NYSE$CVI

CVR Energy · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

CVR Energy experienced a net loss with results influenced by RIN pricing, derivative losses, and Winter Storm Uri, but recovered quickly with improved refining business and increased nitrogen fertilizer demand.

CVR Energy reported a net loss of $39 million on net sales of $1.5 billion for Q1 2021, influenced by high RIN pricing, derivative losses, and Winter Storm Uri. However, the refining business saw improved results in March, and the nitrogen fertilizer industry experienced increased demand and higher pricing.

  • CVR Energy reported a net loss of $39 million, or 39 cents per diluted share.
  • Net sales for the first quarter of 2021 were $1.5 billion.
  • First quarter 2021 EBITDA was less than $1 million.
  • The nitrogen fertilizer industry reached an inflection point with improved farmer economics and increased demand.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.46B

Previous: $1.13B+29.5%
EPS (adj)

-$1.33

Previous: -$0.09-1377.8%
Ammonia Utilization Rate

96.0%

Previous: 93.0%+3.2%
Ammonia Gross Produced (tons)

188.0K

No prior period
Ammonia Net Available for Sale (tons)

70.0K

No prior period
UAN Production (tons)

272.0K

No prior period
Free Cash Flow

-$39M

Previous: -$87M+55.2%
Net Income

-$39M

Previous: -$87M+55.2%
Operating Income

-$135M

Previous: -$135M+0.0%
Gross Profit

-$105M

Previous: -$109M+3.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$707M

Previous: $805M-12.2%
Total Assets

$4.19B

Previous: $4.13B+1.5%
Stock-Based Comp

$8M

No prior period

Revenue & EPS history

CVR Energy · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.46B

Q1 2021+29.5%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 12 of 16 quarters(75%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

CVR Energy · $1.47B total across 2 segments · Q1 2021

  • Petroleum Segment
    $1.4B+32.8%
  • Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment
    $61M-18.7%

Forward guidance

CVR Energy provided an outlook for Q2 2021, including total throughput between 200,000 and 220,000 bpd and direct operating expenses between $75 and $85 million for the Petroleum Segment. For the Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment, ammonia utilization rates are expected to be between 95% and 100%, with direct operating expenses between $35 and $40 million.

Tailwinds

  • Petroleum Segment total throughput is expected to be between 200,000 and 220,000 bpd.
  • Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment ammonia utilization rates are expected to be between 95% and 100% for the consolidated facilities.
  • Coffeyville Facility ammonia utilization rates are expected to be between 95% and 100%.
  • East Dubuque Facility ammonia utilization rates are expected to be between 95% and 100%.
  • Capital expenditures for Renewables are projected to be between $65 million and $70 million.

Headwinds

  • Petroleum Segment direct operating expenses are expected to be between $75 million and $85 million.
  • Nitrogen Fertilizer Segment direct operating expenses are expected to be between $35 million and $40 million.
  • Capital expenditures for Petroleum are projected to be between $6 million and $12 million.
  • Capital expenditures for Nitrogen Fertilizer are projected to be between $4 million and $7 million.
  • Total capital expenditures are expected to be between $75 million and $90 million.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

-0.8%

Avg return

5 days after

+1.4%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

29 / 65 earnings

Positive

+18.9%

Q1 2022

Best reaction

-24.0%

Q3 2024

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-1.2%+3.3%-2.7%
Q4 2025-3.2%-2.9%+51.3%
Q3 2025-5.2%-6.8%-11.9%
Q1 2025+4.1%+8.0%+25.6%
Q4 2024+7.4%+14.0%+14.7%
Q3 2024-24.0%-32.8%-18.9%
Q2 2024+4.9%-7.0%-10.7%
Q1 2024-8.5%-11.2%-14.7%
Q4 2023-4.6%-4.6%+4.7%
Q3 2023+5.6%+5.3%+2.4%
Q2 2023-1.1%-0.5%-10.1%
Q1 2023-0.5%-9.1%-11.1%
Q4 2022-2.1%-1.4%-6.2%
Q3 2022-4.5%-1.5%-7.4%
Q2 2022+3.3%-6.0%-2.6%
Q1 2022+18.9%+30.5%+44.8%
Q4 2021-12.6%-13.3%+16.8%
Q3 2021-10.3%-7.3%-18.9%
Q2 2021+2.6%-5.7%+1.2%
Q1 2021+3.7%+10.0%+6.3%
Q4 2020+5.9%-3.6%-12.1%
Q3 2020+1.6%-5.4%+38.7%
Q2 2020-7.8%-9.2%-15.3%
Q1 2020-6.6%-1.1%+14.0%
Q4 2019+5.6%-0.8%-39.5%
Q3 2019-0.5%+5.4%+1.3%
Q2 2019-0.5%-0.7%-25.6%
Q1 2019+7.1%+5.9%+3.7%
Q4 2018-3.0%-3.3%-4.7%
Q3 2018+6.4%+7.1%-4.6%
Q2 2018+4.3%+3.6%+2.1%
Q1 2018-2.6%-1.2%+22.7%
Q4 2017-3.1%-5.1%-4.7%
Q3 2017+10.9%+14.6%+17.9%
Q2 2017-11.1%-11.7%-7.6%
Q1 2017+11.2%+14.6%+5.3%
Q4 2016+10.3%+10.6%-6.4%
Q3 2016-11.1%-10.3%+17.9%
Q2 2016+5.0%-2.3%-1.8%
Q1 2016-6.6%
Q4 2015-11.8%
Q3 2015+4.7%
Q2 2015+1.2%
Q1 2015+1.3%
Q4 2014-3.9%
Q3 2014+2.9%
Q2 2014-0.9%
Q1 2014-1.5%
Q4 2013+7.3%
Q3 2013-5.6%
Q2 2013-2.6%
Q1 2013+8.0%
Q4 2012-6.9%
Q3 2012+7.1%
Q2 2012-4.4%
Q1 2011+1.1%
Q1 2012-0.9%
Q4 2011+0.2%
Q1 2010+0.2%
Q4 2009+0.2%
Q3 2010-2.8%
Q3 2011-2.8%
Q2 2011-2.3%
Q4 2010-2.3%
Q2 2010-2.3%

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