NYSE$GEO

GEO Group Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

The GEO Group reported its second quarter 2020 financial results and issued updated financial and dividend guidance.

The GEO Group reported second quarter 2020 net income attributable to GEO of $36.7 million, or $0.31 per diluted share. Total revenues for the second quarter 2020 were $587.8 million. The company faces challenges associated with the COVID-19 pandemic, which has had a negative operational and financial impact across several segments.

  • 2Q20 Net Income Attributable to GEO of $0.31 per diluted share
  • 2Q20 AFFO of $0.66 per diluted share
  • Updated FY20 guidance for Net Income Attributable to GEO of $0.95-$0.99 per diluted share and Adjusted Net Income of $1.07 to $1.11 per diluted share
  • Expects to reduce quarterly dividend to $0.34 per share, $1.36 per share annualized

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$588M

Previous: $614M-4.3%
EPS (adj)

$0.66

Previous: $0.70-5.7%
Capital Expenditures

-$53.5M

Previous: -$55.4M+3.5%
Free Cash Flow

-$16.8M

Previous: -$13.5M-24.1%
Net Income

$36.7M

Previous: $41.9M-12.4%
Operating Income

$63.5M

Previous: $81.2M-21.8%
Gross Profit

$142M

Previous: $161M-11.4%
Cash & Equivalents

$75.7M

Previous: $21.6M+251.3%
Total Assets

$4.24B

Previous: $4.31B-1.5%
R&D Expense

$0.00

Previous: $0.00

Revenue & EPS history

GEO · Revenue · Quarterly

$588M

Q2 2020-4.3%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 8 of 12 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects full-year 2020 revenues to be approximately $2.34 billion. For the third quarter of 2020, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.25 to $0.27 per diluted share; Adjusted Net Income to be in a range of $0.28 to $0.30 per diluted share; and AFFO to be in a range of $0.58 to $0.60 per diluted share. For the fourth quarter of 2020, the company expects Net Income Attributable to GEO to be in a range of $0.18 to $0.20 per diluted share; Adjusted Net Income to be in a range of $0.19 to $0.21 per diluted share; and AFFO to be in a range of $0.50 to $0.52 per diluted share.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.2%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-14.9%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+20.5%+16.7%+37.7%
Q4 2025-14.9%-7.9%-8.1%
Q3 2025-8.3%-11.7%+1.8%
Q1 2025-9.9%-13.9%-11.3%
Q4 2024+6.1%+0.5%+13.7%
Q3 2024+0.9%+5.5%+25.2%
Q2 2024-2.9%-1.1%+2.3%
Q1 2024+1.0%+7.2%+5.2%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.5%+7.1%
Q3 2023+5.1%+2.4%+7.0%
Q2 2023+1.9%+1.0%-3.0%
Q1 2023-6.2%-3.0%-1.2%
Q4 2022-4.7%-1.0%-14.6%
Q3 2022-10.9%-9.7%+21.7%
Q2 2022+8.4%+4.7%+29.8%
Q1 2022+10.6%+9.6%+5.7%
Q4 2021-4.2%-4.8%-4.0%
Q3 2021+4.7%+2.4%-17.2%
Q2 2021+10.9%+11.6%+15.1%
Q1 2021+7.3%+8.0%+53.3%
Q4 2020-2.9%-17.4%-9.8%
Q3 2020+9.2%+20.3%+19.7%
Q2 2020-6.7%-3.1%-3.7%
Q1 2020-11.7%-13.1%-10.1%
Q4 2019+1.0%+5.6%-27.0%
Q3 2019+0.9%-2.1%-10.3%
Q2 2019-0.3%+1.2%-2.1%
Q1 2019-2.5%-0.3%+5.3%
Q4 2018-1.4%-3.2%-21.8%
Q3 2018-0.2%+1.5%+4.7%
Q2 2018+1.9%+0.4%+1.2%
Q1 2018+3.9%+9.3%+10.5%
Q4 2017-2.8%+0.0%-7.1%
Q3 2017+2.1%+5.8%+0.7%
Q2 2017-3.7%-4.3%-2.6%
Q1 2017+0.9%-0.1%-2.4%
Q4 2016-2.7%-3.7%-5.5%
Q3 2016+21.2%+28.0%+42.3%
Q2 2016+2.3%+1.4%-34.4%
Q1 2016+1.6%
Q4 2015+2.2%
Q3 2015-9.3%
Q2 2015+0.8%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014+1.6%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2013+0.6%
Q2 2013+1.5%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012+0.9%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011-2.6%
Q2 2011+1.5%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q3 2010-2.0%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.9%

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