NYSE$DX

Dynex Capital Inc · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Dynex Capital reported fourth quarter and full year 2023 financial results.

Dynex Capital reported a total economic return of $1.45 per common share, or 11.8% of beginning book value, for the fourth quarter of 2023. The book value per common share was $13.31 as of December 31, 2023. Comprehensive income was $1.44 per common share and net income was $0.39 per common share for the fourth quarter of 2023.

  • Total economic return of $1.45 per common share, or 11.8% of beginning book value, for the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • Book value per common share of $13.31 as of December 31, 2023.
  • Comprehensive income of $1.44 per common share and net income of $0.39 per common share for the fourth quarter of 2023.
  • Dividends declared of $0.39 per common share for the fourth quarter of 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

-$2.28M

Previous: $6.21M-136.7%
EPS (adj)

-$0.24

Previous: $0.03-900.0%
Net Income

$24.3M

Previous: $41.4M-41.2%
Operating Income

$15.5M

No prior period
Stock-Based Comp

$1.23M

Previous: $388K+217.8%

Revenue & EPS history

Dynex Capital · Revenue · Quarterly

-$2.28M

Q4 2023-136.7%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 14 quarters(64%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

This release contains forward-looking statements within the meaning of the Private Securities Litigation Reform Act of 1995. The words “believe,” “expect,” “forecast,” “anticipate,” “estimate,” “project,” “plan,” "may," "could," "will," "continue" and similar expressions identify forward-looking statements that are inherently subject to risks and uncertainties, some of which cannot be predicted or quantified.

Tailwinds

  • Ability to find suitable investment opportunities.
  • Changes in domestic economic conditions.
  • The Company’s investment portfolio performance, particularly as it relates to cash flow, prepayment rates and credit performance.
  • The cost and availability of new equity capital.
  • Changes to the Company’s investment strategy, operating policies, dividend policy or asset allocations.

Headwinds

  • Geopolitical events, such as terrorism, war or other military conflict, including increased uncertainty regarding the war between Russia and the Ukraine and the related impact on macroeconomic conditions as a result of such conflict.
  • Changes in interest rates and credit spreads, including the repricing of interest-earning assets and interest-bearing liabilities.
  • The impact on markets and asset prices from changes in the Federal Reserve’s policies regarding purchases of Agency RMBS, Agency CMBS, and U.S. Treasuries.
  • Adverse reactions in U.S. financial markets related to actions of foreign central banks or the economic performance of foreign economies including in particular China, Japan, the European Union, and the United Kingdom.
  • Uncertainty concerning the long-term fiscal health and stability of the United States.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

27 / 66 earnings

Positive

+13.5%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-10.4%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%+1.1%-5.5%
Q4 2025+0.0%-5.1%-4.5%
Q3 2025+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
Q2 2025-0.5%-1.1%-0.8%
Q1 2025-1.8%+4.8%+3.1%
Q4 2024+1.2%+5.1%+10.5%
Q3 2024-1.3%-1.7%-1.7%
Q2 2024+1.0%-1.0%+0.3%
Q1 2024+1.0%+1.8%+5.0%
Q4 2023-1.5%-2.8%-4.3%
Q3 2023-4.7%-10.0%+6.8%
Q2 2023+5.9%+5.6%-1.4%
Q1 2023-1.0%+0.5%-8.3%
Q4 2022-3.8%-2.4%-13.8%
Q3 2022-2.1%+3.2%+11.0%
Q2 2022-0.5%+1.9%-4.4%
Q1 2022+13.5%+13.7%+12.9%
Q4 2021+0.8%+3.6%-3.5%
Q3 2021-1.5%-0.2%-3.3%
Q2 2021+2.0%-0.2%+1.8%
Q1 2021+2.9%+3.2%-0.1%
Q4 2020+3.6%-2.3%+2.0%
Q3 2020+5.2%+4.4%+12.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-0.1%+4.6%
Q1 2020-3.2%-6.7%+6.6%
Q4 2019+5.1%+5.9%-2.4%
Q3 2019+5.6%+3.7%+9.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-6.3%-16.8%
Q1 2019-1.5%-2.0%-9.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%-1.6%-1.6%
Q3 2018+0.0%+1.0%+1.9%
Q2 2018-2.7%-3.9%-2.7%
Q1 2018-1.5%+0.6%-1.5%
Q4 2017-0.6%+1.8%+1.3%
Q3 2017+0.3%-1.1%+2.3%
Q2 2017+3.2%+2.9%+4.0%
Q1 2017-5.9%-6.0%-5.7%
Q4 2016+1.3%+1.5%+3.3%
Q3 2016-4.2%-2.6%-2.5%
Q2 2016+2.1%+4.5%+7.3%
Q1 2016-5.3%
Q4 2015+2.9%
Q3 2015+3.3%
Q2 2015-10.4%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+1.0%
Q2 2014-1.7%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013-2.4%
Q3 2013-3.5%
Q2 2013-10.2%
Q1 2013-0.2%
Q1 2010+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+1.8%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q3 2011-0.6%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q4 2010-5.8%
Q4 2009-5.8%
Q2 2010-5.8%

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