NYSE$GCO

Genesco Inc · Q1 2024 earnings

Q1 2024 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Genesco reported a challenging first quarter, with consumer demand at Journeys dropping significantly, offsetting record sales at Schuh and Johnston & Murphy. The company is taking actions to mitigate the consumer shift and revised its outlook for Fiscal 2024.

Genesco Inc. reported a 7% decrease in net sales to $483 million compared to Q1FY23. GAAP EPS was ($1.60) and non-GAAP EPS was ($1.59). The company is revising its outlook for the remainder of Fiscal 2024 due to ongoing uncertainty around near-term consumer behavior.

  • Net sales decreased 7% compared to Q1FY23, totaling $483 million.
  • Comparable sales were down 5%, with stores down 8% and direct sales up 7%.
  • E-commerce sales represented 21% of retail sales, compared to 19% last year.
  • GAAP EPS from continuing operations was ($1.60) vs. $0.37 last year, and Non-GAAP EPS from continuing operations was ($1.59) vs. $0.44 last year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$483M

Previous: $521M-7.2%
EPS (adj)

-$1.59

Previous: $0.44-461.4%
Gross Margin

47.3%

Previous: 48.3%-2.1%
Operating Margin

-4.8%

No prior period
E-commerce Penetration

21.0%

Previous: 19.0%+10.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$17.2M

Previous: -$15.4M-11.9%
Free Cash Flow

-$36.1M

Previous: -$10.5M-245.7%
Net Income

-$18.9M

Previous: $4.95M-481.8%
Operating Income

-$23M

Previous: $8.25M-378.9%
Gross Profit

$229M

Previous: $251M-9.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$31.8M

Previous: $201M-84.2%
Total Assets

$1.5B

Previous: $1.55B-3.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.77M

Previous: $3.24M+16.5%

Revenue & EPS history

Genesco · Revenue · Quarterly

$483M

Q1 2024-7.2%vs Q1 2023
Beat estimate in 11 of 14 quarters(79%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Genesco · $448M total across 3 segments · Q1 2024

  • Journeys Group
    $272M-13.4%
  • Schuh Group
    $93.1M+5.6%
  • Johnston & Murphy Group
    $82.6M+16.3%

Forward guidance

For Fiscal 2024, the Company now expects sales to be down 4% to 5%, or down 5% to 6% excluding the 53rd week this year, compared to Fiscal 23. Adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations are expected to be in the range of $2.00 to $2.50.

Tailwinds

  • Guidance assumes no further share repurchases
  • Guidance assumes a tax rate of 25%

Headwinds

  • Sales to be down 4% to 5%, or down 5% to 6% excluding the 53rd week this year, compared to Fiscal 23
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share from continuing operations in the range of $2.00 to $2.50

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2024

Historical avgQ1 2024

-2.8%

Avg return

Earnings day

-6.1%

Avg return

5 days after

-5.5%

Avg return

30 days after

40%

26 / 65 earnings

Positive

+38.1%

Q3 2020

Best reaction

-35.5%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q4 2026+1.6%-1.2%+8.8%
Q3 2026-30.6%-33.6%-29.8%
Q2 2026-6.7%-2.7%-8.3%
Q1 2026+0.2%+1.6%-0.4%
Q4 2025-16.3%-34.5%-44.4%
Q3 2025+11.4%+17.6%+14.1%
Q2 2025-12.6%-16.9%-4.4%
Q1 2025+7.6%+2.7%-5.3%
Q4 2024-13.5%-10.3%-10.3%
Q3 2024-12.8%-21.1%-5.8%
Q2 2024+15.1%+7.0%+5.7%
Q1 2024-35.5%-38.3%-19.6%
Q4 2023-12.4%-23.6%-24.3%
Q3 2023-9.7%-5.1%-4.9%
Q2 2023-24.0%-21.7%-30.5%
Q1 2023+7.6%+2.5%+3.1%
Q4 2022+7.8%+6.6%+2.5%
Q3 2022-0.2%+1.5%+0.6%
Q2 2022-9.2%-11.5%-4.8%
Q1 2022-5.7%-0.4%+9.1%
Q4 2021-1.5%-8.6%-4.3%
Q3 2021+1.7%+7.1%-2.1%
Q2 2021-1.7%-4.8%+3.9%
Q1 2021-14.9%-21.2%-37.4%
Q4 2020-8.3%-38.8%-19.7%
Q3 2020+38.1%+31.9%+28.6%
Q2 2020+15.6%+22.1%+6.1%
Q1 2020+15.0%+7.6%+5.0%
Q4 2019-9.9%-9.3%-6.5%
Q3 2019+2.4%-0.4%+10.7%
Q2 2019+1.8%+0.3%-5.3%
Q1 2019-11.3%-8.8%-10.7%
Q4 2018-1.6%-2.3%+5.1%
Q3 2018-11.3%-7.7%+4.5%
Q2 2018-9.0%-7.5%+4.3%
Q1 2018-17.5%-16.6%-26.2%
Q4 2017+3.9%+4.1%-9.0%
Q3 2017+10.4%+12.1%-1.8%
Q2 2017-32.5%-32.9%-25.0%
Q1 2017+11.1%+9.7%+10.4%
Q4 2016-2.6%
Q3 2016+10.1%
Q2 2016+5.3%
Q1 2016-3.7%
Q4 2015-7.7%
Q3 2015-11.6%
Q2 2015-10.6%
Q1 2015+4.1%
Q4 2014+4.2%
Q3 2014-2.7%
Q2 2014-11.3%
Q1 2014-1.8%
Q4 2013-1.0%
Q3 2013-10.4%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2012-2.2%
Q1 2013+1.2%
Q4 2012+6.1%
Q4 2010+6.1%
Q3 2011+2.4%
Q3 2012+2.4%
Q2 2012-1.3%
Q2 2011-1.3%
Q4 2011-1.3%
Q1 2011+7.1%

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