NYSE$GEO

GEO Group Inc · Q3 2025 earnings

Q3 2025 earnings · · Before market open · Investor relations

Briefing

GEO Group reported Q3 2025 revenue of $682.3M with net income of $173.9M and diluted EPS of $1.24.

Third-quarter revenue was $682.3 million with net income of $173.9 million, including a gain on asset divestitures. Diluted EPS was $1.24. U.S. Secure Services revenue rose on new facility activations and higher occupancy.

  • Q3 revenue $682.3M.
  • Net income $173.9M; diluted EPS $1.24.
  • U.S. Secure Services occupancy near 90%.
  • New contract activations at Delaney Hall and related sites.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$682M

Previous: $603M+13.1%
EPS (adj)

$1.24

Previous: $0.19+552.6%
Capital Expenditures

-$161M

Previous: -$57.9M-178.5%
Free Cash Flow

$12.7M

Previous: -$31.6M+140.1%
Net Income

$174M

Previous: $26.3M+560.9%
Operating Income

$40.7M

Previous: $82.4M-50.6%
Gross Profit

$173M

Previous: $161M+7.6%

Revenue & EPS history

GEO · Revenue · Quarterly

$682M

Q3 2025+13.1%vs Q3 2024
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management discusses volume, pricing, capital returns, and segment outlook for upcoming quarters in the 10-Q MD&A.

Tailwinds

  • Operational metrics and demand trends cited versus prior year.
  • Balance sheet and cash flow support ongoing investment or returns.

Headwinds

  • Commodity, labor, or rate sensitivity may affect margins quarter to quarter.
  • One-time items can distort GAAP earnings comparability.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2025

Historical avgQ3 2025

+0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.1%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.9%

Avg return

30 days after

60%

39 / 65 earnings

Positive

+21.2%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-14.9%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+20.5%+16.7%+37.7%
Q4 2025-14.9%-7.9%-8.1%
Q3 2025-8.3%-11.7%+1.8%
Q1 2025-9.9%-13.9%-11.3%
Q4 2024+6.1%+0.5%+13.7%
Q3 2024+0.9%+5.5%+25.2%
Q2 2024-2.9%-1.1%+2.3%
Q1 2024+1.0%+7.2%+5.2%
Q4 2023-0.6%-1.5%+7.1%
Q3 2023+5.1%+2.4%+7.0%
Q2 2023+1.9%+1.0%-3.0%
Q1 2023-6.2%-3.0%-1.2%
Q4 2022-4.7%-1.0%-14.6%
Q3 2022-10.9%-9.7%+21.7%
Q2 2022+8.4%+4.7%+29.8%
Q1 2022+10.6%+9.6%+5.7%
Q4 2021-4.2%-4.8%-4.0%
Q3 2021+4.7%+2.4%-17.2%
Q2 2021+10.9%+11.6%+15.1%
Q1 2021+7.3%+8.0%+53.3%
Q4 2020-2.9%-17.4%-9.8%
Q3 2020+9.2%+20.3%+19.7%
Q2 2020-6.7%-3.1%-3.7%
Q1 2020-11.7%-13.1%-10.1%
Q4 2019+1.0%+5.6%-27.0%
Q3 2019+0.9%-2.1%-10.3%
Q2 2019-0.3%+1.2%-2.1%
Q1 2019-2.5%-0.3%+5.3%
Q4 2018-1.4%-3.2%-21.8%
Q3 2018-0.2%+1.5%+4.7%
Q2 2018+1.9%+0.4%+1.2%
Q1 2018+3.9%+9.3%+10.5%
Q4 2017-2.8%+0.0%-7.1%
Q3 2017+2.1%+5.8%+0.7%
Q2 2017-3.7%-4.3%-2.6%
Q1 2017+0.9%-0.1%-2.4%
Q4 2016-2.7%-3.7%-5.5%
Q3 2016+21.2%+28.0%+42.3%
Q2 2016+2.3%+1.4%-34.4%
Q1 2016+1.6%
Q4 2015+2.2%
Q3 2015-9.3%
Q2 2015+0.8%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014+1.6%
Q3 2014-3.0%
Q2 2014+1.9%
Q1 2014+0.7%
Q4 2013+1.9%
Q3 2013+0.6%
Q2 2013+1.5%
Q1 2013-0.7%
Q4 2012+0.4%
Q3 2012+0.9%
Q2 2012+2.8%
Q1 2012+0.4%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q3 2011-2.6%
Q2 2011+1.5%
Q1 2011+1.3%
Q4 2010+1.1%
Q3 2010-2.0%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+1.9%

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