NYSE$GEO
GEO Group Inc · Q4 2020 earnings
Q4 2020 earnings · · Investor relations
Briefing
GEO Group reported Q4 2020 results, highlighting challenges associated with the global COVID-19 pandemic and issuing 2021 guidance.
GEO Group's Q4 2020 results showed a decrease in revenue and net income compared to Q4 2019, impacted by the COVID-19 pandemic and a goodwill impairment charge. The company remains resilient with long-term real estate assets and contracts entailing essential government services.
- Total revenues for Q4 2020 were $578.1 million, compared to $621.7 million for Q4 2019.
- Net income attributable to GEO was $11.9 million, or $0.09 per diluted share, compared to $38.1 million, or $0.32 per diluted share, for Q4 2019.
- Adjusted net income for Q4 2020 was $39.3 million, or $0.33 per diluted share, compared to $46.0 million, or $0.38 per diluted share, for Q4 2019.
- The company drew down $250 million under its revolving credit facility during Q4 2020 and had $283.5 million in cash on hand as of December 31, 2020.
Headline financials
Revenue & EPS history
GEO · Revenue · Quarterly
$578M
Forward guidance
The company issued financial guidance for the full year and first quarter of 2021, anticipating continued negative impacts from the COVID-19 pandemic and the potential non-renewal of secure services contracts with the BOP. The guidance assumes a slow recovery throughout the year toward more normalized operations by year-end.
Tailwinds
- Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.88 to $0.98 per diluted share for FY21.
- AFFO to be in a range of $1.98 to $2.08 per diluted share for FY21.
- Adjusted EBITDA to be in a range of approximately $386 million to $400 million for FY21.
- Full year 2021 revenues to be in a range of approximately $2.24 billion to $2.27 billion.
- Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.18 to $0.20 per diluted share for Q1 2021.
Headwinds
- Global COVID-19 pandemic continues to have a negative impact on several segments of company.
- Lower occupancy levels at several of facilities and programs due to COVID-19.
- Increased spending on personal protective equipment, diagnostic testing, medical expenses, non-contact infrared thermometers, and increased sanitation measures.
- Potential non-renewal of three additional secure services contracts with the BOP.
- Three of secure services contracts with the BOP expiring during the first quarter of 2021.
Historical earnings impact
How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.
Avg. return before/after earnings
Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2020
+0.4%
Avg return
Earnings day
+1.1%
Avg return
5 days after
+2.9%
Avg return
30 days after
60%
39 / 65 earnings
Positive
+21.2%
Q3 2016
Best reaction
-14.9%
Q4 2025
Worst reaction
| Quarter | Report date | Reaction (Day 0) | +5 days | +30 days |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Q1 2026 | +20.5% | +16.7% | +37.7% | |
| Q4 2025 | -14.9% | -7.9% | -8.1% | |
| Q3 2025 | -8.3% | -11.7% | +1.8% | |
| Q1 2025 | -9.9% | -13.9% | -11.3% | |
| Q4 2024 | +6.1% | +0.5% | +13.7% | |
| Q3 2024 | +0.9% | +5.5% | +25.2% | |
| Q2 2024 | -2.9% | -1.1% | +2.3% | |
| Q1 2024 | +1.0% | +7.2% | +5.2% | |
| Q4 2023 | -0.6% | -1.5% | +7.1% | |
| Q3 2023 | +5.1% | +2.4% | +7.0% | |
| Q2 2023 | +1.9% | +1.0% | -3.0% | |
| Q1 2023 | -6.2% | -3.0% | -1.2% | |
| Q4 2022 | -4.7% | -1.0% | -14.6% | |
| Q3 2022 | -10.9% | -9.7% | +21.7% | |
| Q2 2022 | +8.4% | +4.7% | +29.8% | |
| Q1 2022 | +10.6% | +9.6% | +5.7% | |
| Q4 2021 | -4.2% | -4.8% | -4.0% | |
| Q3 2021 | +4.7% | +2.4% | -17.2% | |
| Q2 2021 | +10.9% | +11.6% | +15.1% | |
| Q1 2021 | +7.3% | +8.0% | +53.3% | |
| Q4 2020 | -2.9% | -17.4% | -9.8% | |
| Q3 2020 | +9.2% | +20.3% | +19.7% | |
| Q2 2020 | -6.7% | -3.1% | -3.7% | |
| Q1 2020 | -11.7% | -13.1% | -10.1% | |
| Q4 2019 | +1.0% | +5.6% | -27.0% | |
| Q3 2019 | +0.9% | -2.1% | -10.3% | |
| Q2 2019 | -0.3% | +1.2% | -2.1% | |
| Q1 2019 | -2.5% | -0.3% | +5.3% | |
| Q4 2018 | -1.4% | -3.2% | -21.8% | |
| Q3 2018 | -0.2% | +1.5% | +4.7% | |
| Q2 2018 | +1.9% | +0.4% | +1.2% | |
| Q1 2018 | +3.9% | +9.3% | +10.5% | |
| Q4 2017 | -2.8% | +0.0% | -7.1% | |
| Q3 2017 | +2.1% | +5.8% | +0.7% | |
| Q2 2017 | -3.7% | -4.3% | -2.6% | |
| Q1 2017 | +0.9% | -0.1% | -2.4% | |
| Q4 2016 | -2.7% | -3.7% | -5.5% | |
| Q3 2016 | +21.2% | +28.0% | +42.3% | |
| Q2 2016 | +2.3% | +1.4% | -34.4% | |
| Q1 2016 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q4 2015 | +2.2% | — | — | |
| Q3 2015 | -9.3% | — | — | |
| Q2 2015 | +0.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2015 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2014 | +1.6% | — | — | |
| Q3 2014 | -3.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2014 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q1 2014 | +0.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2013 | +1.9% | — | — | |
| Q3 2013 | +0.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2013 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2013 | -0.7% | — | — | |
| Q4 2012 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q3 2012 | +0.9% | — | — | |
| Q2 2012 | +2.8% | — | — | |
| Q1 2012 | +0.4% | — | — | |
| Q4 2011 | +0.0% | — | — | |
| Q3 2011 | -2.6% | — | — | |
| Q2 2011 | +1.5% | — | — | |
| Q1 2011 | +1.3% | — | — | |
| Q4 2010 | +1.1% | — | — | |
| Q3 2010 | -2.0% | — | — | |
| Q2 2010 | -2.2% | — | — | |
| Q1 2010 | +0.2% | — | — | |
| Q4 2009 | +1.9% | — | — |
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