NYSE$GCO

Genesco Inc · Q3 2024 earnings

Q3 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Genesco's Q3 2024 performance was impacted by softened demand in October, ERP system implementation disruptions, and a delayed fall selling season, leading to results below expectations.

Genesco Inc. reported a 4% decrease in net sales to $579 million for the third quarter of fiscal 2024. GAAP EPS was $0.60, and non-GAAP EPS was $0.57. The company faced challenges including softened demand and ERP implementation disruptions, but saw sequential improvement in Journeys and record sales in Schuh and Johnston & Murphy.

  • Net sales decreased by 4% to $579 million compared to Q3FY23.
  • Comparable sales were down 4%, with store sales down 7% and direct sales up 8%.
  • E-commerce sales accounted for 21% of retail sales, up from 18% in the previous year.
  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations was $0.60, compared to $1.66 last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$579M

Previous: $604M-4.1%
EPS (adj)

$0.57

Previous: $1.65-65.5%
Gross Margin

48.1%

Previous: 48.7%-1.2%
E-commerce Penetration

21.0%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$49.7M

Previous: -$39.8M-24.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$43.2M

Previous: -$19.5M-121.9%
Net Income

$6.54M

Previous: $20.4M-67.9%
Operating Income

$10.9M

Previous: $26.1M-58.4%
Gross Profit

$278M

Previous: $294M-5.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$21.7M

Previous: $32.1M-32.5%
Total Assets

$1.49B

Previous: $1.54B-2.9%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.18M

Previous: $3.68M-13.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Genesco · Revenue · Quarterly

$579M

Q3 2024-4.1%vs Q3 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Genesco · $549M total across 3 segments · Q3 2024

  • Journeys Group
    $349M-8.2%
  • Schuh Group
    $118M+12.7%
  • Johnston & Murphy Group
    $81.4M+2.3%

Forward guidance

Genesco expects sales to be down 1% to 2% and adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations in the range of $1.50 to $2.00 for fiscal year 2024.

Tailwinds

  • Total comps are currently running positive.
  • Experienced a strong start to the holiday season.
  • Strategic initiatives and specific efforts to elevate Journeys in the marketplace.
  • Cost reduction and store closure plans.
  • Revised Fiscal 2024 outlook reflects a somewhat more conservative view for other businesses.

Headwinds

  • Consumer shopping behavior remains choppy.
  • Plan to increase promotional activity, especially at Journeys, for the remainder of the holiday season to be more competitive and drive sales in this environment.
  • Revised Fiscal 2024 outlook reflects increased promotional activity.
  • Sales expected to be down 1% to 2%, or down 2% to 3% excluding the 53rd week this year, compared to Fiscal 2023
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations in the range of $1.50 to $2.00, with an expectation that EPS will be near the mid-point of the range

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q3 2024

Historical avgQ3 2024

-2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.5%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+38.1%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-35.5%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.6%-1.2%+8.8%
Q3 2026-30.6%-33.6%-29.8%
Q2 2026-6.7%-2.7%-8.3%
Q1 2026+0.2%+1.6%-0.4%
Q4 2025-16.3%-34.5%-44.4%
Q3 2025+11.4%+17.6%+14.1%
Q2 2025-12.6%-16.9%-4.4%
Q1 2025+7.6%+2.7%-5.3%
Q4 2024-13.5%-10.3%-10.3%
Q3 2024-12.8%-21.1%-5.8%
Q2 2024+15.1%+7.0%+5.7%
Q1 2024-35.5%-38.3%-19.6%
Q4 2023-12.4%-23.6%-24.3%
Q3 2023-9.7%-5.1%-4.9%
Q2 2023-24.0%-21.7%-30.5%
Q1 2023+7.6%+2.5%+3.1%
Q4 2022+7.8%+6.6%+2.5%
Q3 2022-0.2%+1.5%+0.6%
Q2 2022-9.2%-11.5%-4.8%
Q1 2022-5.7%-0.4%+9.1%
Q4 2021-1.5%-8.6%-4.3%
Q3 2021+1.7%+7.1%-2.1%
Q2 2021-1.7%-4.8%+3.9%
Q1 2021-14.9%-21.2%-37.4%
Q4 2020-8.3%-38.8%-19.7%
Q3 2020+38.1%+31.9%+28.6%
Q2 2020+15.6%+22.1%+6.1%
Q1 2020+15.0%+7.6%+5.0%
Q4 2019-9.9%-9.3%-6.5%
Q3 2019+2.4%-0.4%+10.7%
Q2 2019+1.8%+0.3%-5.3%
Q1 2019-11.3%-8.8%-10.7%
Q4 2018-1.6%-2.3%+5.1%
Q3 2018-11.3%-7.7%+4.5%
Q2 2018-9.0%-7.5%+4.3%
Q1 2018-17.5%-16.6%-26.2%
Q4 2017+3.9%+4.1%-9.0%
Q3 2017+10.4%+12.1%-1.8%
Q2 2017-32.5%-32.9%-25.0%
Q1 2017+11.1%+9.7%+10.4%
Q4 2016-2.6%
Q3 2016+10.1%
Q2 2016+5.3%
Q1 2016-3.7%
Q4 2015-7.7%
Q3 2015-11.6%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-2.7%
Q2 2014-11.3%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013-1.0%
Q3 2013-10.4%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2012-2.2%
Q1 2013+1.2%
Q4 2012+6.1%
Q4 2010+6.1%
Q3 2011+2.4%
Q3 2012+2.4%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q2 2011-1.3%
Q4 2011-1.3%
Q1 2011+7.1%

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