnings per share

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$842M

Previous: $837M+0.6%
EPS (adj)

$1.22

Previous: $0.70+74.3%
Capital Expenditures

$12.8M

Previous: $33.2M-61.3%
Free Cash Flow

$213M

Previous: $95.4M+123.4%
Net Income

$79.6M

Previous: $23.2M+242.6%
Operating Income

$96.5M

Previous: $66.7M+44.6%
Gross Profit

$339M

Previous: $306M+10.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$285M

Previous: $210M+35.2%
Total Assets

$2.43B

Previous: $1.65B+47.3%
Stock-Based Comp

$9.65M

Previous: $7.44M+29.7%

Revenue & EPS history

Guess? · Revenue · Quarterly

$842M

Q4 2020+0.6%vs Q4 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 16 quarters(50%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Guess? · $842M total across 5 segments · Q4 2020

  • Europe
    $420M+13.2%
  • Americas Retail
    $258M-4.1%
  • Asia
    $95.5M-27.7%
  • Americas Wholesale
    $41.9M-3.0%
  • Licensing
    $26.3M+22.7%

Forward guidance

Due to the developing situation, the results of the first quarter ending May 2, 2020 and the full fiscal year ending January 30, 2021 could be impacted in ways we are not able to predict today.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 8 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

36 / 67 earnings

Positive

+39.0%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-32.3%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.2%+0.2%-1.7%
Q2 2026+0.2%+0.2%-0.8%
Q1 2026+8.8%+11.1%+16.8%
Q4 2025+9.8%-13.7%+13.5%
Q3 2025-9.1%-9.2%-23.0%
Q2 2025-3.3%-2.3%-5.3%
Q1 2025-0.6%-1.6%-12.9%
Q4 2024+24.5%+17.8%+1.9%
Q3 2024-13.8%
Q2 2024+26.9%
Q1 2024+7.4%
Q4 2023-2.5%
Q3 2023+2.7%
Q2 2023-2.3%
Q1 2023+20.4%
Q4 2022+15.6%
Q3 2022+6.3%
Q2 2022-2.1%
Q1 2022-1.7%
Q4 2021+5.9%
Q3 2021+14.7%
Q2 2021+11.2%
Q1 2021-32.3%
Q4 2020+39.0%
Q3 2020+5.9%
Q2 2020+29.4%
Q1 2020-9.4%
Q4 2019-14.3%
Q3 2019+4.4%
Q2 2019+4.6%
Q1 2019-20.3%
Q4 2018+32.9%
Q3 2018-12.1%
Q2 2018+20.1%
Q1 2018+13.4%
Q4 2017-10.3%
Q3 2017-11.6%
Q2 2017+14.5%
Q1 2017-3.9%
Q4 2016-15.9%
Q3 2016+9.0%
Q2 2016+12.0%
Q1 2016+8.7%
Q4 2015+13.2%
Q3 2015-8.3%
Q2 2015-9.5%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014-5.1%
Q3 2014-3.7%
Q2 2014+13.2%
Q1 2014+9.0%
Q4 2013-6.5%
Q3 2013+7.4%
Q2 2013-21.6%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012-1.0%
Q3 2012-2.5%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010+0.5%
Q2 2010+0.5%

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