NYSE$CVI

CVR Energy · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CVR Energy reported net income and EPS increase compared to Q4 2021, driven by improved crack spreads.

CVR Energy reported a strong fourth quarter with net income of $112 million, or $1.11 per diluted share, compared to a net loss in Q4 2021. The results were driven by improved crack spreads. The company also announced a cash dividend of 50 cents per share.

  • Reported Q4 2022 net income of $112 million, or $1.11 per diluted share.
  • Net sales of $2.7 billion for Q4 2022, compared to $2.1 billion in Q4 2021.
  • CVR Partners declared a fourth quarter 2022 cash distribution of $10.50 per common unit.
  • Increased quarterly cash dividend to 50 cents for the fourth quarter 2022.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$2.68B

Previous: $2.11B+26.8%
EPS (adj)

$1.68

Previous: -$0.20+940.0%
Ammonia Utilization Rate

96.0%

Previous: 90.0%+6.7%
Ammonia Gross Produced (tons)

210.0K

No prior period
Ammonia Net Available for Sale (tons)

75.0K

No prior period
UAN Production (tons)

308.0K

No prior period
Net Income

$112M

Previous: -$14M+900.0%
Operating Income

$236M

Previous: $40M+490.0%
Gross Profit

$287M

Previous: $76M+277.6%
Cash & Equivalents

$510M

Previous: $510M+0.0%
Total Assets

$4.12B

Previous: $3.91B+5.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$22M

Previous: $15M+46.7%

Revenue & EPS history

CVR Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$2.68B

Q4 2022+26.8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 10 of 15 quarters(67%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CVR Energy · $2.63B total across 2 segments · Q4 2022

  • Petroleum Segment
    $2.42B+27.5%
  • Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment
    $212M+12.2%

Forward guidance

CVR Energy provided its outlook for Q1 2023, including estimates for throughput, operating expenses, and turnaround expenses for its Petroleum and Nitrogen Fertilizer segments. The company also provided guidance for Renewable diesel throughput and operating expenses.

Tailwinds

  • Petroleum total throughput between 180,000 and 195,000 bpd.
  • Renewables total throughput between 20 and 25 million gallons.
  • Consolidated Ammonia utilization rates between 95% and 100%.
  • Coffeyville Fertilizer Facility Ammonia utilization rates between 95% and 100%.
  • East Dubuque Fertilizer Facility Ammonia utilization rates between 95% and 100%.

Headwinds

  • Petroleum direct operating expenses between $95 million and $105 million.
  • Petroleum turnaround expenses between $35 million and $45 million.
  • Renewables direct operating expenses between $2 million and $4 million.
  • Nitrogen Fertilizer direct operating expenses between $55 million and $65 million.
  • Total capital expenditures between $67 million and $95 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-24.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%+3.3%-2.7%
Q4 2025-3.2%-2.9%+51.3%
Q3 2025-5.2%-6.8%-11.9%
Q1 2025+4.1%+8.0%+25.6%
Q4 2024+7.4%+14.0%+14.7%
Q3 2024-24.0%-32.8%-18.9%
Q2 2024+4.9%-7.0%-10.7%
Q1 2024-8.5%-11.2%-14.7%
Q4 2023-4.6%-4.6%+4.7%
Q3 2023+5.6%+5.3%+2.4%
Q2 2023-1.1%-0.5%-10.1%
Q1 2023-0.5%-9.1%-11.1%
Q4 2022-2.1%-1.4%-6.2%
Q3 2022-4.5%-1.5%-7.4%
Q2 2022+3.3%-6.0%-2.6%
Q1 2022+18.9%+30.5%+44.8%
Q4 2021-12.6%-13.3%+16.8%
Q3 2021-10.3%-7.3%-18.9%
Q2 2021+2.6%-5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2021+3.7%+10.0%+6.3%
Q4 2020+5.9%-3.6%-12.1%
Q3 2020+1.6%-5.4%+38.7%
Q2 2020-7.8%-9.2%-15.3%
Q1 2020-6.6%-1.1%+14.0%
Q4 2019+5.6%-0.8%-39.5%
Q3 2019-0.5%+5.4%+1.3%
Q2 2019-0.5%-0.7%-25.6%
Q1 2019+7.1%+5.9%+3.7%
Q4 2018-3.0%-3.3%-4.7%
Q3 2018+6.4%+7.1%-4.6%
Q2 2018+4.3%+3.6%+2.1%
Q1 2018-2.6%-1.2%+22.7%
Q4 2017-3.1%-5.1%-4.7%
Q3 2017+10.9%+14.6%+17.9%
Q2 2017-11.1%-11.7%-7.6%
Q1 2017+11.2%+14.6%+5.3%
Q4 2016+10.3%+10.6%-6.4%
Q3 2016-11.1%-10.3%+17.9%
Q2 2016+5.0%-2.3%-1.8%
Q1 2016-6.6%
Q4 2015-11.8%
Q3 2015+4.7%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014-3.9%
Q3 2014+2.9%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013+7.3%
Q3 2013-5.6%
Q2 2013-2.6%
Q1 2013+8.0%
Q4 2012-6.9%
Q3 2012+7.1%
Q2 2012-4.4%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q3 2010-2.8%
Q3 2011-2.8%
Q2 2011-2.3%
Q4 2010-2.3%
Q2 2010-2.3%

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