NYSE$CUBI

Customers Bancorp Inc · Q1 2021 earnings

Q1 2021 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Reported a net income of $33.2 million and core earnings of $70.3 million, driven by PPP lending and net interest income growth.

Customers Bancorp reported a net income of $33.2 million, or $1.01 per diluted share, for Q1 2021. Core earnings were $70.3 million, or $2.14 per diluted share, up 29% over Q4 2020 and 1,282% over Q1 2020. The company was the 5th largest PPP lender (Round 3) in the U.S. and expects to generate approximately $400 million of pre-tax revenues from PPP participation.

  • Net income available to common shareholders was $33.2 million, or $1.01 per diluted share.
  • Core earnings were $70.3 million, or $2.14 per diluted share, up 29% over Q4 2020 and 1,282% over Q1 2020.
  • Net interest income grew $9.8 million, or 8.0%, over Q4 2020 and $51.4 million, or 63.2% over Q1 2020.
  • Total loans and leases increased $5.8 billion, or 56.6% year-over-year, driven by PPP loans of $5.2 billion and strong growth in short-term commercial loans to mortgage companies of $890.1 million.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$151M

Previous: $103M+46.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.14

Previous: $0.26+723.1%
ROAA

0.8%

No prior period
Net Interest Margin

3.0%

Previous: 3.0%+0.3%
Efficiency Ratio

48.9%

Previous: 66.0%-26.0%
Core Efficiency Ratio

41.1%

No prior period
NPA Ratio

0.3%

Previous: 0.5%-50.9%
CET1 Ratio

11.9%

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

-$298K

Previous: -$127K-134.6%
Free Cash Flow

-$166M

Previous: -$35.3M-369.7%
Net Income

$36.6M

Previous: $3.1M+1080.5%
Operating Income

$91.8M

Previous: $1.86M+4822.7%
Gross Profit

$148M

Previous: $70.6M+110.2%
Cash & Equivalents

$515M

Previous: $256M+101.1%
Total Assets

$18.8B

Previous: $12B+56.8%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.08M

Previous: $3.46M-11.0%

Revenue & EPS history

Customers Bancorp · Revenue · Quarterly

$151M

Q1 2021+46.4%vs Q1 2020
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

Customers Bancorp anticipates loan growth, excluding PPP and mortgage warehouse balances, is expected to average in the mid-to-high single digits over the next several quarters. The company projects an effective tax rate from continuing operations for 2021 of 23.0%-24.0%. Customers also expects to earn at least $5.00 in core EPS in 2021 and 2022 and remain on track to earn $6.00 in core EPS in 2026.

Tailwinds

  • Loan growth, excluding PPP and mortgage warehouse balances, is expected to average in the mid-to-high single digits over the next several quarters.
  • The Total Capital Ratio is expected to be about 14.0% by year-end 2021.
  • We project the NIM excluding PPP loans to expand into the 3.10%-3.30% range by Q4 2021.
  • We project an effective tax rate from continuing operations for 2021 of 23.0%-24.0%.
  • We expect to earn at least $5.00 in core EPS in 2021 and 2022 and remain on track to earn $6.00 in core EPS in 2026.

Headwinds

  • The balance of commercial loans to mortgage companies is expected to decline to $1.6-$2.4 billion at December 31, 2021.
  • The TCE ratio excluding PPP loans is expected to be about 8.5% by year-end 2021.
  • The company's future performance is subject to various risks and uncertainties, including the adverse impact of the coronavirus outbreak on the U.S. economy.
  • Changes in accounting standards or policies, including Accounting Standards Update (ASU) 2016-13, Financial Instruments—Credit Losses (CECL), could impact the company's financial performance.
  • Actions by the federal government, including the Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System, can affect market interest rates and the money supply, influencing the company's financial results.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q1 2021

Historical avgQ1 2021

+1.5%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.6%

Avg return

5 days after

+4.2%

Avg return

30 days after

61%

37 / 61 earnings

Positive

+23.2%

Q3 2023

Best reaction

-18.9%

Q2 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-3.5%-2.1%-3.5%
Q4 2025-7.8%-5.8%-10.2%
Q3 2025+7.3%+2.9%+0.7%
Q2 2025-1.2%-1.3%+1.8%
Q1 2025-2.9%-0.7%+0.8%
Q4 2024+13.9%+13.6%+5.8%
Q3 2024+0.0%+1.7%+23.6%
Q2 2024+9.2%+2.8%-16.7%
Q1 2024-6.5%-8.8%-9.8%
Q4 2023+2.6%+6.3%-0.8%
Q3 2023+23.2%+24.6%+39.8%
Q2 2023+0.0%-2.8%-17.2%
Q1 2023+20.8%+0.8%+36.5%
Q4 2022-15.3%-11.0%-1.4%
Q3 2022-4.2%+1.8%-2.6%
Q2 2022-1.4%-1.9%-6.2%
Q1 2022+5.4%+3.1%-0.4%
Q4 2021-4.4%-6.7%-4.1%
Q3 2021+7.4%+15.3%+17.8%
Q2 2021-1.9%-3.7%+15.3%
Q1 2021+1.7%+7.4%+16.2%
Q4 2020+1.3%+3.0%+21.7%
Q3 2020+5.3%+8.6%+36.9%
Q2 2020+9.3%+6.9%+18.9%
Q1 2020-2.6%-4.5%+1.4%
Q4 2019+6.0%+3.3%+0.0%
Q3 2019+4.8%+11.3%+11.4%
Q2 2019-1.8%+1.6%-8.2%
Q1 2019-2.9%+0.4%-7.6%
Q4 2018-3.1%-2.1%+7.0%
Q3 2018+13.3%+13.1%+4.6%
Q2 2018-10.0%-12.8%-13.3%
Q1 2018+3.1%+1.3%+5.8%
Q4 2017+2.9%-0.5%+0.6%
Q3 2017-7.6%-10.3%-14.0%
Q2 2017+0.7%+4.8%+0.8%
Q1 2017+3.5%+3.9%-4.5%
Q4 2016+0.1%-1.0%+0.4%
Q3 2016+7.3%+6.6%+22.5%
Q2 2016-2.9%-3.9%-3.4%
Q1 2016+2.0%
Q4 2015+6.5%
Q3 2015-2.1%
Q2 2015-18.9%
Q1 2015+3.2%
Q4 2014+3.3%
Q3 2014+4.2%
Q2 2014+4.4%
Q1 2014+0.5%
Q2 2013+0.4%
Q4 2013+0.4%
Q3 2013+1.1%
Q1 2013-1.0%
Q4 2012+1.2%
Q2 2012+1.2%
Q3 2012-8.5%
Q2 2011+0.0%
Q1 2012+13.6%
Q1 2011+13.6%
Q4 2011+0.0%
Q4 2009+0.0%
Q3 2010
Q4 2010
Q3 2011

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