NYSE$DX

Dynex Capital Inc · Q2 2020 earnings

Q2 2020 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported second quarter 2020 results with a comprehensive income of $1.15 per common share and a quarterly total economic return to common shareholders of 6.5%.

Dynex Capital, Inc. reported solid cash flows for shareholders in the second quarter of 2020, with a 6.5% total economic return. Core earnings declined due to a reduced leverage profile in early April, but the company was substantially re-invested by the end of the quarter and expects strong earnings expansion in the third quarter.

  • Comprehensive income of $1.15 per common share and net income of $8.31 per common share.
  • Quarterly total economic return to common shareholders of 6.5%.
  • Net interest spread and adjusted net interest spread of 1.96% for the second quarter of 2020.
  • Book value per common share of $16.69 at June 30, 2020.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$298M

Previous: $33.4M+791.7%
EPS (adj)

$0.36

Previous: $0.43-16.3%
Net Interest Spread

2.0%

Previous: 1.3%+48.5%
Economic Net Interest Spread

2.0%

Previous: 1.5%+33.3%
Free Cash Flow

$195M

Previous: -$119M+263.8%
Net Income

$195M

Previous: -$119M+263.8%
Operating Income

$294M

Previous: $30.4M+868.1%
Gross Profit

$298M

Previous: $33.4M+791.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$147M

Previous: $50M+194.7%
Total Assets

$3.9B

Previous: $5.87B-33.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$424K

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

Dynex Capital · Revenue · Quarterly

$298M

Q2 2020+791.7%vs Q2 2019
Beat estimate in 6 of 16 quarters(38%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

The company expects strong earnings expansion in the third quarter due to reinvestment in Agency RMBS.

Tailwinds

  • Low financing rates
  • Attractive risk-adjusted returns in liquid assets
  • Expected strong earnings expansion in the third quarter
  • Disciplined top-down approach
  • Portfolio primarily consists of Agency RMBS

Headwinds

  • Volatility and disruption in national and international financial markets
  • Potential adverse effects of the ongoing novel coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic
  • Changes in economic conditions
  • Changes in interest rates and interest rate spreads
  • Uncertainty concerning the long-term fiscal health and stability of the United States

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q2 2020

Historical avgQ2 2020

-0.6%

Avg return

Earnings day

+0.3%

Avg return

5 days after

+0.3%

Avg return

30 days after

41%

27 / 66 earnings

Positive

+13.5%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-10.4%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+0.7%+1.1%-5.5%
Q4 2025+0.0%-5.1%-4.5%
Q3 2025+0.2%+0.1%+0.2%
Q2 2025-0.5%-1.1%-0.8%
Q1 2025-1.8%+4.8%+3.1%
Q4 2024+1.2%+5.1%+10.5%
Q3 2024-1.3%-1.7%-1.7%
Q2 2024+1.0%-1.0%+0.3%
Q1 2024+1.0%+1.8%+5.0%
Q4 2023-1.5%-2.8%-4.3%
Q3 2023-4.7%-10.0%+6.8%
Q2 2023+5.9%+5.6%-1.4%
Q1 2023-1.0%+0.5%-8.3%
Q4 2022-3.8%-2.4%-13.8%
Q3 2022-2.1%+3.2%+11.0%
Q2 2022-0.5%+1.9%-4.4%
Q1 2022+13.5%+13.7%+12.9%
Q4 2021+0.8%+3.6%-3.5%
Q3 2021-1.5%-0.2%-3.3%
Q2 2021+2.0%-0.2%+1.8%
Q1 2021+2.9%+3.2%-0.1%
Q4 2020+3.6%-2.3%+2.0%
Q3 2020+5.2%+4.4%+12.0%
Q2 2020+1.0%-0.1%+4.6%
Q1 2020-3.2%-6.7%+6.6%
Q4 2019+5.1%+5.9%-2.4%
Q3 2019+5.6%+3.7%+9.2%
Q2 2019-3.7%-6.3%-16.8%
Q1 2019-1.5%-2.0%-9.8%
Q4 2018-2.6%-1.6%-1.6%
Q3 2018+0.0%+1.0%+1.9%
Q2 2018-2.7%-3.9%-2.7%
Q1 2018-1.5%+0.6%-1.5%
Q4 2017-0.6%+1.8%+1.3%
Q3 2017+0.3%-1.1%+2.3%
Q2 2017+3.2%+2.9%+4.0%
Q1 2017-5.9%-6.0%-5.7%
Q4 2016+1.3%+1.5%+3.3%
Q3 2016-4.2%-2.6%-2.5%
Q2 2016+2.1%+4.5%+7.3%
Q1 2016-5.3%
Q4 2015+2.9%
Q3 2015+3.3%
Q2 2015-10.4%
Q1 2015-2.4%
Q4 2014-0.4%
Q3 2014+1.0%
Q2 2014-1.7%
Q1 2014-0.5%
Q4 2013-2.4%
Q3 2013-3.5%
Q2 2013-10.2%
Q1 2013-0.2%
Q1 2010+0.3%
Q4 2012-0.8%
Q3 2012-0.9%
Q2 2012+1.8%
Q4 2011+1.8%
Q1 2011+1.5%
Q1 2012+0.7%
Q3 2010-0.6%
Q3 2011-0.6%
Q2 2011-5.8%
Q4 2010-5.8%
Q4 2009-5.8%
Q2 2010-5.8%

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