NYSE$GBTG

Global Business Travel Group I · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

American Express Global Business Travel reported strong financial results, with revenue totaling $549 million and Adjusted EBITDA reaching $80 million.

American Express Global Business Travel reported a 4% increase in revenue to $549 million and an 83% increase in Adjusted EBITDA to $80 million. The company's Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 15%, and free cash flow totaled $32 million.

  • Revenue totaled $549 million, an increase of 4% year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA totaled $80 million, an increase of 83% year-over-year.
  • Adjusted EBITDA margin expanded to 15%, up 6ppt year-over-year.
  • Free Cash Flow totaled $32 million, an improvement of $57 million year-over-year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$549M

Previous: $527M+4.2%
EPS (adj)

-$0.10

Previous: -$0.13+23.1%
Adjusted EBITDA margin

15.0%

Previous: 0.0%
Capital Expenditures

-$26M

Previous: $21M-223.8%
Net Income

-$46M

Previous: -$58M+20.7%
Operating Income

-$8M

Previous: -$68M+88.2%
Gross Profit

$549M

Previous: $527M+4.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$15M

Previous: $16M-6.3%

Revenue & EPS history

GBTG · Revenue · Quarterly

$549M

Q4 2023+4.2%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 8 of 14 quarters(57%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

GBTG · $571M total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Travel revenue
    $455M+17.9%
  • Products & services
    $116M+9.4%

Forward guidance

The company is guiding for 6-9% revenue growth and 18-32% Adjusted EBITDA growth in 2024, with a focus on operating leverage and margin expansion.

Tailwinds

  • Guiding to 6-9% revenue growth driven by expected stable growth in business travel
  • Continued share gains.
  • Margin expansion, focus on productivity
  • Leveraging automation and artificial intelligence (AI)
  • Opportunity to refinance debt and shift capital allocation to organic and inorganic opportunities.

Headwinds

  • Numerous estimates and assumptions with respect to future industry performance under various scenarios
  • Assumptions for competition, general business, economic, market and financial conditions and matters specific to the business of Amex GBT
  • All of which are difficult to predict
  • Many of which are beyond the control of Amex GBT
  • Actual results may differ materially from the guidance due to a number of factors

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 13 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

+0.0%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.7%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.5%

Avg return

30 days after

30%

6 / 20 earnings

Positive

+16.7%

Q2 2024

Best reaction

-10.4%

Q1 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.6%-1.2%
Q4 2025+1.4%-3.1%-3.8%
Q3 2025-3.8%-9.8%-1.0%
Q1 2025-10.4%-15.4%-5.7%
Q4 2024-5.9%-6.3%-14.6%
Q3 2024+0.7%+7.6%+23.0%
Q2 2024+16.7%+9.8%+17.1%
Q1 2024-4.3%-4.0%+5.9%
Q4 2023-0.5%-1.6%+5.3%
Q3 2023+2.4%-2.0%+10.7%
Q2 2023+7.5%+6.3%-13.3%
Q1 2023+9.0%+8.7%+39.5%
Q4 2022-10.0%-12.3%-4.3%
Q3 2022-0.2%-14.0%-0.2%
Q2 2022
Q1 2022-0.2%
Q4 2021+0.0%
Q4 2020-0.3%
Q3 2021-0.1%
Q2 2021+0.0%
Q1 2021-0.8%
Q3 2020

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