NYSE$CVI

CVR Energy · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CVR Energy's Q4 2023 financial performance decreased compared to the previous year, with a decline in net income and adjusted earnings, while full-year EBITDA reached a record high.

CVR Energy reported a decrease in net income attributable to CVR Energy stockholders for Q4 2023, from $112 million to $91 million, with net sales decreasing from $2.7 billion to $2.2 billion. However, the company's full-year EBITDA reached a record high, driven by high asset utilization and improved capture rates.

  • CVR Energy reported Q4 2023 net income attributable to stockholders of $91 million, or 91 cents per diluted share.
  • Net sales for Q4 2023 were $2.2 billion, compared to $2.7 billion in Q4 2022.
  • The company declared a fourth quarter 2023 cash dividend of 50 cents per share.
  • CVR Partners declared a fourth quarter 2023 cash distribution of $1.68 per common unit.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.2B

Previous: $2.68B-17.8%
EPS (adj)

$0.65

Previous: $1.68-61.3%
Net Income

$97M

Previous: $112M-13.4%
Operating Income

$124M

Previous: $236M-47.5%
Gross Profit

$156M

Previous: $287M-45.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$4M

Previous: $22M-81.8%

Revenue & EPS history

CVR Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.2B

Q4 2023-17.8%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CVR Energy · $2.43B total across 2 segments · Q3 2023

  • Petroleum Segment
    $2.3B-7.1%
  • Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment
    $131M-16.0%

Forward guidance

CVR Energy provided an outlook for Q1 2024, including estimations for petroleum throughput, direct operating expenses, turnaround costs, renewables throughput, and nitrogen fertilizer ammonia utilization rates.

Tailwinds

  • Petroleum total throughput is expected to be between 190,000 and 205,000 bpd.
  • Consolidated ammonia utilization rates are projected to be between 86% and 91%.
  • East Dubuque Fertilizer Facility ammonia utilization rates are expected to be between 95% and 100%.
  • Renewables total throughput is estimated to be between 6 and 10 million gallons.
  • Capital expenditures for Petroleum are projected to be between $40 and $45 million.

Headwinds

  • Petroleum direct operating expenses are expected to be between $100 and $110 million.
  • Petroleum turnaround costs are estimated to be between $35 and $40 million.
  • Renewables direct operating expenses are projected to be between $8 and $12 million.
  • Nitrogen Fertilizer direct operating expenses are expected to be between $52 and $57 million.
  • Coffeyville Fertilizer Facility ammonia utilization rates are projected to be between 77% and 82%.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-24.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%+3.3%-2.7%
Q4 2025-3.2%-2.9%+51.3%
Q3 2025-5.2%-6.8%-11.9%
Q1 2025+4.1%+8.0%+25.6%
Q4 2024+7.4%+14.0%+14.7%
Q3 2024-24.0%-32.8%-18.9%
Q2 2024+4.9%-7.0%-10.7%
Q1 2024-8.5%-11.2%-14.7%
Q4 2023-4.6%-4.6%+4.7%
Q3 2023+5.6%+5.3%+2.4%
Q2 2023-1.1%-0.5%-10.1%
Q1 2023-0.5%-9.1%-11.1%
Q4 2022-2.1%-1.4%-6.2%
Q3 2022-4.5%-1.5%-7.4%
Q2 2022+3.3%-6.0%-2.6%
Q1 2022+18.9%+30.5%+44.8%
Q4 2021-12.6%-13.3%+16.8%
Q3 2021-10.3%-7.3%-18.9%
Q2 2021+2.6%-5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2021+3.7%+10.0%+6.3%
Q4 2020+5.9%-3.6%-12.1%
Q3 2020+1.6%-5.4%+38.7%
Q2 2020-7.8%-9.2%-15.3%
Q1 2020-6.6%-1.1%+14.0%
Q4 2019+5.6%-0.8%-39.5%
Q3 2019-0.5%+5.4%+1.3%
Q2 2019-0.5%-0.7%-25.6%
Q1 2019+7.1%+5.9%+3.7%
Q4 2018-3.0%-3.3%-4.7%
Q3 2018+6.4%+7.1%-4.6%
Q2 2018+4.3%+3.6%+2.1%
Q1 2018-2.6%-1.2%+22.7%
Q4 2017-3.1%-5.1%-4.7%
Q3 2017+10.9%+14.6%+17.9%
Q2 2017-11.1%-11.7%-7.6%
Q1 2017+11.2%+14.6%+5.3%
Q4 2016+10.3%+10.6%-6.4%
Q3 2016-11.1%-10.3%+17.9%
Q2 2016+5.0%-2.3%-1.8%
Q1 2016-6.6%
Q4 2015-11.8%
Q3 2015+4.7%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014-3.9%
Q3 2014+2.9%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013+7.3%
Q3 2013-5.6%
Q2 2013-2.6%
Q1 2013+8.0%
Q4 2012-6.9%
Q3 2012+7.1%
Q2 2012-4.4%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q3 2010-2.8%
Q3 2011-2.8%
Q2 2011-2.3%
Q4 2010-2.3%
Q2 2010-2.3%

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