NYSE$COP

ConocoPhillips Co · Q4 2019 earnings

Q4 2019 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

ConocoPhillips reported a decrease in earnings and adjusted earnings compared to Q4 2018, impacted by special items and lower realized prices and volumes.

ConocoPhillips reported Q4 2019 earnings of $0.7 billion, or $0.65 per share, compared to $1.9 billion, or $1.61 per share in Q4 2018. Adjusted earnings were $0.8 billion, or $0.76 per share, compared to $1.3 billion, or $1.13 per share in the prior year. The decrease was attributed to the absence of a gain on sale, a non-cash impairment, lower realized prices, and reduced volumes from dispositions.

  • Q4 2019 earnings were $0.7 billion, or $0.65 per share.
  • Adjusted earnings for Q4 2019 were $0.8 billion, or $0.76 per share.
  • Production excluding Libya was 1,289 MBOED.
  • Total realized price was $47.01 per BOE, 11% lower than Q4 2018.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$8.14B

Previous: $10.4B-21.4%
EPS (adj)

$0.76

Previous: $1.13-32.7%
Free Cash Flow

$1.07B

No prior period
Net Income

$720M

Previous: $1.87B-61.5%
Gross Profit

$2.14B

Previous: $2.71B-21.1%
Cash & Equivalents

$5.4B

Previous: $5.92B-8.7%
Total Assets

$71B

Previous: $70B+1.5%

Revenue & EPS history

ConocoPhillips · Revenue · Quarterly

$8.14B

Q4 2019-21.4%vs Q4 2018
Beat estimate in 13 of 16 quarters(81%)
ActualEstimate

Forward guidance

ConocoPhillips provided its 2020 operating plan with capital guidance between $6.5 billion and $6.7 billion and production guidance between 1,230 MBOED and 1,270 MBOED.

Tailwinds

  • Capital plan includes funding for ongoing development drilling programs.
  • Capital plan includes funding for major projects.
  • Capital plan includes funding for exploration and appraisal activities.
  • Capital plan includes funding for base maintenance.
  • First-quarter 2020 production is expected to be 1,240 MBOED to 1,280 MBOED.

Headwinds

  • Guidance does not include capital for acquisitions.
  • 2020 production guidance includes the impact of a recent third-party pipeline outage on the Kebabangan Field in Malaysia.
  • Production guidance excludes Libya.
  • Guidance for 2020 operating cost is $5.9 billion.
  • Adjusted corporate segment net expense is $1 billion.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2019

Historical avgQ4 2019

-0.1%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

+2.7%

Avg return

30 days after

45%

33 / 73 earnings

Positive

+7.6%

Q3 2016

Best reaction

-14.8%

Q4 2015

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026-0.1%-3.8%-11.1%
Q4 2025-2.4%-0.1%+8.8%
Q3 2025-2.4%+3.4%+6.8%
Q2 2025-0.5%+1.6%-0.2%
Q1 2025+1.3%+7.4%-0.6%
Q4 2024-0.3%+1.5%-9.6%
Q3 2024+4.7%+6.0%+5.2%
Q2 2024-4.9%-4.9%+2.3%
Q1 2024-1.7%-0.6%-6.3%
Q4 2023-1.0%-2.3%+0.6%
Q3 2023+2.6%-1.2%-1.2%
Q2 2023-1.6%+0.0%+5.7%
Q1 2023+4.5%+5.7%+6.5%
Q4 2022-8.1%-4.8%-7.7%
Q3 2022+4.6%+6.3%-3.4%
Q2 2022+1.7%+4.6%+20.7%
Q1 2022+3.7%-5.6%+13.7%
Q4 2021-0.4%-1.0%+8.7%
Q3 2021-2.5%+1.2%-4.5%
Q2 2021-0.8%+2.0%+2.2%
Q1 2021+5.1%+8.3%+12.8%
Q4 2020+6.1%+9.1%+36.6%
Q3 2020-0.6%+1.8%+48.6%
Q2 2020-6.4%-5.8%-3.9%
Q1 2020-7.3%-3.1%-0.1%
Q4 2019-0.7%-2.0%-19.4%
Q3 2019-1.1%+2.6%+8.4%
Q2 2019+1.5%-3.0%-10.1%
Q1 2019+0.0%-1.0%-5.9%
Q4 2018+4.6%+5.4%+4.9%
Q3 2018+4.2%+5.8%-2.9%
Q2 2018-0.1%+0.9%+1.5%
Q1 2018-0.2%+1.0%+0.6%
Q4 2017-1.9%-4.9%-8.1%
Q3 2017+2.5%+2.4%+1.0%
Q2 2017+3.6%+2.4%-0.3%
Q1 2017-0.8%-1.5%-5.5%
Q4 2016+4.0%+1.9%-1.4%
Q3 2016+7.6%+4.2%+9.4%
Q2 2016+1.9%-0.7%+5.6%
Q1 2016-0.7%
Q4 2015-14.8%
Q3 2015+0.0%
Q2 2015-4.8%
Q1 2015-0.9%
Q4 2014+0.6%
Q3 2014+2.0%
Q2 2014-4.6%
Q1 2014+3.0%
Q4 2013-1.3%
Q3 2013-0.2%
Q2 2013+3.7%
Q1 2013+1.1%
Q4 2012-5.9%
Q3 2012+2.4%
Q2 2012-0.4%
Q1 2012+1.1%
Q4 2011+1.1%
Q4 2008+1.1%
Q3 2011-0.8%
Q2 2011-2.0%
Q1 2011-1.2%
Q4 2010+0.9%
Q3 2010+0.8%
Q4 2009-0.9%
Q2 2010-0.9%
Q1 2009-4.9%
Q1 2010+1.5%
Q4 2007-0.7%
Q3 2009+2.5%
Q3 2008+2.5%
Q2 2009-0.9%
Q2 2008-0.9%

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