NYSE$BKD

Brookdale Senior Living Inc · Q4 2022 earnings

Q4 2022 earnings · · Investor relations

Briefing

Brookdale's financial performance reflected a year of growth and recovery, marked by increased revenue and occupancy.

Brookdale Senior Living Inc. reported results for Q4 2022, demonstrating growth and continued recovery with a RevPAR increase and positive occupancy momentum. The company's liquidity remained strong at year-end, positioning it well for continued recovery and focused improvements in operating results in 2023.

  • Full-year consolidated revenue per available unit (RevPAR) increased 10.1% year-over-year.
  • Full-year consolidated weighted average occupancy increased 390 basis points year-over-year.
  • Liquidity was $453 million at year end, with no significant debt maturities until September 2024.
  • January saw stronger than expected move-in results, indicating continued recovery into 2023.

Headline financials

Total Revenue

$701M

Previous: $644M+8.8%
EPS (adj)

-$0.13

Previous: -$0.44+70.5%
Capital Expenditures

$46.4M

Previous: $50.8M-8.8%
Free Cash Flow

-$94.9M

Previous: -$132M+28.2%
Net Income

-$25.7M

Previous: -$81.7M+68.6%
Operating Income

$25.7M

Previous: -$54M+147.6%
Gross Profit

$129M

Previous: $121M+6.7%
Cash & Equivalents

$399M

Previous: $347M+14.9%
Total Assets

$5.94B

Previous: $6.41B-7.4%
Stock-Based Comp

$3.56M

Previous: $3.39M+4.9%

Revenue & EPS history

Brookdale · Revenue · Quarterly

$701M

Q4 2022+8.8%vs Q4 2021
Beat estimate in 6 of 14 quarters(43%)
ActualEstimate

Revenue by segment

Brookdale · $2.4M total across 1 segment · Q4 2022

  • Management fees
    $2.4M

Forward guidance

Brookdale anticipates continued growth in the first quarter of 2023, projecting RevPAR year-over-year growth between 11% and 12% and Adjusted EBITDA between $70 million and $75 million.

Tailwinds

  • Projected RevPAR year-over-year growth of 11% - 12% for Q1 2023.
  • Anticipated Adjusted EBITDA between $70 million - $75 million for Q1 2023.
  • Expected full-year 2023 non-development capital expenditures, net of anticipated lessor reimbursements, to be approximately $200.0 million.
  • Expects up to an additional $20.0 million in reimbursable remediation costs at the Company's communities resulting from recent natural disasters.
  • Company anticipates its property and casualty insurance policies will reimburse remediation costs in 2023 or 2024.

Headwinds

  • Reconciliation of the non-GAAP financial measure included in the foregoing guidance to the most comparable GAAP financial measure is not available without unreasonable effort.
  • Variability in the timing or amounts of items required to reconcile Adjusted EBITDA from the Company's net income (loss).
  • Timing or amounts of items required to reconcile the measure may have a significant impact on the Company's future GAAP results.
  • No specific EPS guidance provided.
  • No specific revenue guidance provided.

Historical earnings impact

How earnings announcements have historically affected this stock's price.

Avg. return before/after earnings

Based on 20 quarterly earnings reports · overlaid with Q4 2022

Historical avgQ4 2022

-0.4%

Avg return

Earnings day

+1.0%

Avg return

5 days after

-2.3%

Avg return

30 days after

42%

27 / 64 earnings

Positive

+22.1%

Q2 2023

Best reaction

-23.4%

Q4 2017

Worst reaction

Earnings price reactions
QuarterReport dateReaction (Day 0)+5 days+30 days
Q1 2026+1.0%-8.6%-13.0%
Q4 2025-9.7%-7.2%-17.0%
Q3 2025-1.5%+10.1%+16.3%
Q1 2025-2.4%+1.3%-1.0%
Q4 2024+2.6%+6.4%+13.6%
Q3 2024-8.9%-8.5%-11.3%
Q2 2024-5.2%-2.6%-6.3%
Q1 2024-4.1%-3.3%-9.3%
Q4 2023-10.9%-14.4%+5.3%
Q3 2023+6.5%+1.0%+25.4%
Q2 2023+22.1%+12.0%+5.9%
Q1 2023+0.3%-5.6%+1.8%
Q4 2022+8.8%+7.2%-23.5%
Q3 2022-0.2%+11.9%-31.2%
Q2 2022+8.9%+16.9%+3.5%
Q1 2022-3.9%-5.1%-11.4%
Q4 2021+15.3%+16.8%+23.9%
Q3 2021+14.2%+8.3%-12.4%
Q2 2021-2.8%-7.9%-3.5%
Q1 2021+10.9%+8.2%+2.9%
Q4 2020+17.8%+15.4%+23.3%
Q3 2020-14.3%+21.5%+38.3%
Q2 2020-3.0%-6.6%-8.6%
Q1 2020-5.9%+1.6%+30.5%
Q4 2019+21.1%+15.3%-70.6%
Q3 2019-3.5%-2.4%-3.7%
Q2 2019+2.8%+5.3%+4.5%
Q1 2019+9.8%+9.6%-3.1%
Q4 2018-13.3%-11.9%-14.8%
Q3 2018+4.2%-0.3%-5.5%
Q2 2018-4.0%-7.7%+12.5%
Q1 2018+6.7%+4.9%+21.5%
Q4 2017-23.4%-23.5%-23.3%
Q3 2017-15.7%-2.1%-2.3%
Q2 2017-1.7%-4.6%-12.0%
Q1 2017-0.1%+8.6%+3.7%
Q4 2016-1.4%-5.1%-19.0%
Q3 2016-17.3%-13.4%-21.9%
Q2 2016+4.3%-1.3%+3.3%
Q1 2016+0.0%
Q4 2015-21.0%
Q3 2015+3.0%
Q2 2015-7.5%
Q1 2015+3.0%
Q4 2014-0.7%
Q3 2014+1.3%
Q2 2014-1.2%
Q1 2014-1.0%
Q4 2013+6.8%
Q3 2013+6.2%
Q2 2013-0.3%
Q1 2013+9.3%
Q4 2012-3.1%
Q3 2012+2.1%
Q2 2012+2.3%
Q1 2012-3.1%
Q4 2011-1.8%
Q3 2011-6.7%
Q2 2011-6.1%
Q1 2011+3.8%
Q4 2010+1.3%
Q3 2010-5.7%
Q2 2010-2.2%
Q1 2010-8.7%

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