NYSE$CRI

Carter's · Q4 2023 earnings

Q4 2023 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Carter's reported fourth quarter and fiscal year 2023 results, showing improved demand trends and higher than expected earnings.

Carter's Q4 2023 results showed a decrease in net sales to $858 million compared to $912 million in Q4 2022, but an increase in operating margin to 15.9% from 12.0%. Diluted EPS increased to $2.90 from $2.11 in Q4 2022. The company saw improved demand in the final weeks of 2023, driving higher than expected earnings.

  • Net sales decreased to $858 million from $912 million in Q4 2022.
  • Operating margin increased to 15.9% compared to 12.0% in Q4 2022.
  • Diluted EPS increased to $2.90 from $2.11 in Q4 2022.
  • The company returned $212 million to shareholders through share repurchases and dividends for the full fiscal year.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$858M

Previous: $912M-5.9%
EPS (adj)

$2.76

Previous: $2.29+20.5%
Capital Expenditures

-$17.4M

Previous: $13.5M-228.8%
Free Cash Flow

$306M

Previous: $292M+4.7%
Net Income

$107M

Previous: $80.2M+32.8%
Operating Income

$136M

Previous: $110M+24.3%
Gross Profit

$418M

Previous: $416M+0.6%
Stock-Based Comp

$4.55M

Previous: $4.66M-2.3%

Revenue & EPS history

Carter's · Revenue · Quarterly

$858M

Q4 2023-5.9%vs Q4 2022
Beat estimate in 9 of 15 quarters(60%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Carter's · $792M total across 3 segments · Q3 2023

  • U.S. Retail
    $375M-8.2%
  • U.S. Wholesale
    $300M+4.1%
  • International
    $117M-4.5%

Forward guidance

For fiscal year 2024, the Company expects low single-digit growth in net sales to approximately $3.0 billion, mid single-digit growth in adjusted operating income, and mid single-digit growth in adjusted diluted earnings per share.

Tailwinds

  • Low single-digit growth in net sales to approximately $3.0 billion
  • Mid single-digit growth in adjusted operating income
  • Mid single-digit growth in adjusted diluted earnings per share
  • Operating cash flow in excess of $250 million
  • Capital expenditures of $80 million

Headwinds

  • A mid single-digit to high single-digit decline in U.S. Retail sales
  • A mid-teens decline in U.S. Wholesale sales (reflecting earlier demand for our spring product offerings and lower off-price channel sales)
  • A low single-digit to mid single-digit decline in International sales
  • Increased SG&A, driven by new store openings and higher performance-based compensation provisions
  • Lower average number of shares outstanding

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2023

Historical avgQ4 2023

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

-2.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.6%

Avg return

30 days after

54%

35 / 65 earnings

Positive

+14.5%

Q4 2015

Best reaction

-20.3%

Q4 2025

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+11.7%-1.9%+14.2%
Q4 2025-20.3%-16.3%-17.2%
Q3 2025+2.0%-2.9%-0.2%
Q2 2025+3.6%+8.5%+25.4%
Q1 2025-11.4%-13.5%-17.9%
Q4 2024-16.1%-20.7%-20.7%
Q3 2024-14.2%-15.4%-17.8%
Q2 2024+1.4%+1.2%+10.8%
Q1 2024-1.6%-4.4%-7.9%
Q4 2023+0.6%-1.3%+3.9%
Q3 2023+3.1%+3.5%+5.4%
Q2 2023+0.4%-0.9%-8.1%
Q1 2023-1.5%-2.1%-9.2%
Q4 2022+0.5%+2.2%-5.2%
Q3 2022-7.7%-11.5%+2.1%
Q2 2022+2.3%+0.7%-5.4%
Q1 2022-3.9%-3.1%-12.9%
Q4 2021+10.1%+13.0%+7.8%
Q3 2021+1.1%+2.6%+1.6%
Q2 2021+2.2%+1.3%+5.2%
Q1 2021+8.1%+6.8%-0.9%
Q3 2020+0.8%-4.7%+0.6%
Q2 2020+2.9%-2.1%-10.6%
Q1 2020+0.6%+4.9%+19.1%
Q4 2019-17.2%-17.4%-34.7%
Q3 2019+2.7%+2.9%+4.2%
Q2 2019+3.9%+0.9%-5.0%
Q1 2019-2.2%+0.8%-20.5%
Q4 2018+7.1%+7.7%+8.7%
Q3 2018-3.8%+2.6%-5.7%
Q2 2018-10.2%-9.3%-9.1%
Q1 2018-1.5%-4.4%+7.2%
Q4 2017-5.0%-4.9%-15.2%
Q3 2017+4.3%+3.1%+14.0%
Q2 2017-2.7%-0.2%-1.8%
Q1 2017-0.1%+0.0%-9.9%
Q4 2016+7.7%+5.3%+7.3%
Q3 2016+1.6%+1.1%+8.8%
Q2 2016-8.4%-9.5%-13.2%
Q1 2016+1.6%
Q4 2015+14.5%
Q3 2015+2.1%
Q2 2015-6.9%
Q1 2015+7.4%
Q4 2014+6.9%
Q3 2014-0.8%
Q2 2014+6.6%
Q1 2014-0.1%
Q4 2013+9.2%
Q3 2013-8.9%
Q2 2013-1.0%
Q1 2013+7.1%
Q4 2012-4.2%
Q3 2012+2.7%
Q2 2012-2.4%
Q1 2012+4.1%
Q4 2011+11.8%
Q3 2011-2.4%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q4 2009+2.7%
Q1 2011-0.9%
Q3 2010+4.5%
Q2 2010-0.2%
Q4 2010-0.2%
Q1 2010-5.4%

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