NYSE$GES

Guess? Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Financial performance was materially impacted by the COVID-19 crisis, with revenue declining and a significant GAAP loss per share reported.

Guess?, Inc. reported a significant decrease in revenue and a GAAP loss per share due to the COVID-19 crisis. Total net revenue decreased by 51.5% to $260.3 million, and the company recorded a GAAP net loss of $157.7 million, or $2.40 per share.

  • Q1 Fiscal 2021 revenues decreased 52% to $260 million, or 50% in constant currency, driven by COVID-19 related store closures.
  • GAAP loss per share was $2.40, compared to $0.27 in Q1 Fiscal 2020.
  • Adjusted loss per share was $1.81, compared to $0.25 in Q1 Fiscal 2020.
  • The company focused on preserving liquidity and reducing the cost structure to mitigate the impact of the crisis.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$260M

Previous: $537M-51.5%
EPS (adj)

-$1.81

Previous: -$0.25-624.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$5.97M

Previous: -$17.9M+66.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$67.5M

Previous: -$114M+41.0%
Net Income

-$158M

Previous: -$21.4M-637.7%
Operating Income

-$162M

Previous: -$24.5M-564.0%
Gross Profit

$34.2M

Previous: $182M-81.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$419M

Previous: $113M+271.4%
Total Assets

$2.35B

Previous: $2.38B-1.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$5.79M

Previous: $4.47M+29.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Guess? · Revenue · Quarterly

$260M

Q1 2021-51.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 9 of 16 quarters(56%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Guess? · $260M total across 5 segments · Q1 2021

  • Europe
    $106M-49.3%
  • Americas Retail
    $74.6M-57.7%
  • Asia
    $40.4M-52.6%
  • Americas Wholesale
    $25.9M-44.0%
  • Licensing
    $12.9M-31.3%

Forward guidance

The company expects the global crisis to continue to have a material impact on its financial position, results of operations, and cash flows in fiscal 2021 and expects revenues for the second quarter of fiscal 2021 to have a decrease similar to that of the first quarter.

Tailwinds

  • Sales productivity for reopened stores has reached roughly 75% in the U.S. and Canada.
  • Sales productivity for reopened stores has reached roughly 70% in Europe.
  • All stores are open in Asia.
  • Over 400 stores are open in Europe.
  • Over 180 stores are open in the U.S. and Canada.

Headwinds

  • The extent and duration of the global pandemic remains uncertain.
  • Consumer purchasing activity may continue to be impacted throughout the year.
  • Revenues for the second quarter of fiscal 2021 are expected to have a decrease similar to that of the first quarter.
  • Data on sales productivity may not be indicative of future trends as it is only representative of a portion of stores for a relatively short period.
  • The global crisis will continue to have a material impact on the company's consolidated financial position.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 8 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

36 / 67 earnings

Positive

+39.0%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-32.3%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.2%+0.2%-1.7%
Q2 2026+0.2%+0.2%-0.8%
Q1 2026+8.8%+11.1%+16.8%
Q4 2025+9.8%-13.7%+13.5%
Q3 2025-9.1%-9.2%-23.0%
Q2 2025-3.3%-2.3%-5.3%
Q1 2025-0.6%-1.6%-12.9%
Q4 2024+24.5%+17.8%+1.9%
Q3 2024-13.8%
Q2 2024+26.9%
Q1 2024+7.4%
Q4 2023-2.5%
Q3 2023+2.7%
Q2 2023-2.3%
Q1 2023+20.4%
Q4 2022+15.6%
Q3 2022+6.3%
Q2 2022-2.1%
Q1 2022-1.7%
Q4 2021+5.9%
Q3 2021+14.7%
Q2 2021+11.2%
Q1 2021-32.3%
Q4 2020+39.0%
Q3 2020+5.9%
Q2 2020+29.4%
Q1 2020-9.4%
Q4 2019-14.3%
Q3 2019+4.4%
Q2 2019+4.6%
Q1 2019-20.3%
Q4 2018+32.9%
Q3 2018-12.1%
Q2 2018+20.1%
Q1 2018+13.4%
Q4 2017-10.3%
Q3 2017-11.6%
Q2 2017+14.5%
Q1 2017-3.9%
Q4 2016-15.9%
Q3 2016+9.0%
Q2 2016+12.0%
Q1 2016+8.7%
Q4 2015+13.2%
Q3 2015-8.3%
Q2 2015-9.5%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014-5.1%
Q3 2014-3.7%
Q2 2014+13.2%
Q1 2014+9.0%
Q4 2013-6.5%
Q3 2013+7.4%
Q2 2013-21.6%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012-1.0%
Q3 2012-2.5%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010+0.5%
Q2 2010+0.5%

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