NYSE$EFC

Ellington Financial Inc · Q4 2025 earnings

Q4 2025 earnings · · After market close · Investor relations

Briefing

Ellington Financial Q4 2025 Earnings Report

Ellington Financial reported positive results for Q4 2025, characterized by strong loan origination and securitization activity. While net income was impacted by unrealized losses on unsecured debt and issuance costs, Adjusted Distributable Earnings remained robust, significantly exceeding dividends. The company successfully completed its largest unsecured notes offering of $400 million, which was used to fortify the balance sheet and fund portfolio growth.

  • Net income attributable to common stockholders was $14.7 million, or $0.14 per share, while Adjusted Distributable Earnings reached $51.4 million, or $0.47 per share.
  • The company closed a record $400 million unsecured notes offering, utilizing proceeds to replace short-term repo financing and expand the investment portfolio by 9%.
  • Book value per common share ended the quarter at $13.16, following the payment of $0.39 per share in dividends.
  • Securitization activity remained high, including the inaugural securitization of residential transition loans and two proprietary reverse mortgage loan securitizations.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$147M

Previous: $108M+35.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.47

Previous: $0.45+4.4%
Book Value Per Share

$13.16

No prior period
Adjusted Distributable Earnings

$51.4M

No prior period
Recourse Debt-to-Equity

1.9

No prior period
Total Debt-to-Equity

9

No prior period
NIM Credit Portfolio

3.4%

Previous: 3.6%-7.7%
NIM Agency Portfolio

2.2%

Previous: 2.3%-4.0%
Net Income

$22.6M

Previous: $30.7M-26.2%
Operating Income

$5.76M

Previous: $20.2M-71.4%

Revenue & EPS history

Ellington Financial · Revenue · Quarterly

$147M

Q4 2025+35.8%vs Q4 2024
Beat estimate in 9 of 12 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Management intends to focus on disciplined portfolio growth and scaling its securitization platform while optimizing the capital structure in 2026.

Tailwinds

  • Focus on increasing market share in loan originations.
  • Scaling of the securitization platform to enhance financing efficiency.
  • Accretive common equity raises post-quarter end to retire high-cost preferred equity.
  • Expected increase in the share of long-term, non-mark-to-market financing.
  • Strong pipeline across non-QM, Agency-eligible, and commercial bridge loans.

Headwinds

  • Potential for continued market volatility affecting asset values.
  • Impact of credit spread tightening on the valuation of unsecured debt.
  • Declining asset yields in the credit portfolio due to higher warehouse holdings.
  • Risks associated with interest rate fluctuations and prepayment speeds.
  • Ongoing need to monitor and potentially refinance high-cost capital.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 19 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2025

Historical avgQ4 2025

+0.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.9%

Avg return

5 days after

-0.0%

Avg return

30 days after

65%

40 / 62 earnings

Positive

+7.9%

Q4 2024

Best reaction

-7.2%

Q4 2023

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.3%-2.1%
Q4 2025+0.5%-1.8%-7.7%
Q3 2025+1.0%+2.0%+0.4%
Q1 2025+1.3%+2.3%-0.7%
Q4 2024+7.9%+2.3%-0.2%
Q3 2024+4.0%+3.7%+2.7%
Q2 2024+4.4%+6.6%+9.1%
Q1 2024+0.3%+1.6%+2.6%
Q4 2023-7.2%-6.7%-4.5%
Q3 2023-1.5%+0.0%+0.8%
Q2 2023-0.1%-0.2%-1.1%
Q1 2023+1.0%+1.7%+9.2%
Q4 2022-2.0%-4.0%-13.5%
Q3 2022+3.2%+10.2%+1.3%
Q2 2022-1.9%-1.1%-11.2%
Q1 2022-5.9%-11.0%-7.0%
Q4 2021+0.8%+3.0%+4.6%
Q3 2021-1.2%-2.8%-4.7%
Q2 2021+1.4%+1.1%+2.2%
Q1 2021+0.4%+0.4%+6.5%
Q4 2020+0.3%+0.4%+2.4%
Q3 2020+0.3%+7.1%+16.1%
Q2 2020+0.2%+2.5%+2.0%
Q1 2020+7.2%-0.9%+23.2%
Q4 2019+0.8%+1.1%-35.8%
Q3 2019+1.9%+3.4%+0.0%
Q2 2019+1.4%+1.3%+1.2%
Q1 2019+0.1%+0.3%-2.6%
Q4 2018-0.9%-1.0%+4.6%
Q3 2018+4.3%+5.1%+0.9%
Q2 2018+0.4%+0.7%-0.6%
Q1 2018+2.0%+4.4%+4.5%
Q4 2017+1.2%+2.8%+2.0%
Q3 2017-0.3%-1.0%-2.9%
Q2 2017-1.0%-0.1%-2.6%
Q1 2017+1.7%+1.4%+0.7%
Q4 2016-0.1%-0.6%-2.1%
Q3 2016-0.4%+2.6%+0.4%
Q2 2016+0.9%+1.6%-0.6%
Q1 2016+1.1%
Q4 2015+2.8%
Q3 2015-2.1%
Q2 2015-0.4%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014+0.7%
Q3 2014-1.7%
Q2 2014+0.4%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q4 2013+0.7%
Q3 2013+0.6%
Q2 2013+0.1%
Q1 2013+2.7%
Q4 2012+4.6%
Q3 2012-1.5%
Q2 2012-2.3%
Q1 2012-0.2%
Q4 2011+0.3%
Q3 2011-0.6%
Q4 2010+0.8%
Q2 2011+0.8%
Q1 2011-1.2%
Q3 2010+1.2%
Q2 2010
Q1 2010

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