NYSE$GES

Guess? Inc · Q3 2021 earnings

Q3 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Significantly exceeded expectations despite pandemic challenges.

Guess? Inc. reported a decrease in revenues by 8% to $569 million in Q3 2021, but GAAP EPS more than doubled to $0.41 compared to $0.18 in Q3 2020. The company ended the quarter with $365 million in cash and cash equivalents, strategically managing working capital and investments.

  • Doubled earnings per share versus last year.
  • Significantly expanded operating margin despite a revenue decrease.
  • Balance sheet is in great shape with $365 million in cash and equivalents.
  • Inventories are 24% below last year’s levels.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$569M

Previous: $616M-7.6%
EPS (adj)

$0.58

Previous: $0.22+163.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$12.4M

Previous: -$49M+74.8%
Free Cash Flow

$86M

Previous: -$77M+211.6%
Net Income

$26.4M

Previous: $12.4M+112.3%
Operating Income

$44.5M

Previous: $22.6M+96.3%
Gross Profit

$240M

Previous: $229M+4.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$365M

Previous: $110M+231.8%
Total Assets

$2.38B

Previous: $2.39B-0.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.74M

Previous: $5.19M-8.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Guess? · Revenue · Quarterly

$569M

Q3 2021-7.6%vs Q3 2020
Beat estimate in 10 of 16 quarters(63%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Guess? · $569M total across 5 segments · Q3 2021

  • Europe
    $322M+16.0%
  • Americas Retail
    $130M-26.7%
  • Asia
    $62M-24.7%
  • Americas Wholesale
    $36M-36.2%
  • Licensing
    $19.4M-12.5%

Forward guidance

Revenues in the fourth quarter of fiscal 2021 are expected to be down in the low to mid-twenties, impacted by lower customer traffic in stores related to the pandemic and temporary government-mandated store closures, especially in Europe and Canada, as well as permanent store closures.

Headwinds

  • Lower customer traffic in stores related to the pandemic.
  • Temporary government-mandated store closures, especially in Europe and Canada.
  • Permanent store closures.
  • A smaller percentage of the European wholesale Spring/Summer collection will be shipped in the fourth quarter.
  • Strategic product development changes.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 8 quarterly earnings reports

Historical avg

+2.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

-1.5%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

36 / 67 earnings

Positive

+39.0%

Q4 2020

Best reaction

-32.3%

Q1 2021

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q3 2026+0.2%+0.2%-1.7%
Q2 2026+0.2%+0.2%-0.8%
Q1 2026+8.8%+11.1%+16.8%
Q4 2025+9.8%-13.7%+13.5%
Q3 2025-9.1%-9.2%-23.0%
Q2 2025-3.3%-2.3%-5.3%
Q1 2025-0.6%-1.6%-12.9%
Q4 2024+24.5%+17.8%+1.9%
Q3 2024-13.8%
Q2 2024+26.9%
Q1 2024+7.4%
Q4 2023-2.5%
Q3 2023+2.7%
Q2 2023-2.3%
Q1 2023+20.4%
Q4 2022+15.6%
Q3 2022+6.3%
Q2 2022-2.1%
Q1 2022-1.7%
Q4 2021+5.9%
Q3 2021+14.7%
Q2 2021+11.2%
Q1 2021-32.3%
Q4 2020+39.0%
Q3 2020+5.9%
Q2 2020+29.4%
Q1 2020-9.4%
Q4 2019-14.3%
Q3 2019+4.4%
Q2 2019+4.6%
Q1 2019-20.3%
Q4 2018+32.9%
Q3 2018-12.1%
Q2 2018+20.1%
Q1 2018+13.4%
Q4 2017-10.3%
Q3 2017-11.6%
Q2 2017+14.5%
Q1 2017-3.9%
Q4 2016-15.9%
Q3 2016+9.0%
Q2 2016+12.0%
Q1 2016+8.7%
Q4 2015+13.2%
Q3 2015-8.3%
Q2 2015-9.5%
Q1 2015-3.6%
Q4 2014-5.1%
Q3 2014-3.7%
Q2 2014+13.2%
Q1 2014+9.0%
Q4 2013-6.5%
Q3 2013+7.4%
Q2 2013-21.6%
Q1 2013+0.2%
Q4 2012-1.0%
Q3 2012-2.5%
Q1 2011+1.6%
Q2 2012+1.6%
Q1 2012-0.8%
Q4 2009-0.5%
Q4 2011-0.5%
Q3 2011-1.3%
Q3 2010-1.3%
Q2 2011+0.5%
Q4 2010+0.5%
Q2 2010+0.5%

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