NYSE$EXE

Expand Energy Corp · Q4 2021 earnings

Q4 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported fourth quarter and full-year 2021 financial and operating results and updated 2022 guidance.

Chesapeake Energy Corporation reported strong fourth quarter 2021 results, with a net income of $1.4 billion and adjusted EBITDAX of $687 million. The company generated $372 million in adjusted free cash flow and will pay a quarterly dividend of $1.7675 per common share. They also increased their 2022 adjusted EBITDAX guidance to $3.8 – $4.0 billion.

  • Net cash provided by operating activities of $563 million; unrestricted cash balance of $905 million
  • Net income of approximately $1.4 billion, or $11.13 per diluted share; adjusted net income of $308 million, or $2.39 per diluted share
  • Adjusted EBITDAX of $687 million; adjusted free cash flow of $372 million
  • Quarterly dividend of $1.7675 per common share, consisting of the first variable dividend of $1.33 per common share and a quarterly base dividend of $0.4375 per common share

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$3.09B

Previous: $1.26B+145.1%
EPS (adj)

$2.39

No prior period
Produced Bcfe/d net

539.0K

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$265M

Previous: $169M+56.8%
Free Cash Flow

$372M

Previous: -$160M+332.5%
Net Income

$1.4B

Previous: -$416M+436.5%
Operating Income

$1.42B

Previous: $176M+707.4%
Gross Profit

$3.09B

Previous: $1.26B+145.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$905M

Previous: $279M+224.4%
Total Assets

$11B

Previous: $6.58B+67.2%
Stock-Based Comp

$4M

Previous: $5M-20.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Chesapeake · Revenue · Quarterly

$3.09B

Q4 2021+145.1%vs Q4 2020
Beat estimate in 5 of 11 quarters(45%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Chesapeake · $398M total across 1 segment · Q4 2019

  • Natural Gas, Oil and NGL
    $398M—

Forward guidance

Chesapeake Energy anticipates strong financial performance in 2022, with adjusted EBITDAX guidance increased to $3.8 - $4.0 billion and expected adjusted free cash flow of $1.9 - $2.1 billion. The company plans to return significant cash to shareholders through dividends and a share repurchase program.

Tailwinds

  • Increased 2022 adjusted EBITDAX guidance to $3.8 – $4.0 billion with no change in capital spending
  • Expected to generate approximately $1.9 – $2.1 billion in adjusted free cash flow in 2022 and greater than $9 billion in adjusted free cash flow over the next five years
  • Anticipate paying between $900 million – $1.1 billion in total dividends in 2022 and greater than $5 billion over the next five years
  • Strong balance sheet with net debt-to-2022E EBITDAX ratio of approximately 0.7x, pro forma for Chief and Powder River Basin cash consideration
  • On target to achieve its forecasted $50 million in initial synergies by the end of 2022.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2021

Historical avgQ4 2021

+0.3%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.9%

Avg return

30 days after

52%

11 / 21 earnings

Positive

+7.9%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-6.8%

Q1 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q2 2025———
Q1 2026+0.9%+3.9%-4.1%
Q4 2025-2.4%+0.4%+4.4%
Q3 2025-6.1%+9.0%+20.7%
Q1 2025-3.3%+0.8%+8.1%
Q4 2024-4.6%-1.7%+8.3%
Q3 2024+3.9%-1.9%+15.8%
Q2 2024-2.0%-6.9%-7.5%
Q1 2024-6.8%-6.8%-3.3%
Q4 2023+6.5%+4.1%+9.6%
Q3 2023+1.5%+4.4%-6.2%
Q2 2023-2.2%+1.2%+4.6%
Q1 2023-6.3%-4.4%-7.4%
Q4 2022-0.5%+6.6%-8.7%
Q3 2022+1.5%-1.4%-0.1%
Q2 2022+1.2%+1.7%+8.4%
Q1 2022+7.9%-4.4%+11.5%
Q4 2021+6.9%+16.4%+34.6%
Q3 2021+2.7%+0.0%-7.5%
Q2 2021+5.3%+5.0%+12.0%
Q1 2021-0.2%-1.4%+12.1%
Q4 2020+2.5%+1.9%-1.8%
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