NYSE$CRI

Carter's · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Carter's achieved its fourth quarter sales objective with growth driven by retail and international businesses, but profitability was lower than last year due to continued investments and higher inventory-related costs.

Carter's, Inc. reported a 1.3% increase in net sales to $1.1 billion for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2019, driven by growth in the U.S. Retail and International segments. Diluted EPS was $2.82, while adjusted diluted EPS was $2.81, a decline of 1.1%. Profitability in the quarter was lower than the previous year, reflecting continued investments in the business and higher inventory-related costs.

  • Net sales increased by 1.3% to $1.1 billion, driven by U.S. Retail and International segments.
  • Diluted EPS was reported at $2.82, with adjusted diluted EPS at $2.81, reflecting a 1.1% decrease.
  • Operating income decreased by 4.6% to $162.8 million, with operating margin decreasing to 14.8%.
  • The Board of Directors authorized a new $500 million share repurchase program and a 20% increase in the quarterly dividend.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$1.1B

Previous: $1.09B+1.4%
EPS (adj)

$2.81

Previous: $2.84-1.1%
Dividends Paid

$22.1M

No prior period
Capital Expenditures

$15.3M

Previous: $15.9M-4.1%
Free Cash Flow

$299M

Previous: $319M-6.4%
Net Income

$125M

Previous: $129M-2.6%
Operating Income

$163M

Previous: $171M-4.6%
Gross Profit

$467M

Previous: $468M-0.0%
Cash & Equivalents

$214M

Previous: $170M+26.0%
Total Assets

$2.75B

Previous: $2.06B+33.7%
Stock-Based Comp

$2.99M

Previous: $2.56M+16.6%

Revenue & EPS history

Carter's · Revenue · Quarterly

$1.1B

Q4 2019+1.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carter's · $1.1B total across 3 segments · Q4 2019

  • U.S. Retail
    $620M
  • U.S. Wholesale
    $349M
  • International
    $132M

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2020, the company projects net sales will increase approximately 2% to 3% and adjusted diluted earnings per share will increase approximately 4% to 6% compared to adjusted diluted earnings per share of $6.46 in fiscal 2019.

Tailwinds

  • Net sales are projected to increase by 2% to 3%.
  • Adjusted diluted earnings per share are expected to increase by 4% to 6%.
  • New share repurchase program authorized for $500 million.
  • Quarterly cash dividend increased by 20% to $0.60 per share.
  • Company returned $287 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends in fiscal 2019

Headwinds

  • Expenses of approximately $10 million to $12 million related to organizational restructurings are anticipated.
  • The company is monitoring the outbreak of a respiratory illness caused by a novel coronavirus, which may affect textile production and manufacturing.
  • The financial impact of any delayed receipts from China is not known at this time.
  • First quarter of fiscal 2020, the Company projects net sales will be comparable to the first quarter of fiscal 2019 and adjusted diluted earnings per share will be approximately $0.60 compared to adjusted diluted earnings per share of $0.87 in the first quarter of fiscal 2019.
  • Increased investments in information technology, new stores, and marketing, and lower royalty income reflecting the conclusion of a licensing agreement.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

35 / 65 earnings

Positive

+14.5%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-20.3%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.7%-1.9%+14.2%
Q4 2025-20.3%-16.3%-17.2%
Q3 2025+2.0%-2.9%-0.2%
Q2 2025+3.6%+8.5%+25.4%
Q1 2025-11.4%-13.5%-17.9%
Q4 2024-16.1%-20.7%-20.7%
Q3 2024-14.2%-15.4%-17.8%
Q2 2024+1.4%+1.2%+10.8%
Q1 2024-1.6%-4.4%-7.9%
Q4 2023+0.6%-1.3%+3.9%
Q3 2023+3.1%+3.5%+5.4%
Q2 2023+0.4%-0.9%-8.1%
Q1 2023-1.5%-2.1%-9.2%
Q4 2022+0.5%+2.2%-5.2%
Q3 2022-7.7%-11.5%+2.1%
Q2 2022+2.3%+0.7%-5.4%
Q1 2022-3.9%-3.1%-12.9%
Q4 2021+10.1%+13.0%+7.8%
Q3 2021+1.1%+2.6%+1.6%
Q2 2021+2.2%+1.3%+5.2%
Q1 2021+8.1%+6.8%-0.9%
Q3 2020+0.8%-4.7%+0.6%
Q2 2020+2.9%-2.1%-10.6%
Q1 2020+0.6%+4.9%+19.1%
Q4 2019-17.2%-17.4%-34.7%
Q3 2019+2.7%+2.9%+4.2%
Q2 2019+3.9%+0.9%-5.0%
Q1 2019-2.2%+0.8%-20.5%
Q4 2018+7.1%+7.7%+8.7%
Q3 2018-3.8%+2.6%-5.7%
Q2 2018-10.2%-9.3%-9.1%
Q1 2018-1.5%-4.4%+7.2%
Q4 2017-5.0%-4.9%-15.2%
Q3 2017+4.3%+3.1%+14.0%
Q2 2017-2.7%-0.2%-1.8%
Q1 2017-0.1%+0.0%-9.9%
Q4 2016+7.7%+5.3%+7.3%
Q3 2016+1.6%+1.1%+8.8%
Q2 2016-8.4%-9.5%-13.2%
Q1 2016+1.6%
Q4 2015+14.5%
Q3 2015+2.1%
Q2 2015-6.9%
Q1 2015+7.4%
Q4 2014+6.9%
Q3 2014-0.8%
Q2 2014+6.6%
Q1 2014-0.1%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013+7.1%
Q4 2012-4.2%
Q3 2012+2.7%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q1 2012+4.1%
Q4 2011+11.8%
Q3 2011-2.4%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q4 2009+2.7%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q3 2010+4.5%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010-5.4%

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